charlie Jatinder

@imbruglia what's the reason behind sudden Demon Slayer luck? It looked like normal stuff a few weeks ago. Is it due to COVID situation improving?

Usually in normal scenario I will also expect $11M+ i.e. ¥71M+. (20 32 24 may be) but PSm for re-releases has been lower. Potter we were expecting ¥40M plus OD from ¥15.15M pre-sales, end up being only ¥32M.

A local horror comedy Roohi opening day looks like ₹3cr Gross ($400k). Best opening day since reopening in North India. Basically a sign that people are ready to come to theaters. Godzilla v Kong should reach $1M OD.

$24.8M till Thursday. $10-11M 2nd weekend, $35-36M total till Sunday.

Seems like 6.5M final pre-sales. Interstellar had a 2.5x PSm while HP had 2.11x. That gives a range of 14-16.5M ($2.15-2.5M) OD. Saturday pre-sales are higher than what usually films have, but looking city wise data, Shanghai, Beijing, etc have higher pre-sales on Sat than Sun. Now that could be people basically booking IMAX shows in Tier 1 cities. That would explain the low PSm than usual for re-releases. Ideally those Sat PS would mean a much bigger Saturday than Friday, but let's see. Going with ¥44-54M ($6.8-8.5M) weekend prediction.

I am perfectly well, except for a bit of neck pain. Thanks for asking.

Hi Jim.

Weekend actuals ₫62.6B ($2.7M). Friday - ₫10.6B Saturday - ₫22B Sunday - ₫30B Monday - ₫24B Tuesday - ₫17B Wednesday - ₫16B Thursday - ~₫17B expecting Total - ₫137B ($5.9M)

With China re-release, Endgame would have surely take the record back but the release in China isn't upto studios. Its govt dept. that decide what releases and not, so as we return to normalcy there may not be a "re-release".

I am thinking final pre-sales around 7.5M and OD of 16-18M probably and weekend of 49-55M. So record will be done by Sunday. Full run probably 100-120M ($15-19M), so gonna put it at $2805-2809M range, leaving it $5-10M ahead of Endgame.

Yeah if I was normal layman box office fan that would have been disappointing. But since I am bit better than that, and know that Avengers: Endgame has grossed way more than Avatar and its external factors that will have Avatar at top, I can make peace with that. The real battle will be with Avatar 2, which will be having exchange rate similar to Endgame to keep things normal.

Its weird how something like Wandavision, which we didn't know what to expect, kind of went on more or less expected lines. While what I thought will be generic show, have not much idea about TFWS story.

First good thing to come out of it. Interested now.

Probably this week will decide whether Endgame or Avatar hold record for long time. Don't think anything till next Endgame level Avengers film is going to hit the record. With Disney focussing on D+, who knows, may be much much long time. PS. It's amazing how CGI still hold and is better than many recent films.

Raya pre-sales for tomorrow are weirdly strong.

Oh I was I was adding 30-34. But I guess 34 is young age 😛

My source was this https://www.populationpyramid.net/china/2019/ 28.2% population 15-30 i.e. 404M.

China 15-30 years old > USA Entire population.

Yeah, but you have more 15-30 aged people in China than US population.

I think the fanbase animes are usually frontloaded. The general films with four quadrant audience leg long. Though I am still new to Japanese box office to give concrete answers, but screen thing certainly and aged demo most likely are the reasons.

I thought we were in a place where we all care about how many billions Disney make.

low screen count and aged population.

.

nvm