charlie Jatinder

$17.6M weekend est.

On Disney+ free? because it's on Disney+ everywhere where Disney+ is there with PA.

Just to be clear, it's not Cinemark refused to play Raya but Disney didn't give their film on lower terms. I am not sure how much Hollywood studios get, but Indian films get as high as 60% from Cinemark while AMC and Regal are usually 45-50%. And again, the only loss from Cinemark is probably where Cinemark is the only theater or best theater of area. It's not like AMC or other theaters were overflowing with demand. Yeah I guess some folks would have missed it for some membership they have with Cinemark or whatever. Raya opened lower than T&J in almost every market in the world. T&J is just bigger IP. I wasn't really seeing how Raya open bigger than T&J but since most here were thinking so, so I guess... That said, going by 2nd weekend, I think T&J will do around $40-45M DOM. Raya if WOM is there, can still catch it. Internationally it will beat T&J almost certainly if weekend trend is anything to go by.

Donno if Disney will attempt a Europe release, but I am sorta confident on Raya actually beating T&J worldwide on strength of overseas. Current OS markets shall leg to $60-65M ish. There's a Saudi Arabia left which can shell $3-7M depending on competition.

Where did you got that tho? Neither of Boxoffice, Borreport, Gitesh tweeted.

Russia $2.8M opening.

Raya has good trend everywhere during weekend internationally. It's too low so won't be breaking out big, but legs will be good. Friday was around $2.5M internationally, Sunday will be close to $6.5M. overall weekend around $16M range. Some countries numbers for Friday and Sunday as compared with (T&J weekend) China - $1.38M & $3.2M ($4.4M & $3.1M) Russia - $0.33M & $1.2M ($0.5M & $1.4M) Korea - $0.11M & $0.41M ($0.09M & $0.17M) Japan - $0.06M & $0.25M Vietnam - $0.02M & $0.1M

113k weekend for Raya. Guessing around 650-800k full run.

Bố Già a local Vietnam film will do $1M on Sunday with around 50% occupancy. This is biggest I have seen a film do in single day in Vietnam since re-opening. Overall weekend of $2.2M. Raya opened #3 with $200K weekend. Sunday $100K.

I would say around $35-40M perhaps. Tom & Jerry probably around $50-60M.

I follow you 👀

Raya not looking too hot in Hoyts few locs I checked randomly. I will say some A$250k Sunday, probably A$750K weekend. Though not 1% sure about it.

Alrighty Zootopia Wreck it Ralph Moana Big Hero 6 Frozen Raya and the Last Dragon Ralph Breaks the Internet Tangled Frozen II 1-5 are awesome. 6-8 good. Frozen II is only bad-ish.

May be $180K Saturday. Sunday seems like $250k+. ¥50M weekend is a possibility.

Come on, you are a Tiktok star.

Actually Raya may be beating WW84 numbers internationally in real terms. It will not be releasing in markets WW84 did $25m worth and is unlikely to do $23M in ANZ (well thanks the Summer + Christmas + New Year holidays). That leaves $69M OS-ANZ, Raya is looking to perhaps do that much.

You did said if this was Max release tone will be different. That's the reason for different tone. Just to reiterate, Raya is a BOXOFFICE FLOP just like WW84, T&J, etc. Overall, it may not be losing as much as WW84.

Well Disney has 70M subs at this moment, unlike Max while is still under 20M. Besides there is no doubt on fact that it's a box office flop, my point of discussion was on overall status of film.

I would have agreed to Raya losing money by no release in Cinemark if AMC was doing bonkers or Raya had opened well anywhere in the world.

Few weeks back, @WandaLegion pointed that perhaps Disney is doing Soul without PA just to test a model for future. Mulan was just PA only release. Soul was free Disney + release to check whether giving free film will boost sub. Raya is testing PA + Theatrical release if they can co-exist. They probably will have their own target to judge which model works best and have enough subs to experiment. One thing to point tho, we all don't judge Netflix original success by how much they did in limited release they had but only Netflix know if something's hit or flop. May be cut Disney some slack assuming Raya is basically Disney+ original.

Ok PS are fine for tomorrow. Probably 25M Sunday and 59M ($9.1M) weekend. 150-175M ($23-27M) full run.

ahh. so you do visit international threads. huh.

Well, I suppose this wont be losing much or at all. D+ has like $300M per month revenue in DOM now and $300M in OS. There isn't much of new content they release. Granted there will be some revenue from Premium Access too, but for a film directly going to OTT release, the licensing revenue will be higher, and Disney will put that in their internal accounting.

¥24M Saturday for Raya. Good growth but PS for tomorrow seems okayish only. ¥53-56M weekend mostly. May go for ¥150M full run.

Disney missed a billion with Soul due to Disney+ release and COVID. Soul is #1 today in Hong Kong and in Korea and Russia its still in Top 10.