Just to be clear I said,
Maoyan predicts ¥245mn Friday and I will take that open armed. Another ¥281mn and ¥212mn next 2 days. Again, no problem.
If that holds, will be ¥754mn or $112.5mn weekend.
However my expectations are around same but with good WOM. If its average, will be around $90-100mn.
May be Trolls targeting only the popular one i.e. Maoyan.
Infinity War started with 8.3 and finaled 9.0. It was bombarded too but recovered afterwards.
Maoyan predicts ¥245mn Friday and I will take that open armed. Another ¥281mn and ¥212mn next 2 days. Again, no problem.
If that holds, will be ¥754mn or $112.5mn weekend.
Final Pre-sales
Friday: ¥72.7mn ($10.8mn) 160k shows
Saturday: ¥32.1mn ($4.8mn)
Sunday: ¥11.4mn ($1.7mn)
Total: ¥116.2mn (¥17.3mn)
Comps
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk
All time highest pre-sales for a Solo superhero and 2nd all time for super hero film after Infinity War.
Opening day projection ¥220-250mn.
Captain Marvel grossed $2.4mn in South Korea on Thursday, dropping 30% from Wednesday, for a total of $5.9mn. Good hold. Shall go for $23-25mn weekend.
So what we have so far is
South Korea: $3.5mn
Indonesia: $1.9mn+
France: $1.4mn Approx
Australia: $1.03mn
Italy: $0.9mn
New Zealand: $0.2mn
Total: $9mn (Those I know)
Estimating Taiwan, Malaysia, Philippines, etc around $5mn.
Rounding off to $15mn Wednesday. Am I missing something big?
The frontloaded ness of Marvel previews increase with every Avengers film. The new normal is 34% of Previews in Opening Day compared to 31% before Infinity War.
However, due to Women's day I expected it to be around 32% as Friday should be boosted. But people here believe other wise.
I expect $23-24mn previews and that shall give $67-69mn opening day. A 30% bump on Saturday on true Friday and 25% dip on Sunday. True FSS should be 3.27X true Friday, i.e. 7.4X approx of Thursday.
$23.75mn will do.