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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    I have seen Skyfall and Spectre but not Casino Royale or Quantum. Are the latter two important for this one or just callbacks?
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    See. Do we really need this kind of update? I mean this is a joke prediction.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok but no Deadline update is better than whatever the hell they tried with SC.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Obviously. With such poor walkups as Venom has had, it's clearly going to be much more frontloaded than Black Widow. Even 60 million will be tough.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Do you mean 6?
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    Spectre did like 13x. Bond isn't a preview-driven franchise.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    I think we had better not use BW for comps anymore. BW comp for SC gave 9.8 million, for this it was giving around 13 million (probably 12.5ish adjusting for the missing hour). I think the coverage must have increased a lot since then.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Recent M:I films have just been shitting on all other action movies. 7 deserves that billion.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't get how you are getting these low numbers. MTC3 cannot be that bad surely. Look at the ratio vs everything else we have tracked this year, I don't see how it's lower than 12. Nvm. I see what you mean by coverage increase. But I don't think it would make that big of a difference in just a couple of months surely?
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Wasn't that BW final update 1 hour earlier though?
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Venom 2 verified audience score at 86% which usually translates to B+ or at best A-. Doubt WOM will be appreciably better than the first despite the big difference in reviews.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    How are those the targets? That would be a crazy high MTC ratio.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    I threw out that 45 without really thinking about it, doing some calculations from Solo multi vs lower tier MCU I think that IM should be 5.5-6 so 30s seems right. I think your table has it about right.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    I think even TSS lost a big chunk of money looking at how it did in the UK. Though it wouldn't have been huge either way but at least it wouldn't have been embarrassingly bad.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    That's trivial, 45 is a better goal.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    GvK would have been bigger than any movie released so far this year with an October/November release, imo. Its trailer was second only to NWH in hype. I think it could have done 120 OW.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I agree with Keyser that V2 is looking around 90, which makes it competitive for top 2 DOM OWs. But top 2 total will be a much taller task with the competition it's facing, and even the first one did not have amazing legs. I'm still not thinking it beats SC total domestically though it will be fairly close.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I mean I wouldn't be surprised if it was like 16 positive reviews in a row and then 2 negative. Sample size is really low. But all audience start is not that amazing either and that at least has more than 50 ratings. That said I don't think anyone expected this to have amazing WOM in the US. I expect a B+ Cinemascore, maybe A- at best.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Damn, didn't realize that. In that case...well, I won't say anything for now. No need to raise expectations yet. But that opens up some possibilities.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    100% verified audience score!!!
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    At this pace 11 million previews should be doable. Though with earlier preview start times there won't be as much acceleration in night shows, but doesn't need crazy acceleration to get there. It added 400k in 2.5 hours. Hopefully another 600k in the next 2.5, then perhaps another 300-400k in the next 2.5, then maybe another 100-200k till final. (see edit). 5ish final seems about right which can get it over 11 with a good MTC ratio. Edit: used the wrong time comparison for SC final.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Not referring to box office but CGV/Megabox scores. Yeah Bond is not huge there but the numbers are substantial enough that one can make something of reception. Of course it won't always match other markets but often it does.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah but you can sometimes get a sense of whether a film will be polarizing from the tone of them. SK audience scores seem fairly mixed as well. We will see how it's received in its home market. I am expecting good but somewhat polarizing reception in the UK.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah that's fair, the humor would not be accepted by critics now (even then many critics gave bad reviews because they found it too offensive).
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Down to 62. Doubt it will stay fresh. Question is can it stay above 50% (personally I have always thought 50% is a more natural dividing line than RT's arbitrary 60%).
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