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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Given how long my run takes it won't give a precise idea of the pace anyway. We can just adjust upward a bit from MTC1 number.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    B+ Cinemascore then. No clue why it wasn't tweeted.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Eternals second trailer at 24m views 682k likes. SC second trailer a month before release was 14ish million views 400k likes.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    OW should be O/U 80. Leg-wise it will have trouble the way October is shaping up, both second and third weekends will have trouble, even the fourth will have Dune which will do nontrivial business despite HBO Max. 2.4ish multi seems likely with the same WOM as the first? Around 192 million total. Will be 4th/5th domestically depending on Bond.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    RT Verified score at 85% and 4.3 average. This seems solidly in the range of B+ Cinemascore. Very similar WOM to the first most likely.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    I think it's heading for ~9m between the two MTC. Around 24-25m Friday hopefully. Charlie should have a good estimate soon.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    I think that way is better. The way you post it now it's a bit long to read the whole thing, and generally the aggregate is the more interesting number anyway.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    I guess they would have less incentive to undershoot the smaller films and holdovers, but those seem to be in the expected range. The V2 number was the headliner and they gave an absolute joke of a prediction. But you have a point though, Deadline Classics are always fun.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    I have been intending to, but not sure I'll be able to before next weekend.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    I have seen Skyfall and Spectre but not Casino Royale or Quantum. Are the latter two important for this one or just callbacks?
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    See. Do we really need this kind of update? I mean this is a joke prediction.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok but no Deadline update is better than whatever the hell they tried with SC.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Obviously. With such poor walkups as Venom has had, it's clearly going to be much more frontloaded than Black Widow. Even 60 million will be tough.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Do you mean 6?
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Spectre did like 13x. Bond isn't a preview-driven franchise.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    I think we had better not use BW for comps anymore. BW comp for SC gave 9.8 million, for this it was giving around 13 million (probably 12.5ish adjusting for the missing hour). I think the coverage must have increased a lot since then.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Recent M:I films have just been shitting on all other action movies. 7 deserves that billion.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't get how you are getting these low numbers. MTC3 cannot be that bad surely. Look at the ratio vs everything else we have tracked this year, I don't see how it's lower than 12. Nvm. I see what you mean by coverage increase. But I don't think it would make that big of a difference in just a couple of months surely?
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Wasn't that BW final update 1 hour earlier though?
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    Venom 2 verified audience score at 86% which usually translates to B+ or at best A-. Doubt WOM will be appreciably better than the first despite the big difference in reviews.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    How are those the targets? That would be a crazy high MTC ratio.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    I threw out that 45 without really thinking about it, doing some calculations from Solo multi vs lower tier MCU I think that IM should be 5.5-6 so 30s seems right. I think your table has it about right.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    I think even TSS lost a big chunk of money looking at how it did in the UK. Though it wouldn't have been huge either way but at least it wouldn't have been embarrassingly bad.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    That's trivial, 45 is a better goal.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    GvK would have been bigger than any movie released so far this year with an October/November release, imo. Its trailer was second only to NWH in hype. I think it could have done 120 OW.
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