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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Yeah I can totally see NWH winning. It should increase a lot from FFH. V2 will have a smaller increase. NWH is a near-Avengers film in terms of hype.
  2. The ending of the second opens up some grand possibilities. I think it has a shot at #2 WW of 2022 (behind Avatar).
  3. In any case I am also having issues with MTC2. It seems that they've implemented some sort of anti-scraping block software that will shoot down requests that don't have JS enabled. Will look into ways to get around that. On the point about preview to OW ratios, I think it can be misleading. If you just looked at Venom's internal multi, it wouldn't really stand out, but we all know how great the walkups were.
  4. I'm not sure that adult-skewing movies would necessarily have better walkups. Venom 2 had exceptional walkups and skews youngish. Think it's more related to fanbase and I think Bond has a comparable fanbase to Furious. Though I have been wondering if F9 walkups had some capacity limitations at MTC1. I don't remember exactly but I think a few areas still had limits.
  5. Eternals probably 12.5-27-36.5-24.5 would be my guess for how it could get there. Let's see how PS starts. I think 100 million, but I'm definitely a bit biased here.
  6. Friday sales are lower than F9 had at MTC1 (it was about 42k at this time) despite Thurs being higher. Didn't expect that. Though it is higher in gross with ATP much higher.
  7. What if my parameters on "better directed" are the type of direction that gives me maximal entertainment? Plenty of people are very entertained by The Room. How can you objectively say that I'm wrong to have those parameters? Even in this hyperbolic example you've chosen, there is no objectivity involved.
  8. And who decides what is "objective"? "Most people"? Sounds like tyranny of the majority to me.
  9. I feel like Halloween Kills can fill that role. Yeah it's on Peacock but that's not a huge subscribed service, and horror tends to draw people to theaters.
  10. Growth on Saturday was always expected though? I don't know what that has to do with legs. The first one had a 2.67 multi with similar WoM and less competition, and without being a sequel.
  11. I'll give you the Leap of Faith, but the Berlin illusion sequence was much better than all the rest you listed. I always found the kiss scene especially to be utterly overrated.
  12. Yeah, but it does have one of its main characters doing a Bollywood dance -- twice the power, at least.
  13. Based on what I've seen it seems like reception is good but weaker than Skyfall. Maybe I'm wrong but it looks that way to me.
  14. I think holiday is a bigger factor. Though if Skyfall didn't have holiday-inflated 7 days, I can't see NTTD matching that with the huge release, finale factor, and weaker reception. Maybe like 2.4-2.5.
  15. I think more like 37.25-30.84-20 for 88. It would have to go insane to beat Joker, pretty much impossible from that Friday.
  16. 7 days comparison should work. I don't think it would inflate things. Each film would have an equal opportunity to make money in the first 7 days, unless there was some holiday for Spectre. The problem is comparing 7 days to normal OWs.
  17. Given how long my run takes it won't give a precise idea of the pace anyway. We can just adjust upward a bit from MTC1 number.
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