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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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I agree with Keyser that V2 is looking around 90, which makes it competitive for top 2 DOM OWs. But top 2 total will be a much taller task with the competition it's facing, and even the first one did not have amazing legs. I'm still not thinking it beats SC total domestically though it will be fairly close.
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I mean I wouldn't be surprised if it was like 16 positive reviews in a row and then 2 negative. Sample size is really low. But all audience start is not that amazing either and that at least has more than 50 ratings. That said I don't think anyone expected this to have amazing WOM in the US. I expect a B+ Cinemascore, maybe A- at best.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Damn, didn't realize that. In that case...well, I won't say anything for now. No need to raise expectations yet. But that opens up some possibilities. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
At this pace 11 million previews should be doable. Though with earlier preview start times there won't be as much acceleration in night shows, but doesn't need crazy acceleration to get there. It added 400k in 2.5 hours. Hopefully another 600k in the next 2.5, then perhaps another 300-400k in the next 2.5, then maybe another 100-200k till final. (see edit). 5ish final seems about right which can get it over 11 with a good MTC ratio. Edit: used the wrong time comparison for SC final. -
I'm gonna disagree on that. Sure critics hated it because they found it too offensive but Bad Boys 2 had exceptionally well-directed action scenes, really sharp chemistry and humor, and was well-paced and stylish. I think it was a really well-made action movie and if it was released today, when critics are more kind to these types of movies, it would get good reviews.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
MTC1 might be better. MTC2 skews to family films. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It's a strong pace. Though 4PM previews will be strong in the morning but it's so strong that even adjusting for that doesn't even matter much. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well it won't beat SC Sunday unless it goes utterly bonkers but should beat it on Thu-Fri-Sat yeah. I am in between you and Charlie. Thinking 10.5-23.5-27.5-17.5. Around 79 million OW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Shang-Chi Friday was 2.387 million while Thursday was 2.553 million so 93.4%. Venom Friday is 2.568 million while Thursday is 2.834 million so 90.6%. Last week it was the opposite with SC sales being much more Thursday loaded than Venom. Which indicates to me that a lot of casual audience demand is being shifted to Thursday with the huge showcount. Which means that Venom's True Fri/Th ratio may be lower than Shang-Chi. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Friday ratio seems worse than Shang-Chi actually which is surprising after it started out much stronger. I think the huge preview show count is cannibalizing from Friday. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
MTC2 Many Saints Friday Shows: 1305 (+15) Tickets Sold: 7209/136894 (+1346) Same story as before. Addams Family 2 Thursday Shows: 1512 (+29) Tickets Sold: 4535/162241 (+1212) JC comp: 1.02 million Friday Shows: 2880 (+79) Tickets Sold: 14656/320388 (+4289) JC comp: 6.02 million Comp increases are not crazy. Will tamp down my expectations here especially given lack of PLFs that Charlie pointed out yesterday, still think 20 is doable with good walkups. -
South Korea Box Office
Menor the Destroyer replied to diskojustice's topic in International Box Office
Missed this before but the reception seems fairly meh?