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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Nice. 2.7 million is good. Green Knight was lower than many projected, so I guess the MTC2 underperformance did indicate something there. JC Friday last night was 44148, which is about 43% of F9 at the same point. I'm hoping that ratio to increase for an 11 million Friday. Saturday was 25058 which is slightly down from Friday at the same point. Probably looking for a small bump there.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Solid preview number for JC.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    MTC2 Usually we don't say the names of the chains we scrape because back when Keyser started doing MTC1, people started assuming that Keyser was some insider with access, which they wanted to avoid.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Baseball is baseball though, superteams are probably less valuable than any other sport. I still think the Astros have a shot (or at least hope they do). That would be glorious. Here's hoping.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    36759 in the latest run. No change in prediction. I may update one more time tonight but I don't think there's much uncertainty about where this is finishing in ticket sales at this point. Just depends on if the MTC2 overperformance of F9 cancels out with the (likely) MTC2 overperformance of JC. @charlie Jatinder Fri and Sat are running, but since I am finalizing showtimes first it may not be finished before I sleep. So I will update tomorrow morning if it doesn't.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Same lol. Man I will be annoyed if this puts them over the top to repeat.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    To be fair, I think JC is also overindexing in MTC2. Family films tend to be very strong in MTC2.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    33691 in the latest run. That's very good evening walkups. Probably looking at a 42k+ finish at MTC2, which in a straight comp with F9 would give 2.46 million+.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Yes, especially for Thursday sales, but not clear whether it will be enough to get this over BOP.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    From the article it sounds like her contract pretty clearly stipulated theatrical regardless, so not sure how this is relevant.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    JC is at 28689 in MTC2 as of about 30 min ago. No change in my projection earlier, which was 2.27 million. Will do another couple of runs to see how night walkups go. BW had pretty poor night walkups, which indicates that PA may hurt it, but this is a very different type of film so I'm optimistic. Not gonna bother with Green Knight as that is clearly underperforming big time at MTC2 from yesterday's numbers.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    I dislike the style of criticism of praising one film by making snarky put-downs of something else. Feels juvenile.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Early afternoon update, JC is at 17504 tickets sold at MTC2. F9 was at 70452 at the same point. It has sold 5459 tickets since last night as opposed to F9 having sold 13335 in the same period (so pace is 0.408x F9). If it continues this pace, it will finish with around 39k tickets at MTC2, which gives 2.27 million in previews when compared with F9. Now F9 overperformed at MTC2, but my suspicion is that Jungle Cruise will overperform as well, which is why I'm using this comp.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Is there some UK-specific reason why this could happen? That would be shocking considering it's not coming remotely close to either BW or F9 in the US. Usually UK and US have a decent correlation.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Suicide Squad MTC2 Thursday Showings: 1397 (+4) Seats Sold: 6979/224106 (+826) Comps: 0.308x F9 (estimated) at the same point (2.19 million) 0.124x BW (estimated) at the same point (1.64 million) Friday: Showings: 3211 (nc) Seats Sold: 5022/531206 (+476) Comps: 0.231x F9 (estimated) at the same point (5.24 million) 0.128x BW (estimated) at the same point (3.37 million) I adjusted the estimated comps so that I was comparing at the exact same point in time (rather than with offsets of a few hours) so that explains some of the rise, particularly on Friday. Still, Thursday did see a decent review bump. If it continues this (big if) then it's probably heading for 3.5 million. Friday still looks pretty awful even with the review bump. Maybe 7-7.5 million true Friday if things don't pick up.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    It came in #2 for Wednesday and was barely ahead of Jungle Cruise. Probably will open lower than JC for the full weekend, so #3.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    With no PA messing with things, it should be doable.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Health pass or no, TSS having a Wed OD barely ahead of Jungle Cruise doesn't seem good. Jungle Cruise will have the advantage on weekends and should be less frontloaded in general unless WOM for TSS is truly exceptional.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    That TV spot is doing weirdly well on YouTube. Gonna cross the 100k likes mark and has been trending for over a day.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    IW being the audience favorite is debatable. It has better scores online but Endgame generally had better scores in theater surveys which perhaps means that Endgame played better for general audiences while IW was more liked by fans.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Was hoping for a bit more. Because even with this review bump it's only on a 3.6 million pace relative to AQP2 (which I think ends up being the best comp).
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    That's a much better looking day. Just depends on if it can sustain that for the next couple.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Jungle Cruise MTC2 Thursday Showtimes: 1861 (+70) Seats Sold: 12045/275452 (+3008) Friday Showtimes: 4105 (+93) Seats Sold: 26011/643058 (+7068) Meh jumps. Thinking 1.8ish previews and 26ish OW, unless walkups are really good.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    I wasn't super into box office at the time but did JL meet expectations? I've always heard it characterized as a failure. The performance definitely wasn't good in absolute terms, but idk what the expectations were at the time.
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