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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Godzilla vs Kong Cinemark PWPs: Wednesday: 1354 sold out of 2067 total. Estimated sales (using 80% ratio): $161,396 Thursday: 880 sold out of 2028 total. Estimated sales: $104,896 Friday: 1612 sold out of 2891 total. Estimated sales no clue. Saturday: 2434 sold out of 3281 total. Estimated sales again no clue. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It's a fair point, but it's not like WW2 had that many walkups even with those factors. So it's not like GvK needs some kind of huge burst to beat it, especially with GvK having significantly more PS. But you could be right. Tbh I have little idea how this will play out with all the uncertainties about the ratio, the late burst, the walkups. My gut is telling me 10 or higher but I could easily be off. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I have a hard time seeing the OD below WW84. But we will see. WW84 I also thought should be lower from the MTC data. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That and lower capacity probably. Less room for a film to increase. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Last really big one I remember was FFH which was a totally different circumstance, but iirc the pre-sales on that were really heavily skewed toward OD. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I will get the data later today. But keep in mind that the ratio of PWPs being for GvK is not likely to be consistent day-to-day. On OD probably 80-85%, but probably significantly less on Fri/Sat. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Menor the Destroyer replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Or even without the HBO Max release tbh, I think piracy is definitely affecting things. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Menor the Destroyer replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
More like 46 I guess. Unless the last hour really speeds up. -
Godzilla vs Kong International Thread.
Menor the Destroyer replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
To be honest, even these good ODs almost feel sad as without COVID, this probably could have been a massive increase over KOTM. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Menor the Destroyer replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
19:00 it's 37.3 million. Is the final number being used for PSm counting until 3am or until midnight. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Is it possible that Cesar Chavez day might be affecting things? Not being from California I have no idea if people are actually off work/school. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That will be good to have going forward. But to compare with WW84 I guess it's better to use the number from the lower amount of theaters? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Compared to where you had WW84 on T-8, it's 63% ahead in gross and 25% ahead in admits. Quite solid imo. But it'll need to start accelerating soon to remain on pace. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah, no really good comps for this one unfortunately. WW84 is probably the best we can do but the situation is far different now than even then. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah, but it will affect the comps. Like @Porthoshas said that there aren't any Regal-only areas in his region, not sure about @Inceptionzq. So extrapolating from these two will potentially overstate things. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Minus Regal as well though. -
I will watch in OW if it's playing in my Cinemark or any of the local chain theaters. Otherwise I might just wait for it to come free. Being a prequel spoilers are not such a huge concern here anyway. Eh, even if BW is really hurt by the PA, I find it hard to see it losing that one. And even if BW really bombs, I think F9 will make a lot more than Peter Rabbit.
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Then why not do theatrical exclusive? And if the argument is that hybrid is going to be the long term strategy for Disney, then one would expect them to go a bit further than this. My only guess is basically what @WandaLegion said, their PA results have been inconclusive enough to test it for a big blockbuster but not quite good enough to commit long term.