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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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Tuesday Numbers - 05/14/19 | A:EG - 5.7, DP - 5.4
Menor the Destroyer replied to oMeriMombatti's topic in Numbers and Data
I think a lot of you are forgetting that IW had a shitty Thursday and Friday so Endgame will most likely take the lead back very quickly -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm a little concerned about it tbh, yeah family film walkups but it's also a sequel, there should be some level of presales eventually. Still, I'd wait another couple weeks before really getting worried, we're still a ways out -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
What would happen would be it'll be some small-scale origin film a la Ant-Man 1, and it'll make $600 million WW or so, but the other MCU solos will have a much higher average gross due to increased popularity of the franchise after Endgame, so people on here will declare it a flop just like Age of Floptron and Ant-Man and the Flop -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
Looking at MT and Fandango, I'm hoping Pikachu's Tuesday increase ends up great because otherwise we could be looking at yet another yikes Tuesday for Endgame (hoping for at least 5.9) -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
I just feel like, even though I'd put it +/- TLJ (maybe slightly higher) myself, Star Wars' upside should not be underestimated with the incredible brand awareness it has in the US. That's why I think TROS over clubs should be really ambitious -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
Is TROS > 700m really that crazy though? I feel like that's in most people's ranges. TROS>750 million might be a more interesting club -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Also as has been mentioned CM's early presales were benefited by its being the first big blockbuster of the year -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
Yes... I'd say it's extremely likely that both of those will have significantly higher grosses than their previous entries. Where is the evidence that they won't? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I expect the former. The movie doesn't look great but 15% is Transformers 5 level -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I will add to the people who think G2 may be more walkup-based than Aladdin. Beauty and the Beast was very presale-heavy, on the level of a CBM (its OW/PS ratio was the same as Guardians 2, which was a highly anticipated sequel). The nostalgia created by the 90s animated classics makes these remakes have a built-in fanbase in the same way a CBM/franchise movie does. And if the movie is good, it makes no sense to release the embargo this late (not like spoilers are gonna be a thing), so I think there's a high likelihood of poor reviews. -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
It will be #2 domestic easily, just because it doesn't beat TFA doesn't mean it isn't a cultural event, it's opening alone proves that it is a domestic cultural event because people were that hyped to see it immediately -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Can't say for sure. In my theory FFH will not outgross CM. Idk I feel like FFH will get a decent Endgame boost, have to see how it develops, hopefully it'll have a nice runup starting from June or my club is gonna look really stupid -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
And FFH has 6 full days of presales. Doubt that has a huge effect this far out, if anything the lack of a traditional Thursday preview may be hurting it a bit -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
IIRC the number for FFH is a tad lower than the equivalent one for CM? -
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
Menor the Destroyer replied to JB33's topic in Numbers and Data
So did IW -
Infinity War and Endgame complement each other, I don't think it's as simple for me as one film is better easily because they work together very well. That said, Endgame is a (slightly) more impactful experience for me due to that amazing third act which IW couldn't quite match despite having a great third act of its own.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I see your point but at the same time I feel like CBMs generally have somewhat similar behavior when it comes to presalesm, except outlier cases like Endgame or even IW -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Fits what I can see on the Pulse tracker, the fan event seems to be selling very well (over 10%) of the "normal" tickets