Menor the Destroyer
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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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Trailers were ugly looking but the TV spots have shown some nice-looking Dr Strange visuals. From watching a few which repeat some trailer scenes, some scenes in the trailers definitely had very unfinished effects. -
This is true, there is definitely some evidence that downer endings artificially deflate the Cinemascore/polling. IW and EG were aiming at different things. IW nails what it's trying to do really well for me, as does EG, but I don't think the latter is necessarily superior.
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Possible, but the only places where I've seen IW outscore EG are online metrics and EG did outdo IW in most GA polling. Reception for both was strong enough that the discussion is sort of academic. Plus I hardly even care, they are practically tied at the top in terms of my MCU ranking.
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IW was a bit more loved by the fanbase, EG did play a bit better for the general audience, probably because it was more cathartic.
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No surprise there lol. I think he said Infinity War was one of his least favorite MCU movies, this seems like it will be like that.
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This is going to make all the money, not just the positive reviews but the way things are described make it almost certain this will be a smash with audiences. Honestly even if I am not as high on the movie, I'm really glad. We haven't gotten to see a truly unleashed megahit like this since Endgame.
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He gave a bad reaction to BW and a mixed one to Eternals this year.
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Great reactions so far.
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Yeah it would have generated hype. Not at this level but imagine what the reactions would have been in the theater. I almost wish it had happened but then we wouldn't have gotten to enjoy this PS run.
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We're so close, they've clearly decided to let this be a reveal in the theater. Which, maybe not good for BO, but as a fan I'm happy for that. Plus it will boost the WOM and could help legs.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Not far behind Shang Chi Thursday I believe at MTC1. MTC2 is probably higher considering it had an excellent day 1 of 11k sales. And a full OD will have bigger walkups than previews so I am hopeful for 10+ on Wed. It remains to be seen how well sales will hold with a mega opener taking the attention in a few days, but fingers crossed. -
I couldn't hold back my natural instincts... And now out of the way too overcrowded 210-220 zone.
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Lmao, we are ~1.5 million apart on every single day.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Huh? -
Ok, DS2 will not be on the level of EG or even NWH or IW. I am very confident in that.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Interesting, perhaps relatively weaker in Michigan (or maybe just SW is relatively stronger there). -
I think this will do fine, the PS seems solid enough.
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If the reviews and audience response are on par with the last two live-action Spider-Man movies then we are in business, 90%+ RT and an A Cinemascore will jolt a really strong run through the holidays.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
By 3PM seems too ambitious. 850-900k by the end of the day will be more than good enough. TROS added 120k until end of day Thu. Currently NWH is running +40-50% of TROS (without doing any coverage adjustment, just looking at the trend and adjusting slightly with Zack taking the run earlier than Keyser used to). Now, TROS had quite strong bumps on Sunday and Monday, but Tuesday onwards it didn't do anything special, and Wednesday was quite poor. So 850 should happen. 900 is a stretch goal if things go very well. -
That run for me was disappointing after the reviews dropped on Wednesday, then on Thursday I saw the film and my disappointment there drove out my disappointment about the BO lol. I really hope that double whammy doesn't happen for this movie.
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If this doesn't get strong reviews and reactions I will be sad. It's a different feeling when a film is getting strong ticket boosts and buzz that sustains to a huge OW, vs when something kinda limps along after tepid buzz, still delivering big numbers but you know there was potential for more.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Went back through the thread and looked at the general trend for TROS. My memory was slightly off. It had a solid pace through Monday, then some worrying signs on Tuesday, then Wed after reviews dropped was when it really fell off the pace. So, if NWH is going to play like that, we may not know until the very last minute. -
IGNORE. My final prediction is below.
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I may request it after today. Though for tonight I want to see the meltdowns (or lack thereof) once reactions/reviews drop.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
ROTS had decent WOM from the beginning with an A- and solid reviews and audience scores -- but the movie in question here is TROS (now where people find the "t" to call Rise of Skywalker "ROTS" is always baffling question to me). Still, both movies do show how Star Wars tends to have a way bigger fan rush than most franchises, which is why I would expect NWH, even with Covid hampering things, to have a better trend through the weekend. Btw from what I can tell, Friday sales at Alpha are well outstripping what TROS had. Probably will be the same everywhere except Regal.
