Alexander
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Everything posted by Alexander
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Movie bussiness is clearly shrinking, that's for sure .
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Sounds like Zaslav's preparing to buy Paramount after 2024 presidential election. CNBC+Puck I think one way or another Paramount will kinda 'dissapear' in next two years. WBD, Universal or Netflix will buy them.
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People only started rating Brother Bear in last few years. At the time of its premiere it had awful reviews but now it's a totally different story for some reason. And I think it's the same with Sinbad and few other animated movies from late 90s / early 00s. Mainly those that also adults can enjoy.
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When I looked at your tracking thread early this week I thought previews 5.2-5.4 and 37-38 weekend, 40-42 best case scenario. I think that's where it's gonna end up so not bad not great.
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20-25 OW, 65%+ second weekend drop and absolutely zero interest overseas.
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Well, Deadpool will have Foxverse characters and 00s nostalgia is one of few things that still sells. I think one of the problems is that MCU fans are mostly general audience. They hardly ever read any comic book, they just like MCU because it's popular. I look at places like SHH forum and basically only NWH (mainly because of OGs returning) and Reeves' Batman had any activity there. The rest... Days of those proper fanboys are long gone. That always makes it easier to lose a big % of audience very quickly.
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Guess this will have previews between 5.8-6.4 and then open around 45M. Just terrible.
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Looks ok, I guess. Reeves' Apes 3 finished 380M WW-China so wouldn't suprise if this one struggled with 300. Maybe 280-320M or so.
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Looks like another Ryan Reynolds-type action comedy. Something like 160-180M WW would be my prediction.
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But that number was dated to September 30, 2022. Since that they had two or three rounds of reshoots + post-production. I think that real budget will be $240-250m absolute minimum.
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It’s Me. Hi. I’m The Eras Tour Weekend Thread | 39M Friday
Alexander replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So for 24 hours amc will act like maybe, MAYBE Swift broke Joker's record lol. -
So 220 + three or so rounds of reshoots.
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But that's only because of China. Obviously Christmas will help again and I expect this one to have shorter runtime (100-110 minutes) but hard to imagine anything less than 25%+ drop WW-China.
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Ferrari | December 25, 2023 | Mann/Driver | NEON
Alexander replied to TMP's topic in Box Office Discussion
Probably the best trailer this year. Gorgeous. -
But that probably means WBD won't receive anything there and chinese just covered a part of Meg's production budget.
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I'm not sure. Previews + SUN added extra 6-6.3 + will lose imax so 2nd weekend drop will be brutal. If GT finished 65-70 dom, 80+ os, China 30+ then it's kinda decent I guess but this will struggle to make even 2/3.
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Inflation doesn't work well fir big-budget movies. These days SM2 would make 40%+ from imax and lpf so realistically atp would be even higher.
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Yeah, also here Barbie has 6.0-6.5 reactions. Think this could be another 2023 blockbuster which doesn't connect that well outside of US.
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MI Thursday under 3.5M seems likely now.
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I think both MI and the Flash should have been released in March / April. Easter or one week before.
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180 million budget? Maybe they paid potential profits to actors in advance? When this was announced artickes said it's a 100 million movie.
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CW Iron Man
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So how the Flash's 2nd is gonna look like? 12-13M?
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Looks like a 30M B-movie filmed in Bulgaria. Under 130M WW.
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THE FLASH | 163.2M overseas | 271.3M worldwide
Alexander replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
120-130 DOM 150-170 OS Yeah, under 300M WW likely.
