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Wish D-01: 80k Ahead of Encanto final but below minions (100k D-01) at the same time, 1m admits seems guaranteed with at minimum decent WOM

12.12: THE DAY 7th weekend (739,490) -16% LW. Already 14th highest admits for a Korean movie, by next weekend it will be inside the top 8 and pass The Roundup for most admits Post-COVID!

i'm interested in seeing if Mean Girls or Wonka will win January, I'd guess probably Wonka but Mean Girls might break out

50/165 is also kind of crazy since that would mean almost the same legs that TROS had in the same release date in 2019

I’m thinking 45/155

Went through most of next year and it's not looking good, here's my top 40: 1. Inside Out 2 ($515M) 2. Deadpool 3 ($425M) 3. Despicable Me 4 ($305M) 4. Joker: Folie a Deux ($300M) 5. Sonic the Hedgehog 2 ($295M) 6. Gladiator 2 ($285M) 7. Dune 2 ($245M) 8. Venom 3 ($220M) 9. Beetlejuice 2 ($215M) 10. Godzilla X Kong: New Empire ($200M) 11. Mufasa: The Lion King ($186M) 12. Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim ($175M) 13. The Garfield Movie ($160M) 14. Kung Fu Panda 4 ($147M) 15. Horizon: An American Saga Part 1 ($146M) 16. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire ($145M) 17. Furiosa ($138M) 18. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes ($134M) 19. A Quiet Place: Day One ($130M) 20. Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 2 ($128M) 21. Wicked Part 1 ($125M) 22. Bad Boys 4 ($125M) 23. The Fall Guy ($118M) 24. Twisters ($106M) 25. Transformers One ($100M) 26. Mean Girls ($95M) 27. Alien: Romulus ($92M) 28. Untitled Karate Kid Movie ($87M) 29. Ballerina ($85M) 30. IF ($85M) 31. Borderlands ($80M) 31. Bob Marley: One Love ($65M) 32. Mickey 17 ($60M) 33. Civil War ($58M) 34. Argylle ($57M) 35. Kraven the Hunter ($55M) 36. Untitled M. Night Shymalan ($54M) 37. Challengers ($50M) 38. It Ends with Us ($49M) 39. Madame Web ($48M) 40. Trap ($46M) After that it becomes a crapshoot, there's definitely going to be films that make it into the top 40 or even 30 that aren't on this list. 40.

imo this is the most impressive box office run of this year in any country: only one that compares is 12:12 the day which also has had crazy legs in Korea, or maybe Mario in Mexico

I think the fact that it’s a big brash action movie and has all of April to itself should be enough

I’m with you on legs, but I can’t see opening weekend being that low

There’s a lot of wildcards this year: Horizon, Garfield, Gladiator 2, Furiosa, Wicked, Fall Guy, etc. I wouldn’t be surprised if they all failed to reach 100m nor if they were big successes

12:12 already up to 16th place on local all time admits list, 6th place guaranteed at the least

I feel like we will see a large amount of movies (around 15) hit somewhere in the mid 100s

Beetlejuice 2 sweep!

12.12 should pass Noryang dailies by next week, if it had equal shows it would probably be ahead

On this point, most sales for Christmas Day (not just for TCP) near me are concentrated in the early afternoon shows, with minimal sales past 7 PM

Probably won’t reach 100m

Noryang will probably finish around 55% of Hansan

How's Spy x Family looking? I can see it's getting a lot of seating (700k on mimorin).

insidekino does this analysis for Germany, sadly not US, but here's the page: http://www.insidekino.com/DJahr/XMNY.htm they ended up concluding that Thursday being Christmas eve/NY eve was the best, but you'd have to take into account that two of the years that happened was when Avatar and The Force Awakens released.

Wonka should probably do around 4m tomorrow and 16-17m for the weekend putting it at 73-75m by the end of weekend. Ferdinand legs would take it to 230-235m.

yup, review bump I'm guessing + naturally good walkups for a rom com

Is Spider-Man 3 the record for just Superhero movies or for all movies?

Not great for Noryang, Hanson did 386k OD. 12.12 will probably pass 10m on Saturday.

Domestically, Beetlejuice 2 is the one I think

Yeah, people expected Mario to be a success, but not to the level it ended up being. I remember a large point of contention was about whether it could pass 1 billion.