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Bob Train

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Everything posted by Bob Train

  1. Bob Train
    biggest downgrade of all time
  2. Bob Train
  3. Bob Train
    I’m Just Ken was robbed
  4. Bob Train
    Joker will do over $350m I think, maybe $400m.
  5. Bob Train
    It looks like Dune is keeping some big true IMAXes like Lincoln Square when Ghostbusters opens, like how Oppenheimer kept the biggest IMAXes when Blue Beetle opened.
  6. Bob Train
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  8. Bob Train
    $300m DOM is a possibility. Also, people saying Dune would make $100m OW were still closer than you who said it would make $65m OW despite no trackers corroborating that.
  9. Bob Train
    KFP4 is headed for $200m at this point. Great -43% drop for Dune as well. March headed for $700m+ for sure.
  10. Bob Train
    Over the first one?
  11. Bob Train
    Dune 2 would have certainly competed with Oppenheimer and possibly prevented it from clean sweeping if it released in it's original date. It released a lot closer to Oscar season than Oppy. I think it would have taken tech categories for sure, even though Oppy probably would still take Picture/Director.
  12. Bob Train
    It has no competition so it will have good legs regardless of WOM.
  13. Bob Train
    So far 0/3 reviews are positive https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/imaginary/reviews?intcmp=rt-scorecard_tomatometer-reviews
  14. Bob Train
  15. Bob Train
    That would be a 27% drop excluding previews Even Barbie/Oppenheimer drop in the 35% range when excluding previews.
  16. Bob Train
    Inception multiplier would put it at $325m on the dot
  17. Bob Train
    Dune would need to make ≈2.7x it's first week to reach $300m. There are 121 films which have had a first week above $100m, of which only 6 have made >2.7x their first weeks. They are Jungle Book (2.79x), Wonder Woman (2.79x), Inception (2.92x), Avatar 2 (3.46x), Top Gun 2 (3.50x), and Avatar (5.47x) So 300m seems tough, and would need to follow Wonder Woman/Inception trajectory for that. But I think $260m-$280m is very much in play. Same first week/DOM ratio as Oppenheimer would put it at $284m. Joker $268m.
  18. Bob Train
    Same jumps as The Batman would project to a $51m weekend. Creed 3 projects to $53m weekend.
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  21. Bob Train
    I will be bold and say $500m OS
  22. Bob Train
    Even higher
  23. Bob Train
    nvm
  24. Bob Train
    Likely a typo from the Numbers then. I can't see the revised estimates be off by that much.
  25. Bob Train
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