Bob Train

I don’t think Furiosa bombs but it’s gonna be lower than Fall Guy, Apes, and Garfield IMO. If WOM is strong it can have a leggy run.

They should've put Cap 4 out this year, not like there is a shortage of release dates in Q4. Because now 2025 & 2026 look really stacked in terms of CBMs, while this year has only 3 big ones and 2 Sony duds.

March '24 can become first month since Nov '18 to yield 3 $190m+ (maybe $200m+?) grossers

Can GxK beat the $9.7m Thursday Previews made by another WB cinematic icon?

I think GxK blow-up has something to do with the fact that no "casual" action movie has done over $70m OW since Spider-Verse 9 months ago...

Hoping for a $13m weekend for KFP4

I find it interestring how Monsterverse has, historically, gotten way better reviews than Transformers. 3/5 movies being above 74% is crazy considering how Transformers was averaging like 20% until Bumblebee.

most movies should go up Thursday I think, followed by +100% increases on Friday. See 2018

RotB final sold block seems incorrect

I agree with this. I think 100-110m OW and 360-370m DOM. I think competition and Disney having issues in middle America will prevent it from doing 480m like Frozen 2 and Finding Dory did. I think it may see a bigger increase OS though because Wish and Elemental prove Disney name is bigger there, so over 900m WW.

Pandemic didn't affect everywhere equally, although idk how much SK was affected.

It's awesome how Dune 2 and JW4 had nearly identical opening days but Dune 2 is ending $100m+ higher than JW4

I think Spider-Man will take Blade's date and Blade will get pushed to Presidents Day.

Pre-Easter weekdays has the second round of Spring Breaks. Zootopia also followed this trend in the weekdays before Easter. The impact is larger for kids films which usually see lower weekdays.

Dune had terrible walkups because people bought their PLF tickets in advance, GxK will have way better walkups because it's appealing to a more casual audience that doesn't buy in advance

Crazy how this movie still doesn't even have a release date

Dune $17.61m (-38.23%) Immaculate $5.34m

https://deadline.com/2024/03/box-office-ghostbusters-frozen-empire-1235865730/

I think it's clear original movies do better when there are no big blockbusters to suck up the money. This March there was KFP4, Dune 2, and GxK still coming so audiences probably saved their money for those movies. So audiences weren't willing to pay for dumped original movies like Arthur the King. Even still Immaculate opening is pretty good for a small distributor. If you look over the Holiday season, when there were no big blockbusters, the original movies did a lot better. The Boy and the Heron did very well, ABY did great, and The Boys in the Boat and Iron Claw also did well. Even Beekeeper did pretty well on MLK weekend.

I still won't rule out $200m for KFP4. People also thought Migration would miss $100m in early January. No competition can do wonders for kids movie legs.