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Bob Train

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Everything posted by Bob Train

  1. Bob Train
    You could've used this exact same argument for Rise of the Beasts going sub-100m. These casual action films that don't have dedicated fans usually don't completely collapse.
  2. Bob Train
    Damn some people here really want Dune to be a flop and are grasping at straws here
  3. Bob Train
    There's nothing to indicate that it will only make $500m. It is set for $175-$180m WW opening according to latest estimates. Overseas it is playing best in mature, leggy markets like Germany, France, that will backload it, and WOM is great everywhere. PS are very strong in China where it hasn't opened yet so I think a WW total close to $700m is likely.
  4. Bob Train
    Industry tracking was (initially) at 65m-75m, it is set to open over that. Dune 2 is set to deliver a healthy profit, $600m-$700m WW, so I do not see why they would slash the budget. Either way, they won't be making these decisions based off what people on this website are saying for sure. https://deadline.com/2024/02/box-office-dune-part-two-opening-projection-1235819080/
  5. Bob Train
    Messiah is 100% guaranteed. People also said Dune 2 would never get made and look where we are.
  6. Bob Train
    JW4 and Logan had to compete for screens and audiences with 500m+ grossers less than 3 weeks in their runs. I think Dune will have better legs. PLF experience will cause more people to have more repeat viewings.
  7. Bob Train
  8. Bob Train
  9. Bob Train
    EA shows were only IMAX, and MTC1 has a disproportionately high amount of IMAX.
  10. Bob Train
    In key IMAXes that are generating the most revenue it is selling out, like Lincoln Square, Metreon, etc. In most other markets there is plenty of space.
  11. Bob Train
    I remember no one uploaded the Bob Marley trailer in it's thread until like a day after it dropped, but it still massively exceeded expectations... So no, not really.
  12. Bob Train
    I don’t believe in A+, have to preserve the 4000+ theaters, A+ Cinemascore, 600m+ DOM rule
  13. Bob Train
    Funny how after all the doom and gloom handwringing it ended up in the expected 10m Thursday range anyways. Probably some Puerto Rico cash included in the number.
  14. Bob Train
    I’m pretty sure IMAX said Dune 2 was originally gonna get IMAX for 5-6 weeks in it’s original date, and if it moved then they would give it to Marvels
  15. Bob Train
    Damn…80m back on the menu?
  16. Bob Train
  17. Bob Train
    Hadn't though of that one, but Sonic had 11.45x which seems possible although I think a video game adaptation would have more fan rush than KFP.
  18. Bob Train
    Looking at some potential comparisons (excluding Summer and Holiday releases because those usually have better walkups on THU) -Trolls: 23.07x IM (had EA burn off demand though) -Paw Patrol: didn't have previews in US, had them in CAN, but were not reported -Lyle Lyle Crocodile: 19.83x -The Bad Guys: 28.68x I don't think KFP4 will go as high an IM any of these as it will probably have larger previews than any.
  19. Bob Train
    95% on both, audiences & critics are aligned
  20. Bob Train
    Did he forget about Avatar
  21. Bob Train
    I think Superman/Batman/Wonder Woman are (relatively) bigger domestically than overseas, compared to something like Aquaman.
  22. Bob Train
    Another $1b+ incoming. Hype.
  23. Bob Train
    Belongs here
  24. Bob Train
    Who was expecting Dune to make $700m DOM?
  25. Bob Train
    it appears this site has given me permanent "derby champion" title even though I've never won lol. I'm flattered.
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