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THG should not be considered. It had a nice OD but then fell like a rock. CF is a perfect comparision (it would have been more perfect if they both opened on Wed). Mp1 is going to make 3,7-4M€ on OW

In EU MokcingJay OD is better than CF Mp1 OD Thur: 670K EU CF OD Wed: 630K EU CF 2ndDay Thur: 395K EU. Today (Fri) Mp1 should do about 600K EU (750K $). IS -42%, it was expected, 1,5-7$ for the Weekend. Remeber that Penguins are coming on Sat on 350screens.

CF made 5,9$M in its first 5 days (with an exchange rate of 0,73) (of which, 5M during OW). Mp1 should make 5$M in its OW (4 days). IS will be for sure above 10$M on Sunday. 13-14$M is now a realistic goal IMHO. On Saturday and on Sunday there will be "national premiere" of Penguins (that means that the movie will basically be out for two full days in a good number of theaters): I expect at least 2$M but it's difficult to predict.

China's Mockingjay release has been delayed to Jan 15. So there will be only a few days for its box office before the game ends. Does this affect HG os countries question? In other words, is China's result still part of the game or have we to use our make up country?

15$M is improbable. 2nd We drop here are smaller than 3rd We drop. Imho 11-12M$ is a safer range

Come on Deadline! Do your work! Give us numbers!

McConaughey has won an Oscar but that doesn't mean anything in a BO prospective (at least in Italy). Yes, more people know who he is nowadays than 5 years ago but most of the GA still doesn't recognize him. isn't in the marketing. Hathaway had only a success here in Italy (Devil wears Prada) and I don't think the GA knows who she is. Foe? Do you think someone went to the cinema saying “Oh I am going to see IS because there is the actress who was in the last Twlight movie, my favorite movie.” Noone recognizes her. If there was Pattinson, it would have been another story. Caine was in all Nolan recent movies so he had more exposure than the others; but certainly not that much. Chastain? If I ask to 20 friends of mine who she is, two of them would say “Yes, I know her”. Shall we talk about DiCaprio? Here in Italy almost everyone loves him. GA appreciates him. His box office track is amazing. In Italy He has the Star Power. Maybe also Damon has some (but less), others actors above are not so-well known here. Then it's right to say “the name of the leading actor isn't the most important thing in a movie like Interstellar: it isn't a teen movie, the choice to see it or not depends more on the interest that you may have to the subject matter. “ but considering that we are in Italy, a well-known face would have attracted more people, that's a fact.

I don't expect the same multiplier as the fist We. By the way it should be at 6 M EU (7,5 M$) after Sunday.

Since it's "until its first Sunday", shouldn't Imax only release for 2 days included in IS's number? Thanks for your work

Also mine! thanks for your work

IMHO $10 M are locked. It could go as high as $13 M but I need to see WOM in the second Weekend.

Not a big success here in Italy, I honestly expected at least 7 mln EU; it's going to make no more than 6 mln EU. IS in now at +$4,3 M.

In Euros, during Fri-Sun, it has made as much as Inception did 4 years ago. But that had DiCaprio (who is very popular here)! If Interstellar had DiCaprio it would have done $5m

400 mln OS with that opening is certainly doable

Interstellar did 290k Euros on Thursday. That's more than DU (245k Euros on Thur) and GOTG (272k Euros on Wed). The First made 2,3 mln Euro during the Weekend (4days), while the second made 2,35 mln Euro during 4 days weekend (of which, 234k on Thur.) (+Wed=2,6 mln in 5 days). If it follows similar pattern it could make 2,7 mln Euro (3,4 mln $). Inception made 2,6 mln Euro (at the time, 3,55 mln $) in its first Weekend (but that was 3days).

I would like to ask a question: a year ago I found a nice site that talked about UK Box Office: it had Weekend Charts, yearly Charts, all-time charts, all-time admissions chart, everything in £! I lost its adress, does someone know what it could be?

Avatar was supposed to be released in 2007, we all know that it wasn't. Considering that we are talking about James Cameron, that they have to shot 3 movies and have a the post-production of the first, IMHO the movie will be out in December 2018 (maybe even December 2019)

1). Fury (SONY), 3,173 theaters / $8M+ to $9M Fri. (includes $1.2M latenights) / 3-day est. $23.5M to $25M / Wk 1 2). Gone Girl (FOX), 3,248 theaters / $5.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $17.5M to $18M / Total cume: $106.8M to $107.4M / Wk 3 3). The Book of Life (FOX), 3,071 theaters / $4.85M to $5M Fri. (includes $330K late nights) / 3-day cume: $17.4M / Wk 1 4). Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day (DIS), 3088 theaters (0) / $3.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $11M to $13M+ (-32%) / Total cume: $38.5M / Wk 2 5). The Best of Me (REL), 2,936 theaters / $4M to $4.4M Fri. (includes $550K late nights) / 3-day cume: $11M to $13M / Wk 1 6/7). The Judge (WB), 3003 theaters (0) / $2.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8M+ (-36%) / Total cume: $27.3M / Wk 2 Dracula Untold (UNI), 2,900 theaters (+13) / $2.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8M+ (-65%) / Total cume: $39.2M / Wk 2 8). Annabelle (WB), 2,878 theaters (-337) / $2.4MFri. / 3-day cume: $7.6M / Total cume: $73.8M / Wk 3 9). The Equalizer (SONY), 2,262 theaters (-885) / $1.55M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.4M / Total cume: $89M+ / Wk 4 10). The Maze Runner (FOX), 2,155 theaters (-917) / $1.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.5M to $4.8M / Total cume: $90M+ / Wk 5

http://deadline.com/2014/10/box-office-late-nights-fury-opens-to-strong-1-2m-book-of-life-to-300k-853641/ Strong for Fury: - Gone Girl: 1.25 mln - Gravity: 1,4 mln - Captain Phillips 0,6 mln 30 mln OW here we go.

$20 mln= 16 mln Euros Hollywood Movies: - Interstellar: Inception made almost 11 mln Euros in 2010. TDKR made 15 mln in 2012. This is a wild card, 16 mln is a stretch but possible (if it is good). CHANCE: 10% - Penguins of Madagascar: Madagascar is the most successful trilogy in Italy (more than TLOFR and all the others (http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/14102-italy-box-office-one-direction-where-we-are-won-the-weekend/?p=1685464 ) Moreover PUSS in Boots retained most of the audience of Shrek 4 (all in Euros): Madagascar 2 25.09 mln Madagascar 3 21,91 mln Madagascar 21.20 mln Shrek 2 20.84 mln Shrek 3 20.24 mln Shrek 4 17.02 mln Puss in Boots 16.31 mln (http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/14102-italy-box-office-one-direction-where-we-are-won-the-weekend/?p=1685468) CHANCE for 16 mln Euros: 50% - The Hobbit 3: the first made 16,41 mln, the second 12,79 mln. So 16 mln Euros is possible. CHANCE: 70% Italian Movies: - La scuola più bella del mondo (The most beautiful School in the World): the director of Benvenuti al Sud (30 mln Euros), Benvenuti al Nord (27 mln) e Un Boss in salotto (12 mln) works with 2 famous and popular actors here in Italy. CHANCE: 15% - Il ricco, il povero e il maggiordomo (The Rich, the poor and the butler): the most popular trio of comedians is back and it has an impressive track record: their movies made 17 mln in 1997, 23 mln in 1998, 29 mln in 2000, 23 mln in 2002, 16 mln in 2004, 13 mln in 2008, 22 mln in 2010. All datas are in euros. CHANCE: 85%

There isn't any big franchise anymore. There is no HP, no POTC and they don't care that much of The Hobbit and the new Spider Man. Italian Comedies tend to make less than what they used to do (Zalone's excluded). September 2014: admissions 5,710290 mln (-22,5%) September 2013: admissions 7,367742 mln As of 31 Sept. 2014: admissions 61,313 mln (-1,6%) As of 31 Sept. 2013: admissions 62,326 mln The gap is going to increase. Last year we had SOLE A CATINELLE and its 8 mln admissions.

Highest opening Weekend PAST Highest Opening Day PAST Lowest Opening Weekend FUTURE Lowest Opening Day FUTURE Highest 2nd weekend Drop ABSTAIN Biggest Multiplier PAST Lowest Multiplier ABSTAIN Highest Worldwide total PAST

1. Will Fury's OW be higher than Gone Girl's 2nd weekend (26.8ish current est)? YES 2. Will Book of life finish above Dracula? YES 3. Will Best of Me finish above Alexander's NGVBAFUD? NO 4. Will any film drop 60% or more? NO 5. Will Addicted stay in the top 10? NO 6. Will LEft Behind finish ahead of Meet the Mormons? NO 7. How many films will gross more than $10M this weekend? 5 8. Will The Golden Era finish above Tales of Princess Kaguya? YES 9. Will every part of SOTM1 (Annabelle question) be YES by the end of the weekend? YES 10. Which film will have the best weekend drop? Gone Girl 11. Will GOTG have a weekend above $1M? YES 12. Will Lucy Finish above Dragon 2? NO 13. Will Left behind stay in the top 15? NO 14. Will the Equalizer's Total Gross overtake The Maze Runner's total gross this weekend? NO 15. Which of the 11 non-wide new releases on BOM's release schedule for this weekend will have the highest PTA? BIRDMAN 12/15 2000 bonus 13/15 3000 bonus 14/15 5000 bonus 15/15 7000 bonus Bonus Questions (The closest prediction for each bonus wins the bonus stated): 1. What will be the combined OW of the 3 main new releases? 57,567 MLN 2. What will be the difference in gross between Book of Life and Boxtrolls' Weekends? 11,45 MLN 3. What will be the combined gross of the films that finish 10-12 this weekend? 12,245 MLN Placements - Predict which film finishes in the following positions: 4. Alexander 5. Dracula 6. Best of Me 11. Boxtrolls 14. GOTG 16. Left Behind

What the predictions for Samba in France?

Hey, you forgot my prediction for Gone Girl!