JJ-8

American Sniper won't be counted for it's wide opening weekend. The rules only mention the "first sunday" excluding Big Hero 6 if had done a limited run before going wide. American Sniper has already been counted for it first "limited" weekend for about 800k. Only remaining films that will be eligible/stand even a remote chance of making it) for entry into this chart are (if the film isn't going wide then somehow i doubt it will open above 39m ) - Blackhat (yeah ok ... no.) - Paddington (which i say no, there is a small chance that this opens big) - The Wedding Ringer (see paddington above.. small chance but unlikely as i think american sniper will steal all the thunder here) - The Boy Next Door (er no.) - Mortdecai (huh ?) - Strange Magic (it would be a strange day indeed)

Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings Top 7 Opening Weekends as of January 12th 2015. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 89.132m ** 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5. Into the Woods - 46.142m ** 6. Unbroken - 46.056m ** 7. Taken 3 - 39.202m Not in top 7 (but predicted below) 8. Gone Girl - 37.513m 9. Annabelle - 37.134m 10. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m 11. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m ** 12. Exodus: Gods and Kings - 24.116 15. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m ** 18. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 17.101m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points! If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points! If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBER GONE GIRL (7/23) avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23) Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23) chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23) Jajang - 173.4m Punishment - 165m avi - 162m iceroll - 161m Wrath - 160m cmasterclay - 160m Geraldino - 157m DAJK - 156m Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m darkelf - 155m laguy03 - 155m Telemachos - 155m Filmovie - 154m Spaghetti - 154m Empire - 153m Blankments - 153m grim22 - 152m Grey Ghost - 150m The Panda - 150m mahnamahna - 148.5m chasmmi - 147m Alpha - 145m bcf26 - 133m Actual OW - 121.898m PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (21/23) Wrath - 75m iceroll - 60m grim22 - 60m Telemachos - 60m Geraldino - 57m Blankments - 54m laguy03 - 51m Empire - 50m Filmovie - 49m Jajang - 47.5m darkelf - 47m mahnamahna - 46.5m Alpha - 45m cmasterclay - 45m avi - 44m DAJK - 44m chasmmi - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 43m The Panda - 40m Spaghetti - 36m Actual OW - 35.439m Punishment - 25m HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 (3/23) Empire - 58m Filmovie - 51m Jajang - 39.2m Actual OW - 22.771m DECEMBER EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS (20/23) Wrath - 95m chasmmi - 69m Alpha - 60m Snoopy of Suburbia - 57m iceroll - 57m cmasterclay - 55m mahnamahna - 54m grim22 - 52m Empire - 48m Blankments - 48m Geraldino - 48m Grey Ghost - 46m laguy03 - 46m Punishment - 45m Spaghetti - 45m The Panda - 45m bcf26 - 44m Telemachos - 44m darkelf - 41m DAJK - 40m Actual OW - 24.116m THE HOBBIT: THE BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES (23/23) Jajang - 140.3m Filmovie - 114m Telemachos - 102m iceroll - 101m Blankments - 100m grim22 - 100m Geraldino - 98m darkelf - 97m DAJK - 97m The Panda - 95m chasmmi - 94m Empire - 92m Snoopy of Suburbia - 90m Wrath - 90m Actual OW - 89.132m bcf26 - 84m avi - 83m Spaghetti - 80m cmasterclay - 80m laguy03 - 75m mahnamahna - 71m Alpha - 70m Punishment - 60m Grey Ghost - 41m NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB (8/23) avi - 61m Wrath - 60m laguy03 - 49m Geraldino - 47m Telemachos - 46m bcf26 - 42m Grey Ghost - 33m Punishment - 30m Actual OW - 17.101m INTO THE WOODS (1/23) Blankments - 52m Actual OW - 46.142m TAKEN 3 (4/23) cmasterclay - 50m darkelf - 44m Actual OW - 39.202m Jajang - 38.4m DAJK - 38m

Huge weekend! Been a long time I've seen that many films make > 2m on the same weekend. Bad drop for the hobbit 3. -57%? The hobbit 3 now falling further behind the pace of DOS and AUJ. not good. 35m is still locked. But not a lot more at this point. For ref DOS got to 38m and AUJ 42m.

1. Hobbit 3 - 265M YES 2. NATM 3 - 110M YES 3. Selma - 52.5M YES 4. Big Hero 6 - 221M NO 5. Mocking jay 337.5M NO 6. Exodus 65.5M NO

all usual deadlines, scores and so forth apply... 1. Will taken open to more than $30M? 3000 YES 2. Will Taken break the January OW record? YES 3. Will Selma finish ahead of Hobbit 3? YES 4. Will Inherent Vice finish in the top 15? YES 5. Will Woman in Black finish ahead of NATM? NO 6. Will Hunger Games pass 330M total gross by the end of Sunday? 3000 NO 7. Will Annie have a PTA above $2500? NO 8. Will The imitation Game stay in the top 8? YES 9. Will Exodus stay above Penguins? 3000 NO 10. Will at least 11 of the top 12 increase on Saturday? YES 11. Will Into the woods drop more than 36% on Sunday? NO 12. Will Unbroken gross more than $10M for the weekend? YES 13. Will Big Hero's total gross by the end of the weekend be closer to the total gross of Unbroken or Mockingjay (in dollars not %)? 3000 UNBROKEN 14. Which film in the top 20 will have the biggest weekend drop? THE WOMAN IN BLACK 2 15. Will people realise by the end of the weekend that they need to stop fucking with Liam Neeson? If you don't have a special set of skills then fucking with Liam just isn't smart Bonus points: 10/15 2000 points 11/15 3000 points 12/15 4000 points 13/15 6000 points 14/15 8000 points 15/15 10000 points Bonus Questions: 1. What will Tak3n gross on Saturday? 16.994m 2. What will Selma gross on Sunday? 7.5m 3. What will Woman in Black's weekend drop be? -67.4% Placements: 2. Selma 4. Into the Woods 7. Inherent Vice 12. The Gambler 14. Wild (2014) 16. Penguins of Madagascar 2000 each 8000 bunus for all 6

Don't forget we have 1 major blockbuster filmed here coming up. And 1 about to start filming. There have been others recently too But yeah this past year hasn't been all that strong for Aussie films themselves.

i also think penguins is doing fine. Remember it's a spinoff from mad. As I said before mad 3 opened with 4m. That's not a bad retention. Mad 3 did make it to 24m. Not saying that penguins can repeat that but we still have 4 weeks of school holidays to go.

While penguins didn't do fantastic (eg. frozen like), if you compare to madagascar 3 it's not all bad... Mad3 opened to 4m. Though i admit it received 4 weeks essentially > 3m each weekend. (yeah yeah 2nd weekend was 2.7m but the others were all above.) But then Penguins does 4 weeks of january to play out nicely. And you need to remember it was facing Big Hero 6 in it's second weekend. not only that but it also faced competition from NATM3 and paddington to a lessor extent. To me, that shows it did very well under the conditions. But yes, imitation game, water diviner both did fantastic. To be honest, i'm still as little underwelmed by big hero 6. yes it's going strongly, but if you consider, last weekend most were saying BH6 did well on OW. BH6 opened with 3.7m and yet penguins opens with 3.6m and it's not good ? not a lotta sense there to me.

Well i'm not abstaining either... Here is my top 5 1. Tak3n - 106.9m 2. Paddington - 81.5m 3. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 74.4m 4. Into the Woods - 57.1m 5. American Sniper - 53.9m

by comparison AUJ had 28.6 by the 2nd sunday (after a 5.9m second weekend) DOS had 25.8 by the 2nd sunday (after a 6.2m second weekend) While it looks bad, you need to remember, DOS had 1 additional day of play to date and AUJ had 2 additional days of play. 4.9m with a day to play in the weekend i'd say a weekend total of between 6.1m to 6.6m which should give BOTFA a running total of 23.7m to 24.2m. It's not that far behind DOS at this point even with 1 less day of play. BOFTA should easily reach 35m at this point (and #1 of 2014 which is not surprising), but 40m may well be a struggle unless it garners to some stronger legs than DOS was able to. (DOS reached 38.2m and AUJ got all the way to 42.6m) of interest : ROTK was up to 26.7m by it's 2nd sunday after a 7.7m second weekend. This is really the film to watch and is more comparable as it's release date was similar (opened on a friday). However it does appear that BOFTA is gonna take a bigger hit over it's first weekend than ROTK.

300m will take some impressive holds... my current range for where TH3 will end is 275m (if starts to drop fairly heavily ~ 50% average here on out) to 290m (with some reasonable drops about where it is right now in line with the LOTR films).... 300m will take a little bit extra but it's not a complete stretch however i think it will fall short.

I'm still holding out hope that friday sees more increases than not actually... but yeah somehow i think it won't

I'm converting this too... Happy Baumer Day.... where all the Baumers come out of the woodwork to......

Another stunning weekend upcoming folks... all questions are worth 1000, refer to the top 12 and are for the 3 day weekend UOS. Deadline is as normal. 1. Will Hobbit stay at number 1 by at least $6M? 3000 NO 2. Will Into the Woods stay above Unbroken? 3000 YES 3. Will Woman in Black open in the top 4? YES 4. Will Annie's Total Gross overtake take Exodus' total gross by the end of the weekend? YES 5. Will Hobbit drop more than 35%? YES 6. Will The gambler stay in the top 8? NO 7. Will the interview drop more than 30% YES 8. Will Rec 4 have a PTA above $3000? YES 9. Will more films in the top 13, increase or decrease on Friday? 3000 INCREASE 10. Will any film increase on Friday and Saturday? 3000 YES 11. Will Mockingjay drop more than 41% on Sunday? NO 12. Will Intersteller finish above Big Eyes? YES 13. Will NATM3 have a PTA above $3000? NO 14. Will any film place higher in the top 12 this weekend than it did last weekend (eg rises from 5th to 4th)? YES 15. Will you be hungover when making these predictions? *I AM TRASHED* Bonuses: 11/15 2000 12/15 3000 13/15 4000 14/15 5000 15/15 8000 Bonus Questions: 1. What will Hobbit's total be by the end of the weekend? 227.901m 2. What will be the difference in weekend gross between Interstellar and Penguins? 304.555k 3. What will Annie gross on Sunday? 2.111m Placements: 2. INTO THE WOODS 4. THE WOMAN IN BLACK 2 7. THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 11. WILD (2014) 15. TOP FIVE 17. BIG EYES 2000 each all 6 8000 bonus Good luck

HAPPY NEW YEAR to all the Aussies on the East Coast (and yes i know i'm an hour late for those not in Queensland and half hour late for South Australians.. but)

Some interesting stats that are coming out as a result of the updates: 1. a Total of 13 films were predicted to make into the top 7 films. 2. of those we are now assured a minimum of 7 films will not make the top 7. 3. So far we have 1 film which was not predicted to be in the top 7 by anyone (Unbroken) - our first true surprise. 4. Penguins of Madgascar was the film most selected in a top 7 but will not make it now (21 players selected it) (Exodus was a close second at 20 players) 5. congratulations to Blankments for being the only player to select Into the Woods in their top 7 (which is now likely to make the top 7) 6. Gone Girl is now most at risk of missing out 7. The only film remaining that was predicted to be in the top 7 was Tak3n.

Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings Top 7 Opening Weekends as of December 29th 2014. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 89.132m ** 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5. Into the Woods - 46.142m ** 6. Unbroken - 46.056m ** 7. Gone Girl - 37.513m Not in top 7 (but predicted below) 8. Annabelle - 37.134m 9. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m 10. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m ** 11. Exodus: Gods and Kings - 24.116 14. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m ** 17. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 17.101m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points! If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points! If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBER GONE GIRL (7/23) avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23) Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23) chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23) Jajang - 173.4m Punishment - 165m avi - 162m iceroll - 161m Wrath - 160m cmasterclay - 160m Geraldino - 157m DAJK - 156m Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m darkelf - 155m laguy03 - 155m Telemachos - 155m Filmovie - 154m Spaghetti - 154m Empire - 153m Blankments - 153m grim22 - 152m Grey Ghost - 150m The Panda - 150m mahnamahna - 148.5m chasmmi - 147m Alpha - 145m bcf26 - 133m Actual OW - 121.898m PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (21/23) Wrath - 75m iceroll - 60m grim22 - 60m Telemachos - 60m Geraldino - 57m Blankments - 54m laguy03 - 51m Empire - 50m Filmovie - 49m Jajang - 47.5m darkelf - 47m mahnamahna - 46.5m Alpha - 45m cmasterclay - 45m avi - 44m DAJK - 44m chasmmi - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 43m The Panda - 40m Spaghetti - 36m Actual OW - 35.439m Punishment - 25m HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 (3/23) Empire - 58m Filmovie - 51m Jajang - 39.2m Actual OW - 22.771m DECEMBER EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS (20/23) Wrath - 95m chasmmi - 69m Alpha - 60m Snoopy of Suburbia - 57m iceroll - 57m cmasterclay - 55m mahnamahna - 54m grim22 - 52m Empire - 48m Blankments - 48m Geraldino - 48m Grey Ghost - 46m laguy03 - 46m Punishment - 45m Spaghetti - 45m The Panda - 45m bcf26 - 44m Telemachos - 44m darkelf - 41m DAJK - 40m Actual OW - 24.116m THE HOBBIT: THE BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES (23/23) Jajang - 140.3m Filmovie - 114m Telemachos - 102m iceroll - 101m Blankments - 100m grim22 - 100m Geraldino - 98m darkelf - 97m DAJK - 97m The Panda - 95m chasmmi - 94m Empire - 92m Snoopy of Suburbia - 90m Wrath - 90m Actual OW - 89.132m bcf26 - 84m avi - 83m Spaghetti - 80m cmasterclay - 80m laguy03 - 75m mahnamahna - 71m Alpha - 70m Punishment - 60m Grey Ghost - 41m NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB (8/23) avi - 61m Wrath - 60m laguy03 - 49m Geraldino - 47m Telemachos - 46m bcf26 - 42m Grey Ghost - 33m Punishment - 30m Actual OW - 17.101m INTO THE WOODS (1/23) Blankments - 52m Actual OW - 46.142m

lol... you do live in sydney at least in brisbane it stays hot all the time and then you just live in aircon

the whole point of the game is make a guess what the top 15 films will be for the season with the best information at the time. i mean technically by the original rules the idea of having back ups for films which were delayed shouldn't even be there... the original idea as i understood it is everyones best guess of what the top 15 would look like (for the summer or winter)... keep it simple and then you don't get the confusion we have now. It's my personal opinion that both paddington and the interview should remain as is if you included it in your top 15 or anything... otherwise it has wider ranging impacts on the game i really don't think baumer or chasmi ever would have wanted. just my humble opinion and a call out to B to do away with the idea of back up films for good.

U got it right. WIR made a 4m OW (4 day) and about 5.2M including Boxing Day (which fell on the Wednesday that year. ). It also made about 1.2m in previews I believe the weekend before Christmas. So in sum WIR was a 4m OW and 6.4m running total. (Including the 1.15m opening day - Boxing Day)) Bh6 has had a reasonable start but remember while the weekends are close WIR had already burnt off 2.4m of demand before the weekend. Hence why I am a little dissappointed by it. And I think bh6 may struggle to reach 20m. Especially with penguins opening on New Year's Day.

Hard to compare apples for apples. AUJ opened on a Wednesday so had a 5 day opening. 12m OW / 17.9m 5 day DOS opened on a thurs (normal 4 day) 14.2m ow BOFTA opened on a Friday resulting in only 3 days to make 12.1m ow (3 days only) For comparison: TTT (4 day) - 14.3m ROTK (3 day) - 12.7m 12.1 is fine. Not fantastic or stunning but it's fine. Still a great start. Apologies on my confusion with bh6 vs Ralph. I somehow got some numbers confused when comparing. Bh6 has started ok. Not stunning but strong enough to play thru jan.

Big drop there. I was hoping for 12m+ after that opening day. Still we are only 2 days in. Giving it time here.

True but it does face penguins on New Year's Day which could be an issue given the low start. I really thought this would match Ralph as a min. Really puts a doubt in my mind for it reaching 20m.

Tak3n for 50m??????

The way this game has gone u r probably right. Or u never know... paddington could shock us all with a stunning opening