JJ-8

while minor, given the average it pulled it's possible that BOFTA could have come a lot closer to AUJ OD than it ended up. Still we talking big $ vs big $ here

All the middle earth films (LOTR & the hobbit) scored a boxing day release down under. hence when they dominate the all time Opening days on boxing day and funnily enough all opening days. (The Return of the King owned the OD record from 26th Dec 2003 until harry potter and the deathly hallows part 2 smashed it.)

not good... Ralph i believe made 2.4m OD on boxing day 2012. I'm not really sure what to make of that opening for BH6. seems it hasn't clicked as well here as it did stateside.

as i mentioned in my notes, it's screen count was down from both the first and second films and that essentially accounted for the difference between BOFTA and AUJ. they got very similar per screen averages. BOFTA was only slightly less that AUJ average. so it wasn't all horrible. still nothing to laugh at given it just made > 5m on a single day. not many films do that here. It's weekend result will look weak due to being only a 3 day... will be interesting how it travels in the next week or so ...

For comparisons: BOFTA has posted the 2nd biggest boxing day and the 4th biggest opening day of all time here. Top Opening Days (All Time) 1. Harry Potter : Deathly Hallows Part 2 - 7.092m (727 screens) 2. The Avengers - 6.004m (621 screens) 3. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 5.9m (631 screens) 4. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 5.59m (605 screens) 5. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug - 5.554m (628 screens) LOTR Films: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 5.27m (453 screens) The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers - 5.23m (424 screens) The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring - 4.123m (406 screens) not too bad at all given the slightly lower screen count - its per screen average was comparable to the first hobbit film. Can it translate to a 40m+ finish though is the question ? not really sure at this point.

We have a number........ http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/movies/the-hobbit-romps-away-with-boxing-day-gold-20141227-12eey4.html 5.59m it seems is the result on 605. Good result... was hoping for more given it's the final installment.. but still should be able to make > 12m for the weekend i think. Other results: Big Hero 6 - 1.3m Night at the Museum 3 - 1.1m The Water Deviner - 864k

Don't forget that unbroken & into the woods will include the thursday figure of ~ 15m. Unless one or the other crashes and burns over the weekend, i'd say both are heading for a > 50m 4 day totals which should push interstellar down to 6th place (given most had interstellar in 2nd or 3rd, thats a bit of a shock really ) Oh and everyone has gotten no.1 right

Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings Top 7 Opening Weekends as of December 22nd 2014. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 89.132m ** 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5. Gone Girl - 37.513m 6. Annabelle - 37.134m 7. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m Not in top 7 (but predicted below) 8. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m ** 9. Exodus: Gods and Kings - 24.116 12. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m ** 15. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 17.101m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points! If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points! If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBER GONE GIRL (7/23) avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23) Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23) chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23) Jajang - 173.4m Punishment - 165m avi - 162m iceroll - 161m Wrath - 160m cmasterclay - 160m Geraldino - 157m DAJK - 156m Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m darkelf - 155m laguy03 - 155m Telemachos - 155m Filmovie - 154m Spaghetti - 154m Empire - 153m Blankments - 153m grim22 - 152m Grey Ghost - 150m The Panda - 150m mahnamahna - 148.5m chasmmi - 147m Alpha - 145m bcf26 - 133m Actual OW - 121.898m PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (21/23) Wrath - 75m iceroll - 60m grim22 - 60m Telemachos - 60m Geraldino - 57m Blankments - 54m laguy03 - 51m Empire - 50m Filmovie - 49m Jajang - 47.5m darkelf - 47m mahnamahna - 46.5m Alpha - 45m cmasterclay - 45m avi - 44m DAJK - 44m chasmmi - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 43m The Panda - 40m Spaghetti - 36m Actual OW - 35.439m Punishment - 25m HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 (3/23) Empire - 58m Filmovie - 51m Jajang - 39.2m Actual OW - 22.771m DECEMBER EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS (20/23) Wrath - 95m chasmmi - 69m Alpha - 60m Snoopy of Suburbia - 57m iceroll - 57m cmasterclay - 55m mahnamahna - 54m grim22 - 52m Empire - 48m Blankments - 48m Geraldino - 48m Grey Ghost - 46m laguy03 - 46m Punishment - 45m Spaghetti - 45m The Panda - 45m bcf26 - 44m Telemachos - 44m darkelf - 41m DAJK - 40m Actual OW - 24.116m THE HOBBIT: THE BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES (23/23) Jajang - 140.3m Filmovie - 114m Telemachos - 102m iceroll - 101m Blankments - 100m grim22 - 100m Geraldino - 98m darkelf - 97m DAJK - 97m The Panda - 95m chasmmi - 94m Empire - 92m Snoopy of Suburbia - 90m Wrath - 90m Actual OW - 89.132m bcf26 - 84m avi - 83m Spaghetti - 80m cmasterclay - 80m laguy03 - 75m mahnamahna - 71m Alpha - 70m Punishment - 60m Grey Ghost - 41m NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB (8/23) avi - 61m Wrath - 60m laguy03 - 49m Geraldino - 47m Telemachos - 46m bcf26 - 42m Grey Ghost - 33m Punishment - 30m Actual OW - 17.101m

Just got home from this Fantastic film.... here are my final ratings of all the middle earth films... LOTR: Fellowship of the Ring - 9.5 / 10 LOTR: The Two Towers - 9.0 / 10 LOTR: Return of the King - 10 / 10 The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 8 / 10 The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug - 8.5 / 10 The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies - 9.5 / 10 personally i loved the film and i fealt it finally returned the series back to the LOTR highs. But then I am a Middle Earth fanatic ... so ummmm take my ratings with a grain of salt

Hoping for the hobbit to break the OD record, but more realistically i am thinking around 6m (+/- 0.5m) Oh and I'll be adding to the $ made in about 7 hours when i sit down @ chermside. (3D HFR of course too) Just been looking through chermside showings today: Gold Class - 6 Sellouts (1 x 2D; 5 x 3D) V-Max - Nearly all sessions running at > 80% full already (only 1 session i could find below that and that was @ 9.30pm) (2 x 2D; 3 x 3D; 3 x 3D HFR) Normal Cinemas - As per v-max the bulk is running at > 80% capacity. (3 x 2D; 2 x 3D) (at least that is what remains today @ chermside)

Sorry it's late but all the usual deadlines (thursday night) and scoring (1000 points, top 12 yadda yadda) rules apply: 1. Will The Hobbit Stay number 1 (for the 3 day) this weekend? 3000 YES 2. Will The Gambler Open ahead of Annie? YES 3. Will Into the Woods outgross Unbroken OW? 2000 YES 4. Will Exodus stay above 5M for the 3 day weekend? NO 5. Will at least 4 films decrease on Friday? NO 6. Will Hobbit pass 150M by Saturday? YES 7. Will P.K stay in the top 10? NO 8. Will any film decrease for than 30% on Sunday? NO 9. Will top 5 finish above Penguins? 3000 YES 10. Will BH6's PTA stay above $1000? YES 11. Will American Sniper have a PTA above $35K? YES 12. Will the Hunger games increase more than 15%? YES 13. Will any of last weekend's 3 Wide openers, increase this weekend? YES 14. Will Interstellar finish ahead of P.K this weekend? YES 15. Will The Interview still overshadow everything else happening in the world of box office? YES - derr Bonus points for XMAS!!! 9/15 2000 10/15 3000 11/15 4000 12/15 5000 13/15 6000 14/15 8000 15/15 10000 Bonus questions: 1. What will be the difference in Sunday total grosses of Unbroken and Into the Woods? 1.6444m 2. What will Hobbit's total be be Sunday? 168.511m 3. What will be the biggest increase of the 3 day weekend (not including expansions) in the top 12? 18.55% Placements: 1. THE HOBBIT 3 3. UNBROKEN 5. NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM 3 7. THE HUNGER GAMES MOCKINGJAY PART 1 9. THE GAMBLER 13. BIG EYES

And yeah BOFTA expecting around a 40% drop due to Xmas day.

Given the way the days line up. ROTK is best comparison. Except ROTK dropped on the same day. Good result I think. On another note. Just rewatched DOS prepping for BOTFA - seeing about 40 hrs from now (opening day here) And Merry Christmas from down under to all.

I disagree. I've had to wear that paddington was delayed but within the timeframe. Given the interview will now be released. It counts I believe.

I'm over 30 and I love new tech. To be honest I work out new stuff works before most.

Top 10 OW of 2014 Updated to 17th December 2014 (Pretty sure there will be at least one more entry to this chart) POS Wks Movie Rating OW Date Scns Ave % of total Total Gross 1 4 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 M $ 11.89 m 20-Nov 574 $20,711 40% $ 29.56 m 2 6 Transformers: Age of Extinction M $ 8.80 m 25-Jun 623 $14,130 33% $ 26.93 m 3 8 X-Men: Days of Future Past M $ 8.37 m 22-May 684 $12,233 37% $ 22.64 m 4 8 22 Jump Street MA15+ $ 6.88 m 19-Jun 359 $19,173 30% $ 22.80 m 5 6 Godzilla M $ 6.77 m 15-May 498 $13,589 48% $ 14.02 m 6 11 Guardian's of the Galaxy M $ 6.55 m 7-Aug 586 $11,182 25% $ 26.72 m 7 8 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes M $ 6.13 m 10-Jul 579 $10,592 33% $ 18.40 m 8 8 Captain America: The Winter Soldier M $ 6.06 m 3-Apr 571 $10,611 30% $ 20.00 m 9 10 The Lego Movie PG $ 5.71 m 3-Apr 537 $10,635 19% $ 29.83 m 10 7 The Amazing Spider-man 2: Rise of Electro M $ 5.35 m 17-Apr 520 $10,284 33% $ 16.08 m

Top 50 of 2014 (Released in 2014) Update to 17th December 2014 POS Wks Movie Rating OW Scns Total Open 1 10 The Lego Movie PG $ 5.71 m 537 $ 29.83 m 3-Apr 2 4 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 M $ 11.89 m 574 $ 29.56 m 20-Nov 3 6 Transformers: Age of Extinction M $ 8.80 m 623 $ 26.93 m 25-Jun 4 11 Gone Girl MA15+ $ 4.70 m 401 $ 26.68 m 2-Oct 5 11 Guardian's of the Galaxy M $ 6.55 m 586 $ 26.72 m 7-Aug 6 12 How to Train your Dragon 2 PG $ 3.47 m 544 $ 26.78 m 19-Jun 7 12 The Wolf of Wall Street R18+ $ 5.14 m 325 $ 23.33 m 23-Jan 8 8 22 Jump Street MA15+ $ 6.88 m 359 $ 22.80 m 19-Jun 9 8 X-Men: Days of Future Past M $ 8.37 m 684 $ 22.64 m 22-May 10 8 The Other Woman M $ 4.03 m 293 $ 20.37 m 17-Apr 11 8 Captain America: The Winter Soldier M $ 6.06 m 571 $ 20.00 m 3-Apr 12 6 Interstellar M $ 4.19 m 548 $ 18.92 m 6-Nov 13 8 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes M $ 6.13 m 579 $ 18.40 m 10-Jul 14 7 Bad Neighbours MA15+ $ 4.72 m 393 $ 18.02 m 8-May 15 7 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles M $ 4.37 m 492 $ 17.81 m 12-Sep 16 9 Maleficent M $ 4.04 m 530 $ 16.50 m 29-May 17 8 The Maze Runner M $ 3.58 m 305 $ 16.17 m 18-Sep 18 7 The Amazing Spider-man 2: Rise of Electro M $ 5.35 m 520 $ 16.08 m 17-Apr 19 9 Lucy MA15+ $ 4.66 m 318 $ 15.96 m 31-Jul 20 6 Godzilla M $ 6.77 m 498 $ 14.02 m 15-May 21 10 The Book Thief PG $ 2.43 m 241 $ 14.07 m 9-Jan 22 7 The Fault in our Stars M $ 3.78 m 273 $ 13.18 m 5-Jun 23 9 Mr. Peabody and Sherman PG $ 2.44 m 508 $ 13.23 m 27-Mar 24 7 Noah M $ 4.52 m 387 $ 12.46 m 27-Mar 25 8 Rio 2 G $ 2.69 m 471 $ 12.32 m 3-Jul 26 13 The Grand Budapest Hotel M $ 1.81 m 108 $ 12.37 m 10-Apr 27 10 The Hundred-Foot Journey PG $ 2.11 m 329 $ 12.12 m 14-Aug 28 7 Divergent M $ 3.16 m 233 $ 10.69 m 10-Apr 29 7 Saving Mr. Banks PG $ 2.26 m 272 $ 10.19 m 9-Jan 30 8 Fury MA15+ $ 2.56 m 336 $ 9.50 m 23-Oct 31 7 Edge of Tomorrow M $ 3.02 m 477 $ 9.52 m 5-Jun 32 7 The Monuments Men M $ 2.32 m 323 $ 8.79 m 13-Mar 33 5 300: Rise of an Empire MA15+ $ 3.17 m 467 $ 8.50 m 6-Mar 34 11 12 Years a Slave MA15+ $ 1.16 m 121 $ 7.54 m 30-Jan 35 6 Jersey Boys M $ 1.88 m 301 $ 7.64 m 3-Jul 36 5 The Inbetweeners 2 MA15+ $ 3.16 m 308 $ 7.49 m 21-Aug 37 7 Sex Tape MA15+ $ 2.46 m 315 $ 7.46 m 17-Jul 38 6 Robocop M $ 2.28 m 224 $ 7.08 m 6-Feb 39 11 The Boxtrolls PG $ 0.58 m 326 $ 6.93 m 18-Sep 40 7 Last Vegas M $ 1.64 m 266 $ 6.83 m 6-Feb 41 5 The Equalizer MA15+ $ 2.28 m 303 $ 6.59 m 25-Sep 42 6 Walking with Dinosaurs PG $ 1.53 m 381 $ 6.47 m 1-Jan 43 5 Free Birds G $ 1.09 m 277 $ 6.16 m 9-Jan 44 2 Exodus: Gods & Kings M $ 2.69 m 504 $ 6.07 m 4-Dec 45 6 Annabelle M $ 1.90 m 166 $ 6.00 m 2-Oct 46 5 A Million ways to die in the west MA15+ $ 2.25 m 353 $ 5.84 m 29-May 47 7 Non-Stop M $ 1.87 m 246 $ 5.84 m 27-Feb 48 5 Dracula Untold M $ 1.97 m 221 $ 5.71 m 2-Oct 49 4 Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit M $ 2.12 m 267 $ 5.68 m 16-Jan 50 9 Planes: Fire & Rescue G $ 0.62 m 436 $ 5.39 m 18-Sep

I might even dress up for the occasion

Big week this week, so a bigger set of questions to celebrate. As usual all standard rules and scoring systems apply. 1. Will Hobbit Gross more than $70M by Sunday? Yes 2. Will Hobbit Gross more than $80M by Sunday? 3000 yes 3. Will Hobbit Gross more than $90M by Sunday? No 4. Will Night at the Museum gross more than $25M? Yes 5. Will NATM3 gross more than $32M? 3000 no 6. Will NATM3 gross more than $37M? No 7. Will Annie Gross more than $15M? Yes 8. Will Annie Gross more than $20M? No 9. Will Hobbit's 3 day total be more than NATM and Annie's combined? Yes 10. Will Penguins finish the weekend above Top 5? 2000 no 11. Will Big Hero drop less than 40% yes 12. Will Horrible Bosses stay in the top 10? No 13. Will Wild gross more than Interstellar? 3000 no 14. Will Hunger Games increase more than 150% on Friday? Yes 15. Will theory of Everything have a $2M+ weekend? Yes 16. Will Gone Girl or Foxcatcher have a higher pecentage drop? Gone girl 17. Will inherent Vice's PTA stay above $30,000 this weekend? No 18. Will any new opener increase more than 12% on Saturday? Yes 19. Will Dumb and Dumber pass $85M total gross by the end of the weekend? No 20. Will Exodus drop less than 45% this weekend? No 21. How many films will Fox (including Fox Searchlight) have in the top 15 this weekend? 3000 5 22. Will The Imitation Game increase again this weekend? Yes 23. Will Mockingjay decrease less than 42% on Sunday? Yes 24. Will The Pyramid drop more than 60%? Yes 25. Will Peter Jackson announce a truly horrifying Middle Earth Live Christmas Special to hit our TV screens next year? Hahaha. We could only hope. But sadly no. Bonus points: 17/25 2000 18/25 3000 19/25 4000 20/25 5000 21/25 6000 22/25 8000 23/25 10000 24/25 12000 25/25 15000 Bonus Questions 1. What will be the combined total gross of the 3 main new openers by the end of Sunday? 134.6m 2. What will be Interstellar's PTA for the weekend? 1904 3. What will be the combined Friday gross of all films in the top 12 with numbers in their title? 33.888m Placements: 2. NATM 6. Horrible bosses 2 8. Top five 11. Dumb and dumber to 13. Imitation game 15. Gone girl 200 each. 8000 bonus for all 6. Good luck and have fun

Because we all still miss him... 6 questions connected to Robin Williams films of the past and Night at the Musuem: 1. Will NATM3 open higher than the original Night at the Museum? (30.433M)? Yes 2. Will NATM3 have a better multiplier than Happy Feet 2 (3.013)? No 3. Will NATM3 have passed Flubber's total gross before the end of the year? Yes 4. Which of the following films will NATM3 finish the game closest to: A: Jumanji B: Hook C: Good Will Hunting c - good will hunting 5. Will NATM3's second weekend beat Mrs Doubtfire's OW (20.468m)? No 6. NATM3's XMas day gross will be closest to: A: Jacob the Liar total gross (4.9m), B: Popeye OW (6.3M) C: Patch Adams Opening Day (8.08m) D: Insomnia second Weeekend (9.9m)? Jacob the liar total gross every correct answer is worth 4000 points. get all 6 correct and get a 6k bonus for 30k in total 1st incorrect answer loses 2k, the 2nd 4k (more not total), the 3rd 8k, 4th 16k and the 5th 24k. so if you get 5 question wrong you lose 54k but still gain points for any correct answers. however get all 6 wrong and you will win 65k! and lose nothing. it is a big risk to take but there'sa big reward abstain is 2k deadline is Thursday 11.59pm

1. The hobbit 2. NATM 3. The hobbit 4. NATM 5. annie

Towers did 100m off a 26m OD

As I said I have the OD higher. The rest falls in line. 25m to 30m keeps this below 100m. Above 30m...... I'm done. I should be sleeping.

If wed is lower - say around 28m then yeah a 5 day of 90m seems right give or take a few Still I think this has a few surprises for us yet. As noted before ROTK made 8m on its way to nearly 35m. Now I don't see that kind of ratio here but. 11m on its way to 32m to 33m seems about right.

So u r thinking that wednesday excluding the tues sneak will be under 20m? Well under by the sound of it. I'm seeing an OD > 30m and close to 35m. So my wed is above 20m.