MovieMan89

That Peter Rabbit hold...it's legit attempting to go for a 5x multi isn't it?

Holding the same as TA after this weekend gets BP to $697m with an $11.5m weekend. Now granted it will start having some real competition and it lacks the summer weekdays TA had by that point, but it still has held way stronger than TA so far so it should be able to get to 700. Hoping for a 707m finish personally, just cause it's kind of a cool number and it gets the 3.5x multi on the dot. Will be interesting to see what it does IW weekend. Have a feeling that could help it not hurt it since I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up being a lot of people's first backup choice for IW sell out spillover. Or Disney could do IW/BP double features that weekend.

There should be a chance if that weekend number happens. It will catch up to Tomorrowland through the same point with a 1.6m bigger weekend. Same holds as TL from there gets it to $98m, so just would need to hold a tad better.

It's unlikely to beat SA's total because of IW and it being a frontloaded genre anyways, but I can see a bigger OW.

Le Berg has sleepwalked through many a film this century, and no him on autopilot is not better than hundreds of other movies from this century. His 20th century category is as legendary as it gets though.

BP is going to gross in 7 weekends what JW took 23 weekends to make DOM, with a $6m lower OW and without summer weekdays.

This, all of this.

Just realized that Deadline's early report gave an $11.6m projection for ICOI for 4th place, meaning they must be projecting $12m+ for BP. That would be a sub 30% hold and definitely keeps 700 alive.

Hey, it's doing a better job of piquing my interest in this than the movie's marketing...

While I understand your quest for him on this Good Friday, and I am flattered, ye verily try again.

Well that's true, the pop culture references themselves skew very 80's, which could be a bit odd for a concept that otherwise seems like it would be a teen boy's fangasm. The movies are his ones I'd consider popcorn flicks, blockbusters in the spirit of the term not necessarily in budget or success. Saving Private Ryan or Lincoln were huge successes, but definitely wouldn't group them in that category.

If RPO isn't a teenage boy's fangasm turned into a $200 million dollar film, than I don't know what it is. Not that I'm knocking it for being that mind you, but yeah wide casual appeal will be very surprising to me. Anyways, Spielberg blockbuster/popcorn flicks rankings anyone? 1. Raiders of the Lost Ark 2. Jurassic Park 3. Jaws 4. E.T. 5. Minority Report 6. Temple of Doom 7. Ready Player One 8. The Last Crusade 9. Tintin 10. Close Encounters 11. The BFG 12. War of the Worlds 13. The Lost World 14. Hook 15. Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

Back from RPO. Movie is a lot of fun for anyone that probably fits the demo that we all do here (movie/pop culture buffs). Spielberg’s most enjoyable big budget flick for me since Minority Report, no contest. Wasn’t convinced however that the movie is widely appealing to a casual audience - or more importantly, females in general. Ive said the marketing has looked so geeky, and that’s because the film absolutely is through and through. One of the geekiest big budget films I’ve ever seen, and I’m including the Wachowski’s films in that statement. Will be interesting to see what kind f a multi it has.

I’d bet money it misses 100m on OW if it were to end up Rotten. Otherwise I agree that it will make it, though I don’t see anymore than $120m for the 3 day unless marketing makes some major strides in appeal in May.

BD’s WOM exploded out of the gate though. That’s why I said great WOM for RPO could offset the frontloadness. But I do think it will need exceptional WOM.

Solo could miss 100 OWwith the 4 day spread and the way marketing has been. Needs to not get mediocre or bad reviews, that will be really bad for it.

Thursday forecasts in the daytime yesterday were $13m+ and ended up being $12m. So yeah, probably premature to talk about the $15m number with any certainty.

If GI Joe could barely manage a sat increase being that much less preview frontloaded than RPO, then why would RPO not decrease? Fantastic WOM spreading rapidly would be the only likely way it increases.

A 31% preview share of OD is like CBM sequel level frontloading. That's nearly on par with BvS. Maybe just a fluke, but not a good sign of how RPO might play for the weekend at the moment.

It's Black Adam or bust as far as that goes.

That's way too high of expectations. 325-425 should be the range depending on which way the WOM goes. I fail to see how or why it would beat the first adjusted by that much. It will be virtually impossible to replicate the cultural imprint the first built as its run went on. OW frontloading could be big as far as animation goes. Btw, the Frozen short in front of Coco is what I mean by a lot of non-kids at least being tired of the whole thing these days. That got a nasty backlash with the GA. And I do agree the whole craze has become too female centric for a lot of little boys to be as interested in it as they may have been the first.

It's funny that in the past few years we've gotten several good movies that use video game concepts (i.e. Wreck it Ralph, Edge of Tomorrow, Jumanji, now possibly RPO) yet we still can't have a really good one actually based on a video game.

I would think Sony of all studios would be chomping at the bits to have it be their highest grosser after 16 years, they seem like a studio that would definitely care about something like that. Yet the quick home release could very well stop that from happening.

Incredible TC hold for BP. Way ahead of the 7th weekend TC's for the likes of TFA, TA, and JW. Only slightly behind Avatar's 7th TC among the 600 grossers.

Its fate is pretty up in the air at this point. It's already acting more frontloaded with previews than G.I. Joe, which had a 4 day multi of 2.39x. Even something like 55-60m for the 4 day would give it $130-145m with G.I. Joe's multi. From that it would need a solid $300m OS to be profitable with that budget. At this point it could still be a bomb, breakeven, or be a big breakout success. Way too soon to tell.