MovieMan89
Free Account+-
Posts
27,818 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by MovieMan89
-
Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts
MovieMan89 replied to The Panda's topic in Box Office Discussion
Oh I'm well aware it will be driven by kids, I'm just talking about the older fanbase of the first. The first was huge because it ended up having appeal to many demos. -
THE Incredibles 2 | June 15, 2018 | NO SPOILERS!!!!
MovieMan89 replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Whether or not that is the whole plot of the film, it sure does look like they're going to market it that way. Thankfully this is a movie that doesn't need to rely too much on marketing. -
Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts
MovieMan89 replied to The Panda's topic in Box Office Discussion
6 years is just an extremely odd direct sequel gap. I'm trying to even think of another one off the top of my head, or even in the 5-7 range. The Cars sequels and Sherlock Gnomes are the only animated ones in that range if I'm not mistaken. And while I'm not about to compare Frozen 2 to those movies, it is worth noting that all of them definitely had a big drop off. WiR2 will be in the same 6 year boat as F2 as well though. Almost every animated sequel falls into the 2-4 year gap or the Pixar category of a decade+. -
Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts
MovieMan89 replied to The Panda's topic in Box Office Discussion
I feel like there's an audience who was really on board with it back in 2013/2014 that now kind of treats it like the plague though. It just got so overbearing that I think it started to turn off a lot of people who actually liked it at the time. So I'd be interested if that has an effect. -
Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts
MovieMan89 replied to The Panda's topic in Box Office Discussion
Btw, I keep wanting to refer to Jumanji 3 as Jumanji 2 and then having to remind myself it's 3, lol. WTTJ totally feels like the first movie in a new franchise. -
Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts
MovieMan89 replied to The Panda's topic in Box Office Discussion
I think Jumanji 3 increasing would be borderline impossible. This one was just too much of a right time, novel hook situation that I don't think can be duplicated in the franchise. All the competition won't help either. 300+ should be a good target if it's well liked, imo. I'm curious about Frozen 2's audience. Are current 4-10 year olds into it on the level of the ones in that age group when the first came out? That seems unlikely to me. And then we get to the target demo of the first one and it will be interesting how it appeals to them. Most of them will be 11-16 and possibly not have much of any interest in the movie. The gap is a weird one because that's not a good age range to try to target an audience's childhood nostalgia. Late teens/early 20's is far more effective for that ala TS3. -
Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts
MovieMan89 replied to The Panda's topic in Box Office Discussion
IX will likely open below TLJ due to TLJ's reception and lack of a big hook for the finale like ROTS and ROTJ had. If IX is just as divisive, then things could get ugly from there in terms of a multi. I think far more of the GA will take a wait and see approach than with the previous SW films. Bond is also likely to feel the sting of Spectre's ho-hum reception in its OW and will probably need great WOM to avoid a decrease total. With the caveat to that being if they really play up it being Craig's farewell performance in the role. WW2, F2, and J3 are all in good positions if the WOM is solid. Though all three also have next to no chance of increasing from the huge heights of their predecessor. So basically, I'd say there's a very strong chance all of these 5 films decrease from their predecessors. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
RPO needs to be pulling at least 10m on Thursday with previews if it's that frontloaded. Anything less will be really bad for the 4 day. -
Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
I've had the split transaction thing happen twice. Ended up paying for a friend's ticket entirely without knowing that would happen cause it was discount Tuesday so the money MP put on my card for a normal ticket was enough for both tickets that day, and they swiped my MP first. So far, so good though. No yearly plan though. -
Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
The yearly subscription makes far more sense how they could actually turn a profit with such a low monthly price. I had told several friends about it who I think were planning to get it just for the summer blockbusters and then cancel. Wouldn't have been surprised if a lot of people had done that, in which case I don't know how they could have possibly sustained that. I'm sure it's not a coincidence they stopped the monthly subscription a month before summer season. -
Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
True, it's not like MP still isn't paying them for each ticket. -
Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Lol, well so much for me saying they don't have bargaining power yet. Hope this lasts through the year since this will be very nice for me for Oscar season. Landmark theaters are pretty much the only ones around here that get indies before they go wide. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I would be really surprised if much of the GA realize there will be Wednesday evening and Thursday day showings. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Thanks, that will definitely be our best comp then. That had a 45% Fri increase, 1% Sat, and -37% Sun. Will expect similar holds for RPO then. -
That new date reeks of a dump. The tailend of August doesn't exactly have a good track record at the box office. But if it's a dump, why the hell are they waiting so long? Why not just get it over with? From the trailer we got, to these release dates, to greenlighting this concept in the first place - this whole film is just odd all around.
-
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So basically it's either a Memorial Day weekend thing or an Xmas Day thing. Matrix Reloaded being the oddball since it was a week before MD, which is an even further oddball since it had some Wed showings so not a true Wed or Thu opener. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Has the Thursday release thing ever even been tried with an unestablished franchise? It's mainly been an exclusive thing to the '99-'09 LucasFilm releases or Xmas Day when it falls on Thursday. There's also Matrix Reloaded, Hangover 2, Pirates 3. What else? -
Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
We're talking maybe 1% of the gross, and then how many of that 1% would have seen it anyways? It's pretty insignificant in terms of the actual inflation being added by MP. They definitely are nowhere near being able to have bargaining power yet. So we'll see how long they last with this dirt cheap price, because that's clearly what they're hoping their pricing would lead to. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'd be pretty shocked if it did that much on Thursday. I feel like Thursday is a pretty big wild card and the numbers could be really low even if it does well over the 3 day. It's just such a bizarre release date for something that doesn't have loads of built in hype and awareness. Can imagine plenty of the GA being completely oblivious to it being out on Thursday.