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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. MovieMan89
    Well we for sure know Tomorrowland isn't making the nom. Doubt Ant Man would either. It could conceivably be any combo of the other 8 though. I'd say: TFA Martian MM JW The Walk or The Revenant (should be The Walk, but Revenant's big awards player status could maybe give it an edge)
  2. MovieMan89
    I know, just joking. I would have to think no report yet on it indicates it probably didn't make a big dent though.
  3. MovieMan89
    Don't get the Schumer love at all. I'd take any of them winning over her, even Smith for what is probably a "I just showed up and made a movie" performance.
  4. MovieMan89
    Confusion on 13 could be irrelevant anyways, since TBS could easily move up to 6th in actuals.
  5. MovieMan89
    Maybe it had a theater average of $6 and did miss the top 40.
  6. MovieMan89
    The category is as stretched thin as possible this year, so that's why he's there. It is blatantly a supporting role though. I think Gosling's narration may make him seem like a bigger presence, but Carell easily has the most screentime. There's not one character it's really "more" about though. It's like Spotlight, except this time one of them has enough screentime to fly as lead.
  7. MovieMan89
    Haha, obviously they just haven't reported the gross for it yet. It's impossible for it to miss the top 40.
  8. MovieMan89
    It opened in nearly 500 theaters this weekend. It's a Christian wrestling movie. Yes, you read that right.
  9. MovieMan89
    Any data on The Masked Saint? Did it bomb that hard?
  10. MovieMan89
    When I asked Chasmmi due to confusion on cut short, he said it makes you only lose the question's point value if you're wrong. Opposed to if you get a question wrong normally, you lose the amount of the last question you decided to answer to. So if you answered to 32k and got the 16k question wrong, 32k is normally what you would lose but cut short on the question would only make it 16k.
  11. MovieMan89
    I'm already screwed there because it didn't end up on the shortlist for Hair and Makeup (WTF?).
  12. MovieMan89
    Sicario is the BIG wildcard. I predict it is either only scoring a cinematography and sound nom, or it will score about 7 noms (including BP, actress, s actor, screenplay, editing). Gonna be really interesting what they do with that movie.
  13. MovieMan89
    Uh no, pretty much only at Globes. BAFTAs and SAG were supporting noms. It's 1000% a supporting role.
  14. MovieMan89
    He'll be supporting at Oscars (don't know why he isn't at Globes, definitely a supporting role).
  15. MovieMan89
    I'm fairly certain both are in. Damon is getting snubbed.
  16. MovieMan89
  17. MovieMan89
    Then again, they seem to have some weird obsession with Hooper that runs in the same vein as their Daldry fixation. Shit, now you guys have me worried.
  18. MovieMan89
    Of course the chance is always there for a film like MM to get snubbed, no matter how much momentum its built. 3 months ago if you would have told me it would be considered a lock for a BP and BD nom going into the nominations, I would have said you're nuts. It's downright amazing it has even come this close. If it got snubbed for like The Danish Girl though...
  19. MovieMan89
    Yeah, I'm pretty shocked. Thought 60 would be like the absolute ceiling. Seems you can never underestimate female driven movies anymore these days.
  20. MovieMan89
    Yeah, I get it on the expanded sense, but they really do need to take down Inception as the one chosen for the home page comparison.
  21. MovieMan89
    Oh god, has Keith Simanton taken over again? That sounds like one of his ridiculous showdowns. Shutter Island is definitely the obvious comparison. Similar release date and nearly the same OW.
  22. MovieMan89
    Actually The Artist and Chicago were both pretty clear cut frontrunners from the beginning those years (in fact The Artist went without any opposition whatsoever). The Reader nom of course is shocking, but then again not so given the Academy's propensity for anything Holocaust related. SIL is a bit silly to talk about since we're talking like two decades ago now.
  23. MovieMan89
    My guess for top 15 by game's end at the moment: 1. TFA - $965m 2. MJ2 -$285m 3. Spectre - $200m 4. Daddy's Home - $155m 5. KFP3 - $150m 6. Peanuts - $130m 7. TGD - $125m 8. Ride Along 2 - $120m 9. Creed - $110m 10. The Revenant - $105m 11. Sisters - $95m 12. Alvin - $90m 13/14. The Big Short - $80m 13/14. Goosebumps - $80m 15. Deadpool or 13 Hours - $75m
  24. MovieMan89
    Agreed. Now granted, movies don't play as long anymore as ROTK, but the big ones do tend to get re-expansions (JW's inflated its gross by 10m). As I said, 43 and a -52% hold or so is what I want to see to put some real hope in 1b again.
  25. MovieMan89
    43 is my number for putting 1b back on life support, so I hope you're right.
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