MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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Go Room!!!
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YES!!! TFA getting BP now!! Or it better if it got editing
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Fraud wins
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I knew Pixar wasn't getting two in, especially when TGD bombed. Mad max already cleaning up.
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It's kind of like releasing JW 2 years after JP3 opposed to 14 years. It would have likely flopped opposed to being one of the biggest grossers ever. Not that I'm saying this will be a JW obviously, but the long wait helps in this case. I think there will be a curiosity factor, which combined with the good counter-programming release date gets it to at least 100.
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It's too good of counter-programming to BvS for 75 to be the best it can hope for. There will be some curiosity here, 42m worth of admissions for the first isn't just going to mean nothing. I would be surprised if it misses 100 honestly. Just look at Sisters as TFA's counter-programming, and TFA arguably had way more female appeal than BvS will.
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Both. I say it does around 130-150, which is technically amazing for it while still have a horrendous 65% admissions drop from the first.
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Maybe not, but who the hell knows how to factor in OS inflation with any accuracy.
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It is pretty incredible an SW film will easily topple any HP film OS, considering the OS juggernaut that franchise was. Nice that we can finally put the "Star Wars isn't an OS franchise!" stuff to rest.
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Honestly, none of us can really know yet where it will finish between the 900-1b range. For all we know, last weekend was just an outlier since it was its first weekend out of the Holidays, and the rest of the drops here out will be light. Or it will crash and burn now. Don't know yet.
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I wonder if it hits 100m admissions if we'll get a report from anywhere? Would probably need like 975 for that though.
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I think now is a safe time to assume TFA has become the biggest ticket seller since Titanic.
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Still a fantastic jump, discount Tuesdays or not.
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They'd be dumb to not at least do a re-expansion though, especially back to IMAX screens. JW gained an extra 10m it would have never made that way, I'd think TFA could pull at least an extra 15 .
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Considering Rogue One won't even be done yet, I'd say that's a bad idea. But so is sticking to that May date for VIII, of which Disney is making me nervous they haven't changed yet.
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4m would be awesome if true.
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A bit off topic, but does anyone know who's playing on Gold Derby if we're supposed to pick 10 for Best picture no matter what, because it does specifically instruct you to pick 10? Or should we just pick however many we think will be nominated?
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2015 Awards and Precusors (PGA NOMS ON PG. 10)
MovieMan89 replied to Cmasterclay's topic in And The Winner Is...
Ugh, Sicario is bugging the shit out of me for predictions. I still feel like it could be in for a ton of big noms or it could just as easily score a sound nom and nothing more. -
I think if there's a surprise in this category, it will be a McCarthy snub. I feel like that film has way less momentum than people think. Maybe Harvey will work his magic and score Haynes that spot.
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I've had the feeling we're getting a full decade gap ever since it was moved out of 2016 (I'm pretty sure Cameron was insisting for a few years after the first that it would hit in 2014, lol).
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Still give it like 15% chance it hits 2017. And about 50% chance it hits 2018 for that matter.
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I keep getting like a 975 number too, even with great weekends. Ugh, so annoying 1b seems so close yet so far. Just have to hope they will get it there somehow if it gets that close.
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If there's a time of death for 1b, it will be this weekend. If it does 30 or more for the 3 day, 1b is still a long shot.
