MovieMan89

I bet MI5 gets the best multi of the summer. I think GP can go down with an OW in the 50's.

Well if it weren't for the tracking I would have been expecting 75m+, so I guess it's good the tracking brought my expectations a little closer to reality.

Considering how bad the tracking was for most of the week, I'm very relieved it will end up pulling high 50's. A 4x multi should be entirely doable I think.

This has big shoes to fill if it wants to top MI5 as the best spy movie of the year.

1) Will Vacation drop more than 25% on Thursday? YES 2) Will Mission Impossible make more than 60 million? NO 3) Will MI5 make more than 5 million from previews? YES 4) Will Pixels finish with more than Ant-Man? NO 5) Will Minions fall more than 50%? NO 6) Will Vacation make more than 30 million for the 5 day? NO 7) Will JW increase more than 48% on Saturday? NO 8) Will IO finish ahead of JW by more than half a million? NO 9) Will Trainwreck drop less than 30%? NO 10) Will any film increase more than 60% on Friday? YES 11) Will any film increase on Thursday? NO 12) Will Papertowns drop more than 58%? NO 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 What film finishes in spots: 5 Pixels 7 Southpaw 9 Inside Out 11 Mr. Holmes 2000 each and 3000 bonus for all 4 right Bonus 1: What will Ant-Man and Minions combine to make? 5000 30.280 Bonus 2: What will MI5 gross WW? 10,000 for closest, 7000 for second, 3000 for third closest. 150.500

Whoa, I may actually have a shot this year. Dammit, why did I forget to do this past week's questions!

Damn, had no idea the Pixels DOM predictions were so high overall. I'm one of the lowest with $118m, which I will certainly still end up in the red for.

It's still insane to see that JW will outgross the average BSG prediction by a solid 400m. Safe to say that is THE most poorly predicted film overall in the history of the game.

The newest trailer reminded me of Ice Age with a WALL-E style tone of isolated non-verbal bonding.

So are we looking at a WALL-E very little talking situation here?

I mean, any optimism for this film pretty much dies with Hammer's atrocious accent.

Fixed.

That title sequence is the highlight of the whole film, imo.

That movie definitely gets worse on repeat viewings. Not that I loved it the first time either, but after the first time I really had next to no use for it. Casino Royale is so many leagues above it.

Terminator, Ted, and Tomorrowland are really the only "famine" ones. Everything else either went way above expectations or at least met expectations. Well, AoU was also below expectations, but still hard to really knock a movie that made 450m+.

Yeah, but if it entertains their kids usually parents give good WOM to other parents regardless. Unless parents are truly despising it.

What the heck happened with F7? Didn't we get confirmation of it passing TA like over a month ago? But BOM still has it behind.

Yeah, 1b WW should still happen.

Looks like the people who were calling toxic WOM for Minions were right. These holds have been abysmal for an animated film, no other way around it. I am surprised since it looks to me like it would be an easy pleaser to kids. Maybe it did have more of a teen/adult audience than I was giving it credit for ala the Shrek franchise?

I meant the way she comes across in the movie trailers and whatnot. She just seems like she'd be better suited playing the "mean girl" so to speak in a movie like this. I have zero idea how she comes across as a person in real life. Never seen an interview with her or anything.

Also Cara Delevingne just gives off this super strong aura as that hot girl that is totally stuck on herself and wildly unapproachable. She's like the complete opposite vibe of Shailene Woodley for example. Not the best move to cast her in the lead if they wanted the GA to like/relate to her character.

The marketing for PT came off soooo tween to me it hurt. I doubt it attracted much of anyone over 14 like TFIOS did.

True. Though at any rate I think JW still has another 30m in the tank regardless. That's just a little over a 4x multi off of this weekend. Unfortunately, 30m will put it like 4-5m short of Titanic.

Well look at what the increased screen count did for Avenger's labor day weekend. With the fantastic holds the movie has had its whole run, they'd be stupid not to roll it out in a bunch more screens for that holiday weekend. It's very much the holiday weekend kind of movie.

Yes, 55% 2nd weekend drop for a CBM equals like 40-45% for most other genres. It's a strong hold. TA had insane WOM to only drop 50% its second weekend, and Thor 1's second weekend was kind of just an anomaly.