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Everything posted by peludo
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Is there any chance for JTTW2 to reach 2b? -
Not just because strong dollar, which was already strong at the end of 2015. It will drop substantially in admissions too. I do not see 5 million admissions in Spain, as TFA did, for example. Maybe 3.5-4 million, what would already mean a 25-30% drop relative to TFA. I expect a similar behaviour nearly everywhere.
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Phantom Menace: $924m Attack of the Clones: $649m That is a 30% drop 1.5b would mean a 27% drop. Nothing surprising. TFA, in the same way than Episode I, was an event film. To repeat what both films did it would be required something special (I do not know if Fisher's death can be that factor). But I would find those 1.5-1.6b figures quite normal and expected.
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
All I have to say about Jackie Chan is that he already has the same Academy awards than Alfred Hitchcock, Cary Grant or Groucho Marx... obviously, I will never trust again in the Academy. Beyond this, and with initial data, are there any final prevision of how much can make the CNY releases at the end of their runs? -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Is it true that Passengers will finish its run tomorrow baceuse of CNY? If I remember well, it was said here that it would be on theaters just for 2 weeks. If that is true, I do not remember any film leaving theaters ranking #1, not just in China, but everywhere. Correct me if I am wrong. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
peludo replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
I guess his numbers include the midnights + your figures: JTTW2: 2.5 + 56.99 = 59.5 Buddies: 1.3 + 39.66 = 41.0 -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I had not realize of this. @Olive get well soon -
Way out. POTC4 was one of the most benefited films because of ER and 3D explosion. IMHO, this franchise has already peaked. I am thinking in 550-600, asuming 125-130 from China.
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I would go with 800-1 billion Yuan (117-146m dollars with today ER). -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
peludo replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
With those previews figures, Journey 2 remains to be the CNY monster or we can see a surprise? -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
It is hard to me to imagine that something called Transformers can drop in China a 50% relative to its predecessor, even if in the film appears a pig flying. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Sure. Very probably, nothing will beat Mermaid for a while. But TF5 and F8 are more than locked to make 1 billion. And both have quite chances to make 2 billion. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Transformers 5 and Furious 8 say hello. -
For the moment, Rogue One has grossed a 45% of whole TFA gross in Spain. In USA it has grossed a 54% of what TFA did. It is a lower proportion, but not a disaster. Quite decent I would say. It is just that Sing! is making very good business here
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January 13th-15th (bold titles are local films) # (Last). Title: Total Gross (nº of weekend) 1 (N) . La la land: €1,919,563 (NEW) 2 (1) . Sing!: €13,443,961 (4th) 3 (N) . Underworld 5: €708,855 (NEW) 4 (2) . Passengers: €5,606,527 (3rd) 5 (3) . Contratiempo: €2,045,393 (2nd) 6 (N) . Why him?: €660,340 (NEW) 7 (4) . Rogue One: €14,885,853 (5th) 8 (5) . Silence: €1,357,393 (2nd) 9 (9) . Moana: €9,734,905 (7th) 10 (6) . Assassin's creed: €6,532,603 (4th) 11 (8) . Collateral beauty: €3,374,063 (4th) 12 (7) . Villaviciosa de al Lado: €9,818,347 (7th) 13 (10). Monster Trucks: €645,484 (2nd) 14 (12). Hell or high water: €686,628 (3rd) 15 (N) . Ormnievesen: €84,747 (NEW) 16 (13). Retour chez ma mère: €628,947 (3rd) 17 (N) . Proyecto Lázaro: €75,236 (NEW) 18 (14). Frantz: €389,936 (3rd) 19 (11). Masterminds: €409,582 (2nd) 20 (16). Hacksaw Ridge: €2,143,712 (6th)
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La La Land OS Thread - 288.1M OS - 439M WW
peludo replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
1. La La Land 2. Sing! 3. Silence 4. Contratiempo (local film) 5. Passengers 6. Underworld 7. Why him? 8. Frantz (French film) 9. Hell or High Water 10. Rogue One -
La La Land OS Thread - 288.1M OS - 439M WW
peludo replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
No numbers yet, but it is opening first in Spain. -
@Jason Thank you again for your hard work This chart shows how hard is to reach 1 billion OS. Just 4 films would had reached today that mark (Titanic, Avatar, SW7 and F7), even less than the real 5 (JW would lose that privilege). And just another 4 would had made over 900 (JW, HP1, FOTR and ROTK). I guess that among older films just a bunch like Snow White, Gone with the Wind, 101 dalmatians, Jungle Book (1967), Jaws, Star Wars, E.T., Jurassic Park and Lion King would have chances to make it. Maybe I am forgetting some more classics but those are the only possible films that come to my mind right now.
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My bad. I had not explained what that +€4.2m means.
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comScore data are for the weekend (Fri 6th-Sun 8th). The data I gave in my previous post are for the whole week (Mon 2nd-Sun 8th): As expected, big week-to-week increases. Sing! has grossed €4.2m during Mon-Sun period, Passengers €3.1m, Rogue One €2.3m, Assasin's Creed €1.5m, and Villaviciosa de al Lado, Moana and Collateral Beauty €1.0m each.
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January 6th-8th (bold titles are local films) # (Last). Title: Total Gross (nº of weekend) 1 (1) . Sing!: €12,138,897 (3rd) +€4.2m 2 (2) . Passengers: €4,554,181 (2nd) +€3.1m 3 (N) . Contratiempo: €1,087,912 (NEW) 4 (3) . Rogue One: €14,156,310 (4th) +€2.3m 5 (N) . Silence: €775,001 (NEW) 6 (4) . Assassin's creed: €5,957,119 (3rd) +€1.5m 7 (6) . Villaviciosa de al Lado: €9,483,828 (6th) +€1.0m 8 (5) . Collateral beauty: €2,984,963 (3rd) +€0.95m 9 (7) . Moana: €9,393,239 (6th) +€1.0m 10 (N) . Monster Trucks: €457,298 (NEW) 11 (N) . Masterminds: €310,475 (NEW) 12 (8) . Hell or high water: €508,783 (2nd) 13 (9) . Retour chez ma mère: €489,439 (2nd) 14 (13). Frantz: €266,184 (2nd) 15 (10). Fantastic Beasts: €13,440,240 (8th) 16 (12). Hacksaw Ridge: €2,074,226 (5th) 17 (N) . Train to Busan: €100,894 (NEW) 18 (14). Arrival: €4,528,980 (8th) 19 (16). Paterson: €591,463 (5th) 20 (N) . Juste la fin du monde: €39,345 (NEW) As expected, big week-to-week increases. Sing! has grossed €4.2m during Mon-Sun period, Passengers €3.1m, Rogue One €2.3m, Assasin's Creed €1.5m, and Villaviciosa de al Lado, Moana and Collateral Beauty €1.0m each. FB will not probably reach the lowest HP film (DH1 with €13.8m), but it will be very close. RO (€14.1m) is tracking a bit lower than half than TFA at the same point, which was at €29m at the end of holidays. If some of you want to have a better perspective of these numbers, the size of the market is, rounding up, about 18 times lower in dollars than US. That means that if a film makes about €5.3m it is equivalent to $100m. You can take €5m or €5.5m for easier extrapolations, but more or less, that is the current equivalence.
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January 6th-12th: 1. Justice League 2. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 3. Wonder Woman 4. War for the Planet of the Apes 5. Beauty and the Beast 6. Dunkirk 7. Blade Runner 2049 8. Star Wars VIII 9. Thor: Ragnarok 10. The LEGO Batman movie
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As expected, good data relative to previous week because of holidays. Flat or increase for the 3 holdovers. "Contratiempo" is a local film and "Silencio" is Scorsese's Silence.
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
peludo replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Last update in www.cbooo.cn has 20:15 data. Friday is already at 61.9m yuan (65.65m adding midnights)