peludo

It would not be very surprising if China becomes its biggest market, over DOM.

Just to point that this Monday, May 1st, will be holiday in several countries (Labor Day). We could see some Sunday bloated figures and of course we will see a bigger Monday than usual. Just for reference if you analyze numbers and try to extrapolate as if this were a normal weekend. It is not.

Sure. $900m is a great gross. I do not discuss it. It is just that GotG is, by far, my favorite MCU film. I wanted this to be big. Maybe I expected too much...

I do not say it is impossible, but definitely Spidey is favorite against Thor 3.

I do not know where it can land, but some months ago I was very sure this would fly over 1 billion with ease, and not I am not so sure. First data are not specially impressive and Chinese presales do not seem too good in that sense. And considering this will be a way more frontloaded film than first one, unless something strange happens, I am not too optimistic about a huge increase.

Thor 2 was not exactly enourmous. Man of Steel, for example, was bigger than it in 2013. And we have already seen what happened to BvS. And we do not have a recent Hulk film to compare. We do not know if that character is loved there. On the other side, we already know that Spidey and, mainly, Iron Man are big draws. IM3 did in 2013 the amount that GotG2 seems headed to do now.

If that range become true, and applying a x2 multiplier, it would be headed to about 650-850m Yuan (Dr. Strange, Logan, Apocalypse range), maybe a bit more with good WOM, although I guess that competition could cut that supposed good legs. Sincerely, I could have expected more from this film.

We have the OD of 3 markets. I would wait a bit to lock/unlock anything.

For sure. It is a coincidence, but AoU ranks #7 both OS and WW, and it is obvious that F8 has chances reaching $946m OS but no one to get $1.4b WW.

Sorry. I just read numbers

Fate of the Furious is not making $347m DOM. With a $100m opening, probably around $240m.

For some reason, I can not edit my original post. @Eevin, I sent you my list too.

Of course, congrats to Star Wars. Great achievement. Even more than the initial run, I have always been amazed about the 1997 re-release data. $260m adjusted 20 years later original release and when most people could already see it at home seems unreal to me. It was the 8th film of the year. Just for reference, the 8th film of 2016 was Batman v Superman...

Yes, that data is confusing. There are people here, who know a lot about Chinese market, which are quite more reliable than BOM data (of course, I am not talking about me. I just repeat what they say).

That is not correct. F7 opened on Sunday and it did $63.5m during that OD. And during the next 7 days it grossed another $182m, which I guess is the amount you are referring to (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=CH&id=fast7.htm). It is impossible to compare one opening to the other. By the second Sunday (8 days), F7 was, more or less, at 1.5b Yuan ($246m multiplied by 6.2, which was the ER by April 2015). F8 will have reached that amount tomorrow (after 4 days), or Tuesday (5 days). Probably some of us got excited too much with initial presales about beating SW OW record outside US, but 190-195m is a brutal record, no matters how you look at it.

But GDP per capita in China is about 6-7 times lower than in US so, since tickets are 50% lower, the effort of one person to buy a ticket is 3-3.5 times higher in China than in US... I think we can continue this until end of time. I leave my initial position and let's say it is a record opening in China

Over Age of Ultron too: 195.5 for F8 and 191 for Ultron. And another detail: tickets cost half than in US. So in terms of admissions this is like a $400m OW DOM...

I am making my list too

I guess that because Thursday was OD and holiday in many European countries

Spain OD (Thursday): €1.7m F7 opened to €1.9m (Thursday too). 4-day weekend was €5.9m. About 10% decrease relative to 7th part.

With a $215-220m opening? Not locked, but probable.

* Over $400m in China * Probably 2nd OW ever in any country, just behind Star Wars 7 in USA. About $215-220m. * 2nd biggest film ever in China with a chance of topping the first one (Mermaid with 3.39b Yuan = about $490m)

You should start to think in over $200m opening in China.

This next week there are holidays in several European countries. Here in Spain, children do not go to school the whole week and both Thursday and Friday are holidays in nearly the whole country. You can expect better holds than usual.