peludo

Weekend (Rentrak): 1. 8AC: €1.8m 2. Bridge of spies: €1.1m 3. The Good Dinosaur: €0.8m 4. Mockingjay 2: €0.8m 5. In the heart of sea: €0.4m Big drops for 8AC and MJ2, both over 50%. Better drops for the others (30-40%).

Biggest single day in December is $37m (AUJ OD Friday). Adjusting by inflation, $47m (ROTK OD Wednesday)

I thought the same about Hobbit relative to LOTR and look what happened. I do not say FB can not surprise and make what you are saying, but I do not see the same appealing than Harry Potter. It should drop in attendance in many developed countries. Latin America and Asian markets can compensate that drop.

Very likely

I agree with that. JW, Furious 7 or AoU have been very benefited by Chinese figures. That for sure. Both China and E.Rates are big distortions to make fair OS comparisons. IMHO, you are quite optimistic with the number outside China and pessimistic with the Chinese figure. With current exchange rates, DH2 would had done today about $750m (without inflation). I could see for FB maybe $600m outside China and $150m in China, what would already be an incredible success for a spin-off.

Sure. Warner and Disney earned that amount and Universal don't, but you know that it is not a fair comparison. And Star Wars will do it before Fantastic Beasts.

With current exchange rates, just Avatar and Titanic did it. The other 3 would had not reach that amount.

My bad. I always use Ministry of Culture figures and I always forget those figures are maybe not updated.

Yes, it is in gross, but still ranks #2 in admissions, a bit behind Minions, which sold 4.1 million. This weekend 8AC will surpass that mark. Said this, 8AC and Star Wars will compete for the yearly crown.

It seems that during Monday and Tuesday (Tuesday was national holiday and Monday has been holiday in several regions), 8AC has sold another 370,000 admissions. According eCartelera, 8AC has already sold 3,891,988 admissions.

So long since BOM abandoned the derby... I do not remember well, but yes, Xian could be the name.

I enjoyed this game a lot in BOM. Thank you very much!

OW: 240 DOM: 850 WW: 2.25b

Well, my feeling right now is SW7 OD > MJ2 OW

That is right. Let's say extremely improbable. Something like if SW7 opens lower than MJ2.

That you said $700m is safe to asume. With current data, it is impossible to reach.

December 4 - 10: 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 3. Suicide Squad 4. The Revenant 5. The Hateful Eight 6. Star Trek Beyond 7. Captain America: Civil War 8. Doctor Strange 9. Bourne 5 10. The Infiltrator

I have just posted this in the SW7 over 1.8 billion club, but I think this is the best place to post it. I have already adjusted by inflation the Star Wars films WW to have a reference for SW7: 1. Star Wars: $1.415b / $1.119b / $2.535b 2. Phantom Menace: $753m / $751m / $1.504b 3. Empire Strikes Back: $810m / $694m / $1.504b 4. Return of the Jedi: $778m / $534m / $1.312b 5. Revenge of the Sith: $495m / $537m / $1.032b 6. Attack of the Clones: $445m / $514m / $960m

here and everywhere...

You are right. I was considering the best possible scenario, which does not seem likely mainly because SW7. I am thinking in similar numbers to you: 285-290/360-370/645-660

Not sure if you are serious with the 900 figure Let's see. MJ2 has made $12m less than MJ1 at the same point. IMHO, this is headed to somewhere 650-700. I honestly think that the best scenario would be that this could reach $310m in US following the same figures than MJ1 from now (something that I see unlikely, mainly within 3 weeks because of SW), and maybe, $370-380m OS. You must remember that MJ1 had not been released in China in this moment. To make a fair comparison you have to add the $36m that MJ1 did in China to the MJ1 cume after 2nd weekend. The real difference after 2nd weekend is maybe of about $40m if we consider that MJ2 has been released this weekend in Spain and that it can still make some dollars in China. Following the same run than last year, it would give us about $380-390m OS. Adding a great run from now in US, it could reach $700m, but I see it difficult because of the SW factor. Right now, $700m is the roof, not the floor.

It seems that both films have been quite equaled along the Friday, so since MJ2 is a quite frontloaded film. 8AC should win the weekend.

November 27 - December 3: 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 3. Suicide Squad 4. The Revenant 5. Star Trek Beyond 6. Captain America: Civil War 7. Doctor Strange 8. The Hateful Eight 9. Bourne 5 10. Moana

Yesterday, I saw a little cinema near my parents' home with 3 screens which use to be empty. I had not seen that cinema with so many people a long time ago. Many of them were leaving from a showtime and a long queue were waiting for the next one. Of course, one of the screens was showing 8AC. Maybe I have to regret of what I said during the weekend and maybe we have another monster coming...

I have finally found some time to try to adjust the worldwide figures. And I have found some data of the official current list (BOM), which I think have no sense. I want to coment it here if some of you have more information than can clarify the next. Right now, I am trying to adjust "The Jungle Book", which, according BOM, grossed $64m OS. I have suspects that amount is limited to original release, and the real amount is only not higher, but incredibly higher. I will try to explain this with some single market analysis. According InsideKino and iMDB, Jungle Book has sold 27 million admissions in Germany. It is recognized as the biggest film ever in that country. InsideKino splits that figure as follows: 1968: 7.6 million admissions ($5.5m) 1979: 9.1 million ($29.7m) 1987: 5.4 million ($23m) 1993: 4.1 million ($22.7m) 2000: 1.0 million ($5.2m) I have calculated the figures in dollars applying the average ticket price of each year (that information appears in InsideKino too). Just in Germany, the film would had grossed $86m unadjusted adding all releases, well over the official $64m OS total figure. The same seems to happen with France: 1968: 5.4 million ($4.2m) 1979: 5.0 million ($15.3m) 1988: 2.0 million ($9.8m) 1993: 2.3 million ($13.8m) Those figures add 14.7 million admissions and $43m. And in UK, I have found that it is the 7th highest attended film ever, with 19.7 million admissions, over Titanic, for example... Adjusting the admissions figures for each country, I have that it would have grossed today $249m in Germany, $209m in UK, $105m in France or $26m in Spain. And in iMDB, it says that Jungle Book has sold 3.5 million admissions in Sweden, what would mean today $43m!!... These 5 countries would sum up about $632m. I have the feeling that $64m amount just refers to the original release and that the OS figure is quite higher than that. So, don't be very surprised if when I finally publish the adjusted list you see some titles like Jungle Book close to Avatar, Star Wars or E.T.