This is in no danger of being a Superman Returns with the overseas numbers. Sequel is happening and it will almost certainly increase. Sony definitely knew it would be an uphill battle domestically, but they still announced a sequel.
I'm guessing the range will be 255-270. Spider-Man 2 and Transformers had ~2.0 6-day multipliers, and they didn't have theater-devouring competition in their 3rd weekends.
Emma Stone: $883 million WW without Spider-Man over 5 years.Kirsten Dunst: $1.1 billion WW without Spider-Man over 18 years.Stone is way hotter than Dunst ever was.
That doesn't really happen. Hancock was only slightly softer in its 4th weekend than it would have been without the steeper drop from TDK in its 3rd. The effect will be negligible. Actually, Hancock (after the first week) is pretty much a dead-on parallel with what TASM will probably do.
Superman Returns was around 30 mets (15 for its 6-day)TASM is doing almost identical business (15 mets for a $140m 6-day using Avengers for format share estimates).
Great for TASM. I think I predicted 230, so it's exceeding my box office expectations. Sequel should be awesome even if this movie wasn't exactly amazing.