CAYOM: Year 7 - Actuals

[Ezen Baklattan]

It's just like a man during sex. It's cumming.

[ChD]

... dat quote.

[Alpha]

Ooh yay!

[Ezen Baklattan]

January 6-8: ‘Unbalanced’ Shakes Up The New Year

The famous horror anthology franchise, Unbalanced, managed to delay franchise fatigue once again and manage to keep going for a little bit longer. It managed to get to a $20.3m Friday and an IM of just over 2. This is probably due in part by the good reviews for this installment and the inclusion of everyone’s favorite oversized rapist insects.  The B CinemaScore is also decent for films like this. Meanwhile, Expedecade, the bane of Numbers’s existence, had a solid hold into the new year. These good feats could not be matched up for Michael Bay’s bizarre documentary, which is a essentially a trailer for Thomas the Tank Engine. Audiences can only handle so much ridiculousness.

 

1. Unbalanced 4 - $41,803,081 (NEW)

2. Expedecade - $25,403,681 (3^rd week)

3. A Series Of Unfortunate Events: Movie The Second - $15,673,026 (4^th week)

4. The Twenty One Balloons - $11,574,605 (5^th week)

5. The Zone - $6,804,913 (3^rd week)

6. Best Friends - $5,698,381 (4^th week)

7. Kind Hearts & Coronters - $4,629,498 (5^th week)

8. Explosions & Half-Naked Attractive Ladies - $4,271,953 (NEW)

9. Planeswalkers: Betrayals - $3,925,103 (7^th week)

10. Careful Laid Plans - $3,504,599 (12^th week)

 

January 13-16: Hemsworth Saves Our Childhoods

Thor knows how to heat up a boring January. The Ice Station, a new action film starring Chris Hemsworth, yielded some impressive numbers thanks to a decent ad campaign and the draw of Chris Hemsworth. The film also managed a solid B+ Cinemascore. Audiences, meanwhile, couldn’t buy the sheer nonsense based in the plot of Ruined Childhood, even if Barney really is the antichrist. Unbalanced 4 took a big stumble, but this shouldn’t come as a surprise at all.

 

1. The Ice Station - $22,768,405/$27,509,672 (NEW)

2. Expedecade - $14,879,603/$18,209,485 (4^th week)

3. Unbalanced 4 - $11,304,586/$13,026,574 (2^nd week) (-73%/-69%)

4. A Series Of Unfortunate Events: Movie The Second - $9,803,678/$12,905,357 (5^th week)

5. Ruined Childhood - $8,105,793/$7,453,401 (NEW)

6. The Twenty One Balloons - $8,029,456/$11,005,673 (6^th week)

7. The Zone - $4,601,234/$5,627,341 (4^th week)

8. Best Friends - $3,802,139/$4,633,705 (5^th week)

9. Careful Laid Plans - $3,162,103/$4,203,158 (13^th week)

10. Kind Hearts & Coronets - $3,071,234/$2,695,495 (6^th week)

-Explosions & Half-Naked Attractive Ladies  - $1,483,331/$1,863,209 (2^nd Week) (-65%/-56%)

-The Idiot - $763,204/$989,405 (NEW - limited)

 

January 20-22: ‘Coming Home’ Sneaks Into #1

Apparently AnnaSophia Robb became a thing in the world of CAYOM. Her January thriller really connected with teen audiences, performing with a $9.7m Friday and a $24.3m weekend. Ping, unfortunately, didn’t quite live up to expectations, with many families waiting for Bone next month. it should still have decent legs up to that point. The Ice Station was actually ahead of it on the initial weekend estimates. Psy’s new documentary did even worse than the previous, and it may have just tanked as badly as Carnival did.

 

1. Coming Home - $23,807,495 (NEW)

2. Ping - $11,081,422 (NEW)

3. The Ice Station - $10,953,845 (2^nd week) (-52%)

4. Expedecade - $8,083,495 (5^th week)

5. A Series Of Unfortunate Events: Movie The Second - $5,703,293 (6^th week)

6. Unbalanced 4 - $4,845,204 (3^rd week)

7. The Twenty One Balloons - $4,151,293 (7^th week)

8.  Ruined Childhood - $3,106,664 (2^nd week) (-62%)

9. The Zone - $2,971,304 (5^th week)

10. Careful Laid Plans - $2,778,394 (14^th week)

 

The Idiot - $1,526,345 (2^nd week - still limited)

PSY: I’m A Gentleman - $768,305 (NEW)

 

January 27-29: ‘Effects Team’ Is Special To Audience

It was a tight race for number #1 between horror adaption Penumbra & Todd Phillips comedy The Special Effects Team. In the end, though, it was the latter that managed to pull off the upset. Each film did perform respectably though, while The Special Effects Team has a healthy B+ CinemaScore to keep the ball rolling, unlike Penumbra’s C+. Not much is of note this weekend, other than The Idiot’s entry into the top 10, even before it enters wide release. The basis of a classic novel is helping the film, but at this point, WOM will do the rest. Also of note is Careful Laid Plan's Oscar nomination boost.

 

1. The Special Effects Team - $18,934,018 (NEW)

2. Penumbra - $18,459,203 (NEW)

3. Coming Home - $11,506,271 (2^nd week) (-52%)

4. Ping - $7,289,557 (2^nd week) (-34%)

5. The Ice Station - $6,257,495 (3^rd week)

6. Expedecade - $5,319,204 (6^th week)

7. A Series Of Unfortunate Events: Movie The Second - $3,681,204 (7^th week)

8. Careful Laid Plans - $3,056,199 (15^th week)

9. The Twenty One Balloons - $2,619,405 (8^th week)

10. The Idiot - $2,038,147 (3^rd week - almost wide)

[Alpha]

Special Effects Team is doing nicely, should finish with $60-70 million.

[Ezen Baklattan]

With the Winter and Fall, I'm probably going to stick close to most predictions for the films.

 

With the Summer and Holiday, though, than when we shake things up. 

[Blankments]

Color me very confused by Expedecade not holding #1 for its third weekend... At least I know it turns out well.

[Alpha]

Color me very confused by Expedecade not holding #1 for its third weekend... At least I know it turns out well.

 

There's a good reason for that, believe me.

[Ezen Baklattan]

How I imagine Numbers reacting to any weekend where Expedecade wasn't #1:

 

 

 

[Blankments]

There's a good reason for that, believe me.

 

Well, considering Creator had it as the Winter Blockbuster of Year 6 and it ended up second of the year at a time when weekdays aren't great... yeah, I expected it to hold a bit.

[Ezen Baklattan]

February will come tonight, and March will come tomorrow.

[Alpha]

February will come tonight, and March will come tomorrow.

 

That's fine.

 

hopefully we won't have people like...

 

"Waiting."

 

"It's taking forever!""5 hours is such a long time!"

[Ezen Baklattan]

Forgive my immature pun on President's Day Weekend. I simply couldn't resist. 

 

February 3-5: The Pastafarians Will Inherit The Earth

Thanks to some interesting web marketing tactics and bizarre buzz, a movie about The Flying Spaghetti Monster made it to #1, although its bizarre concept still didn’t completely engulf audiences. We Are The Champions opened a bit softer than expected, but WOM is good, so it should have a decent finish. The biggest loser this week was The Best Food Porno of All Time, which even Kevin Smith proved unable to rescue. The Special Effects Team took a bit of a hit from each new comedy, but it still held well thanks to word of mouth, while The Idiot finally reached wide release. Seriously people? There are many weeks with one film only and you’re giving Super Bowl weekend FOUR wide releases?!

 

1. Flying Spaghetti Monster The Great & Holy - $15,702,818 (NEW)

2. We Are The Champions - $11,154,279 (NEW)

3. The Special Effects Team  - $9,058,329 (2^nd week) (-52%)

4. Penumbra - $8,195,677 (2^nd week) (-56%)

5. Coming Home - $6,048,721 (3^rd week)

6. The Best Food Porno Of All Time - $5,507,341 (NEW)

7. Ping - $4,703,159 (3^rd week)

8. The Ice Station - $3,641,959 (4^th week)

9. Expedecade - $3,489,071 (7^th week)

10. The Idiot - $2,485,399 (4^th week - wide)

 

February 10-12: Audiences Walk With Tatum & Shitto

Thanks to an interesting premise, likeable leads, and strong critical reviews, Walking With You was able to surprise box office pundits and excel with a $34.3m weekend. That’s not to say that The Choice, a romantic option for older audiences, still did well, although fishnets was unable to rest easy with a Shitto film outgrossing PSY: I’m A Gentleman. Each film received a B+ CinemaScore, so expect some strong word of mouth for each film and decent legs. Not much else to report this weekend, but things should get interesting next weekend.

 

1. Walking With You - $34,304,289 (NEW)

2. The Choice - $19,833,841 (NEW)

3. Flying Spaghetti Monster The Great & Holy - $8,093,485 (2^nd week) (-48%)

4. We Are The Champions - $6,945,891 (2^nd week) (-39%)

5. The Special Effects Team - $5,514,538 (3^rd week)

6. The Idiot - $3,902,485 (5^th week - wider)

7. Penumbra - $3,899,012 (3^rd week)

8. Ping - $3,527,478 (4^th week)

9. Coming Home - $3,481,773 (4^th week)

10. The Best Food Porno Of All Time - $2,271,506 (2^nd week) (-59%)

 

February 17-20: Audiences Have A Bone-r for ‘Solstice’

With an amped marketing campaign to help audiences remember the exciting thrill ride of Y4’s Bone: Vernal Equinox, the sequel brought in the dough, attracting fans of the comic and families in great droves. It also earned an impressive A Cinemascore, so good numbers are in store for this. Also faring well was The SCP Foundation, with a unique premise that captured the attention of audiences. However, the film only earned a B- CinemaScore, so legs may not be stellar. It’s still a cut above many horror movies. Walking With You and The Choice each had solid holds into this President’s Day Weekend.

 

1. Bone: Solstice - $52,781,305/$63,025,144 (NEW)

2. The SCP Foundation - $24,801,948/$29.772,834 (NEW)

3. Walking With You - $19,653,203/$23,107,345 (2^nd week) (-43%/-33%)

4. The Choice - $11,572,851/$13,952,155 (2^nd week) (-42%/-30%)

5. We Are The Champions - $4,502,681/$5,809,221 (3^rd week)

6. Flying Spaghetti Monster The Great & Holy - $4,499,256/$5,702,345

7. The Idiot - $4,102,341/$4,988,671 (6^th week - widest)

8. The Special Effects Team - $3,498,471/$4,102,723 (4^th week)

9. Penumbra - $1,703,595/$2,121,203 (4^th week)

10. Coming Home - $1,624,687/$2,007,499 (5^th week)

 

February 24-26: ‘Bone’ Dominates Pathetic Weekend

With no significant threat to its #1 title, Bone: Solstice was easily able to repeat at #1, showing an excellent hold and a possible chance to play at $200m. Both openers were disasters, but for different reasons. Crusader lacked an interesting and original premise, whereas people didn’t ask for another Taylor Swift documentary after getting one last year. The only other thing of note this weekend was Walking With You’s overtaking of The SCP Foundation.

 

1. Bone: Solstice - $32,106,803 (2^nd week) (-39%)

2. Walking With You - $11,502,140 (3^rd week)

3. The SCP Foundation - $10,712,693 (2^nd week) (-57%)

4. The Choice - $7,102,389 (3^rd week)

5. Crusader - $5,922,109 (NEW)

6. Taylor Swift: Sparks Fly - $4,952,981 (NEW)

7. We Are The Champions - $2,680,413 (4^th week)

8. Flying Spaghetti Monster The Great & Holy - $2,491,305 (4^th week)

9. The Idiot - $2,446,904 (7^th week)

10. The Special Effects Team - $2,029,511 (5^th week)

Edited May 11, 2013 by Spaghetti

[Hiccup]

Disappointing for Unbalanced 4 and solid for Ice Station. There will be a sequel to both!

[Hiccup]

Disappoint for Ping 

[The Dark Alfred]

Disappointing for Unbalanced 4. Giant Spiders helped Chuck and Liam, thought that will be the case here as well. Oh well, Unbalanced 5 and Giant Spiders 5 will be on their way.

[Alpha]

That second weekend drop for The SCP Foundation is actually pretty good. Fine results for We Are the Champions.

[4815162342]

working on march/april predicts right now

[Ezen Baklattan]

March 3-5: Wishy-Washy ‘Wanders’  Wins Weekend With Wonder

Thanks to an effective marketing campaign with more oomph than your typical horror, The Wanders broke out this weekend, with an impressive $22.6m Friday gross. However, the film received dramatically mixed WOM (some raves and absolute pans are all over the place, and many people had more mixed feelings on the ending) and thus, an 18% drop on Saturday and a C+ CinemaScore. Legs may be a challenge for this film. Conventional Wisdom had some audience members lost to The Wanders, but it still performed decently all things considered. Meanwhile, Bone continues to impressive with some damn fine box office numbers.

 

1. The Wanders - $53,089,186 (NEW)

2. Bone: Solstice- $20,147,831 (3^rd week)

3. Conventional Wisdom - $18,207,443 (NEW)

4. Walking With You - $7,053,689 (4^th week)

5. The SCP Foundation - $5,036,710 (3^rd week)

6. The Choice - $4,390,766 (4^th week)

7. Crusader - $2,706,317 (2^nd week) (-54%)

8. Taylor Swift: Sparks Fly - $1,897,201 (2^nd week) (-62%)

9. Careful Laid Plans - $1,601,394 (20^th week)

10. We Are The Champions - $1,480,562 (5^th week)

 

March 10-12: ‘Assassin’s Creed’ In For The Kill

One breakout deserves another. Thanks to the strong appeal of the game, Assassin’s Creed was able to break out at the box office to a mind blowing $60.5m opening weekend. The B+ CinemaScore will also bode well for its further grosses at the box office. Frindle proved to be decent counter programming, managing a sum of money that was good, but not Earth shattering. White Cargo also made a decent run in its limited release, doing better than most documentaries thanks to great grosses and a narrator that caused yet another great thread derailing this weekend. The Wanders took a steep drop of two-thirds due to its polarizing word of mouth, and that pretty much sums of all of note this weekend.

 

1. Assassin’s Creed - $60,472,399 (NEW)

2. The Wanders - $17,290,042 (2^nd week) (-67%)

3. Bone: Solstice - $12,644,908 (4^th week)

4. Frindle - $12,053,811 (NEW)

5. Conventional Wisdom - $8,780,469 (2^nd week) (-52%)

6. Walking With You - $4,471,212 (5^th week)

7. White Cargo - $3,751,206 (NEW)

8. The Choice - $2,750,409 (5^th week)

9. The SCP Foundation - $2,498,090 (4^th week)

10. Careful Laid Plans - $1,000,563 (21^st week)

 

March 17-19: The Market Takes A Dip

After two smash weekends, it’s only natural that the market slow down for a little bit. This week lacked any interesting openers, and neither one will probably hit $20m in its final gross. Even Bone managed to get back into Second Place. This weekend is so boring, that do I even need to keep going? It speaks for itself.

 

1. Assassin’s Creed - $26,013,741 (-57%)

2. Bone: Solstice - $8,903,216 (5^th week)

3. 3:39AM - $8,541,239 (NEW)

4. Frindle - $7,922,107 (2^nd week) (-34%)

5. The Wanders - $7,841,609 (3^rd week)

6. Bear Market - $6,501,780 (NEW)

7. Conventional Wisdom - $5,508,631 (3^rd week)

8. White Cargo - $4,970,418 (2^nd week) (+33%)

9. Walking With You - $3,016,980 (6^th week)

10. The Choice - $1,740,346 (6^th week)

 

March 24-26: The ‘Mars In March’ Curse Strikes Again

With critical pans, fatigue from recent breakouts, and a confused marketing campaign, The Martian Chronicles failed to match expectations. The film had the author of 451 and the budget of Dawn Of Oblivion, and it’ll barely match that amount worldwide. The B CinemaScore showed that audiences were a bit more forgiving, but this is still a lousy number regardless. College drama-thriller After Party didn’t set the box office on fire either, despite decent reviews. Assassin’s Creed and Bone: Solstice continue to chug along just fine, and both are looking at healthy domestic totals.

 

1. The Martian Chronicles - $38,711,098 (NEW)

2. Assassin’s Creed - $13,378,427 (3^rd week)

3. After Party - $9,670,512 (NEW)

4. Bone: Solstice - $5,970,418 (6^th week)

5. Frindle - $5,811,203 (3^rd week)

6. The Wanders - $3,849,203 (4^th week)

7. Bear Market - $3,529,602 (2^nd week) (-46%)

8. White Cargo - $3,492,731 (3^rd week)

9. Conventional Wisdom - $3,218,389 (4^th week)

10. 3:39AM - $2,862,144 (2^nd week) (-66%)

 

March 31-April 2: ‘Peter Cottontail’ Delivers The Goods

Here Comes Peter Cottontail, the first ever Hollywood Easter animations, fared well at the box office with a huge draw from kids who had already seen Bone: Solstice. The Film’s A- CinemaScore is also very healthy. Meanwhile, young adult novel adaptation Hush, Hush, from the director of Y3 megahit Genesis, grossed a moderate sum of money this weekend. Oh, how the mighty have fallen. As The Martian Chronicles diminishes the profits that Assassin’s Creed and Peter Cottontail are generating for Alpha, the rest of the holdovers are lacking any surprise value.

 

1. Here Comes Peter Cottontail - $36,221,579 (NEW)

2. The Martian Chronicles - $15,280,437 (2^nd week) (-61%)

3. Hush, Hush - $11,780,931 (NEW)

4. Assassin’s Creed - $7,480,568 (4^th week)

5. After Party - $5,512,681 (2^nd week) (-43%)

6. Frindle - $3,256,180 (4^th week)

7. Bone: Solstice - $2,780,319 (7^th week)

8. White Cargo - $2,156,703 (4^th week)

9. Conventional Wisdom - $1,802,553 (5^th week)

10. The Wanders - $1,702,458 (5^th week)

Edited May 11, 2013 by Spaghetti

[Hiccup]

Excellent opening weekend for the Wanders and it should find its way to a 110-120M finish which is fantastic actually despite being really frontloaded.