Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[Shawn Robbins]

Stop saying November like its a bad thing . November has proven to be a lucrative month

 

Agreed. I really don't think November can be a major "excuse" for Thor 2. Now, if it had made $80m in mid-to-late December, that would be different. But there's not a big difference between the first weekend of May and early November. We tend to forget sometimes that just because we call the first Friday in May "the start of summer" for box office and movies, it isn't really summer for people in the real world. People still work, kids are still in school, and even some colleges are still in session.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Agreed. I really don't think November can be a major "excuse" for Thor 2. Now, if it had made $80m in mid-to-late December, that would be different. But there's not a big difference between the first weekend of May and early November. We tend to forget sometimes that just because we call the first Friday in May "the start of summer" for box office and movies, it isn't really summer for people in the real world. People still work, kids are still in school, and even some colleges are still in session.

high school kids are like "fuck it the school year is over, I can go to school late" Go to a midnight showing or skip Friday classes. 

Edited November 9, 2013 by Dexter of Suburbia

[Cmasterclay]

Indeed, Shawn, but as Dexter said, there's a difference between three weeks left in school and three months into the year. Especially among middle school kids and ESPECIALLY high schoolers.  They're more willing to go see movies at midnight and right after school on Friday than right in the center of the year. Shit just feels like its wrapping up. Everything is more lax and easier. Sure, it doesn't apply to little kids at all, but among the 12 to 18 crowd, it does make a difference. Absolutely. 

[Shawn Robbins]

high school kids are like "fuck it the school year is over, I can go to school late" Go to a midnight showing or skip Friday classes. 

 

If that were a significant factor though, I think we'd be seeing it in the numbers. Thor 2's Thu/Fri ratio was very close to IM3's.

 

Thor 2 4.55x

IM3: 4.41x

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Indeed, Shawn, but as Dexter said, there's a difference between three weeks left in school and three months into the year. Especially among middle school kids and ESPECIALLY high schoolers.  They're more willing to go see movies at midnight and right after school on Friday than right in the center of the year. Shit just feels like its wrapping up. Everything is more lax and easier. Sure, it doesn't apply to little kids at all, but among the 12 to 18 crowd, it does make a difference. Absolutely. 

I sent you a PM awhile ago. Did you get it?

[Shawn Robbins]

Indeed, Shawn, but as Dexter said, there's a difference between three weeks left in school and three months into the year. Especially among middle school kids and ESPECIALLY high schoolers.  They're more willing to go see movies at midnight and right after school on Friday than right in the center of the year. Shit just feels like its wrapping up. Everything is more lax and easier. Sure, it doesn't apply to little kids at all, but among the 12 to 18 crowd, it does make a difference. Absolutely. 

 

Sorry, buddy, but I think that's a serious stretch. And I say that as someone who frequently went to midnight shows in high school and skipped classes the next day.

 

Plus, let's not forget, midnights don't really exist anymore. IM3 and Thor both opened at 8pm Thursday night and had very similar Thu-to-Fri ratios. Based on that, opening in May very likely would not have made any difference.

Edited November 9, 2013 by ShawnMR

[Jandrew]

Agreed. I really don't think November can be a major "excuse" for Thor 2. Now, if it had made $80m in mid-to-late December, that would be different. But there's not a big difference between the first weekend of May and early November. We tend to forget sometimes that just because we call the first Friday in May "the start of summer" for box office and movies, it isn't really summer for people in the real world. People still work, kids are still in school, and even some colleges are still in session.

 

Yep we're definitely in session, its actually exam season. You don't really have time for anything during that period. Hell i have 3 exams in 24 hours next month. I totally agree with you and John and whoever else is sticking up for November. First Friday of May is not "start of summer" for the GA, and now when they start calling the end of April "summer" they sound ridiculous. People are just looking for an excuse, but you have to realize people have still lives. We have no idea how Thor's legs can play out yet so people need to stop crying, this would've been no different in the summer. CF is going from March to November, so is that "doomed" too? Mhh hmm exactly.

[Shawn Robbins]

I sent you a PM awhile ago. Did you get it?

 

The one earlier this week? Yea, I responded. Haven't seen any others.

[CaptainJackSparrow]

The one earlier this week? Yea, I responded. Haven't seen any others.

Cough my clubs cough.

[Cmasterclay]

Sorry, buddy, but I think that's a serious stretch. And I say that as someone who frequently went to midnight shows in high school and skipped classes the next day.

 

Plus, let's not forget, midnights don't really exist anymore. IM3 and Thor both opened at 8pm Thursday night and had very similar Thu-to-Fri ratios. Based on that, opening in May very likely would not have made any difference.

It doesn't matter to movie buffs like us, no, of course not, but to casual friends, at least where I'm from, in my generation? It does. Maybe it's just the way my large public high school treated kids towards the end of the year (they didn't give a damn what we did at that point) but it was a difference. I was there just two years ago.

 

Thor and IM3 did have very similar Thursday to Friday ratios, BUT I think Thor had more room to gain. In fact, I think it had the most to gain of any Avengers effect movie, statistically. 

[Kvikk Lunsj]

The one earlier this week? Yea, I responded. Haven't seen any others.

I was talking to Claymaster.

[Shawn Robbins]

Cough my clubs cough.

?

[CaptainJackSparrow]

?

Join some of the clubs in the subforums.

[Cmasterclay]

Yep we're definitely in session, its actually exam season. You don't really have time for anything during that period. Hell i have 3 exams in 24 hours next month. I totally agree with you and John and whoever else is sticking up for November. First Friday of May is not "start of summer" for the GA, and now when they start calling the end of April "summer" they sound ridiculous. People are just looking for an excuse, but you have to realize people have still lives. We have no idea how Thor's legs can play out yet so people need to stop crying, this would've been no different in the summer. CF is going from March to November, so is that "doomed" too? Mhh hmm exactly.

The weekend before Thanksgiving is far more advantageous than the middle of March, absolutely. March and May aren't the same thing

[ecstasy]

?

 

HE WANTS YOU TO JOIN HIS CLUBS! HUMOR HIM PLEASE SO HE CAN STFU!

 

Thank you.

Edited November 9, 2013 by ECSTASY

[Shawn Robbins]

Join some of the clubs in the subforums.

 

 

HE WANTS YOU TO JOIN HIS CLUBS! HUMOR HIM PLEASE SO HE CAN STFU!

 

Thank you.

 

[Jandrew]

I'm sorry guys, but I think yall are putting too much emphasis on these high schoolers and midnights. I don't think its as common as yall think. And even if they go to a mignight they don't have to skip the next day. The only time I would have friends skip after a midnight release was "Call of Duty" and that would be like 2 or 3 guys. Friday and Saturday night is still the popular choice, especially when football is not going on. It really doesn't make a difference. And even though theres a month left of school, they still have exams, graduation, college and etc to plan for. It's not a welp ima just not go now period.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Jandrew

[filmnerdjamie]

What if Episode VII "only" does $350M? Or if The Age of Ultron peaks at $450M?

[Shawn Robbins]

What if Episode VII "only" does $350M? Or if The Age of Ultron peaks at $450M?

 

Hell will freeze over.

[ecstasy]

To be fair we shouldn't even be talking about midnights right now. Thor 2 had shows starting at 8pm. So staying up late and all of that is a small concern.