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Hernan Gonzalez

Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

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Weekend Estimates (24-27 Aug)

 

# Movie Adm. Screens % LW Change Total
1 La Cordillera 113.544 289 -50,36 435.217
2 El Fútbol o Yo 106.263 228 -43,15 755.585
3 Emoji: The Movie 91.465 240 -30,73 486.890
4 Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets 53.636 272 - 53.636
5 The Dark Tower 53.023 169 - 53.023
6 Mamá se fue de Viaje 26.292 77 -30,78 1.559.249
7 Captain Underpants 26.164 134 -43,32 95.911
8 War of the Planet of the Apes 26.014 83 -56,84 506.320
9 Dunkerque 9.008 31 -54,24 362.730
10 Despicable Me 3 8.966 50 -33,58 3.822.633

 

 

"La Cordillera" wins the local movie showdown, but it will fall behind "El Fútbol o Yo" soon 'coz it's so so WOM.

Emoji once again finished with the best hold on the board, it's playing strong compared to other markets, but it's run won't be something to remember.

 

Next weekend Anabelle 2 with bring some sauce to this pacefull August. On thursday Week Stimates I'll post screen count and The Conjuring franchise's totals.

 

 

 

 

 

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Week Estimates (24-30 AUG)

 

# Título Adm. Screens % LW  Total
1 "La Cordillera" 141.889 290 -55,89 463.562
2 "El Fútbol o Yo" 134.345 233 -50,88 783.667
3 Emoji: The Movie 114.363 245 -43,73 509.788
4 Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets *NEW 68.847 277 - 68.847
5 The Dark Tower *NEW 67.236 174 - 67.236
6 War of the Planet of the Apes 34.407 86 -62,43 514.768
7 "Mamá se fue de viaje" 33.169 82 -41,21 1.566.132
8 Captain Underpants 32.344 139 -53,63 102.091
9 Dunkirk 11.792 32 -59 365.565
10 Despicable Me 3 10.727 52 -45,04 3.824.394

 

Week is over, local movies led the way but both had meh holds, Emoji once again, even battling the horrible reviews and WOM, it's the big winner of the week.

 

Today Wide Releases:

 

Anabelle Creation opens in 343 screens the widest opening for an horror movie ever. 

 

The Conjuring Franchice's totals:

The Conjuring (2013): 1.081.000

Anabelle (2014): 740.000

The Conjuring 2 (2016): 1.782.000

 

Based on how well the franchise played in the market it should drop some good numbers over the weekend (I can imagine 250k-280k admissions during the weekend). 

 

Ozzy the spanish animated movie hits 110 screens trying to take some bite from Emoji. 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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Thursday 31st Aug. Estimates.

 

1. Anabelle 2 54.036 OD

2. "El Fútbol o Yo" 3.996 (-65%)

3. "La Cordillera" 3.989 (-68%)

4. Emoji The Movie 3.968 (-54%)

5. The Dark Tower (-70%)

6. Valerian (-75%)

7. Ozzy 962 OD

 

Argentinian national soccer team played yesterday that's why the poor holds (-67% avg.) overall. With that in mind Anabelle 2 OD still very strong, so we can expect a strong OW (maybe a top 10 OW of 2017). Let's see if the others movies can recover from the steep fall

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Weekend (31 Aug - 3 Sept) Estimates

 

# MOVIE ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Anabelle 2: Creation *NEW 414.179 407 - 414.179
2 El Fútbol o Yo  70.833 156 -33% 854.501
3 La Cordillera  59.265 188 -48% 523.041
4 Emoji: The Movie  58.969 170 -36% 568.916
5 The Dark Tower 24.154 125 -54% 91.490
6 Valerian And The City of a Thousand Planets 20.763 92 -61% 89.676
7 Ozzy *NEW 18.123 134   18.123
8 Captain Underpants 17.384 135 -34% 119.496
9 Mamá se fue de Viaje 14.798 57 -44% 1.581.154
10 War of the Planet of the Apes 11.211 49 -57% 526.270

 

Anabelle 2 ruled the box office with an amazing start, showing that the franchise is the strongest among the horror movies. It should end it's run easily over 1M admissions (I imagine it finishing at arround 1.3M). Overall good holds, with "El Fútbol o Yo" getting closer to the 1M milestone.

 

Anabelle 2 achievements:

-5th Highest OW of the year (4th PotC 5, 6th SM:HC).

-2nd Highest OW ever, in terms of Admissions (1st The Conjuring 2 485.910 Adm.)

-Highest OW of the year for Warner (Upcoming Warner highlights: "It" and Justice League)

Edited by Hei25
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WEEKEND (07 - 10 SEP) ESTIMATES:

 

# MOVIE ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Anabelle 2: Creation 279.558 372 -33% 820.922
2 Los que Aman Odian *NEW 124.507 261 - 124.507
3 Emoji: The Movie 59.957 162 +1% 644.022
4 El Fútbol o Yo  52.599 116 -26% 924.110
5 Atomic Blonde *NEW 29.749 136   29.749
6 La Cordillera  29.409 116 -51% 566.372
7 Ozzy 13.459 93 -26% 35.337
8 Captain Underpants 12.378 68 -30% 135.210
9 Mamá se fue de Viaje 9.592 32 -35% 1.594.532
10 Valerian And The City of a Thousand Planets 9.418 32 -55% 104.683

 

 

Strong hold for Anabelle 2 coming from an amazing OW (The Conjuring 2 -26%, at this same point it reached 1M admissions), it's tracking TC2 by a ~19%, but it's looking in nice shape to be one of the highlights of the year. I keep thinking that it's aiming to a total close to 1.3M, it' could go higher depending on how Amytville (14th Sept) and specially It (21th Sept) hit it's late legs.

Another local movie, Los que Aman odian opens over the 100.000 admissions mark (6th of the year and the lowest OW among them) and based on it's so/so reviews, there's no much to expect from it. Emoji once again laughting from critics and achieved an increase, this movie will enjoy the lack of strong animated movies for the next couple of weeks (28th Sept Ninjago).

 

 

 

 

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THURSDAY 26th OCT.

 

1. THOR: RAGNAROK 49.157 (OD)

2. GEOSTORM               6.753 (-56%)

3. IT                            2.238  (-58%)

 

 

 

THOR IN ARGENTINA:

 

THOR (APRIL 2011)

OD: 15.957   OW: 120.615     TOTAL: 383.000

 

THOR: THE DARK WORLD (NOVEMBER 2013)

OD: 38.137   OW: 234.271     TOTAL: 832.000

 

 

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WEEKEND ESTIMATES 26TH-30TH OCTOBER

 

 

# MOVIE ADMISSIONS SCREENS % CHANGE LW TOTAL
1 Thor: Ragnarok *NEW 302.733 444 - 302.733
2 Geostorm 73.144 203 -43,88 243.916
3 It 24.832 108 -49,47 1.844.294
4 The Little Vampire 3D *NEW 21.717 183 - 21.717
5 The Beguiled *NEW 13.581 54 - 13.581
6 Loving Vincent  *NEW 9.716 24 - 9.716
7 The Mountain Between Us 8.279 63 -62,18 36.975
8 Breathe  *NEW 6.737 40 - 6.737
9 Condorito 5.019 64 -69,9 62.670
10 Kingsman: The Golden Circle 4.313 33 -72,04 84.004

 

 

Nice OW for Thor, taking the 9th spot in the highest OW of the year so far. In my opinion one of the most impressive. Where's heading it's hard to tell because JL hitting theaters in 3 Weekends.

 

Super Hero (Comic) Multi Comparison (2017):

-Logan  x3.36

-GotG2  x2.70

-WW     x3.35

-SM:HC x3.54 *relased on winter holidays.

-Avg. x3.24

 

In my opnion Thor 3's legs won't be as good as Logan or Wonder Woman's legs but at least it will have better multi than GotG. I imagine it finishing in a multi of 2.85, with that will be enought to finish above of Thor The Dark World's total.

 

 

 

 

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THURSDAY 2ND NOV. ESTIMATES 

 

1. Thor Ragnarok Adm. 23.837 (-53% LW) 160k USD

2. Jigsaw 8.288 Adm. OD

3. Geostorm 5.290 Adm. (-24% LW)

4. American Made 5.280 Adm. OD

 

Weekend drops may be steeper because of the soccer derby on sunday btw the most popular teams (River Plate vs. Boca Juniors).

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Thursday 26th Estimates

 

1. Justice League 55.149 Adm. OD

2. Murder on the Orient Express 5.670 adm. (-36%)

3. Thor Ragnarok 4.581 adm. (-63%)

 

Great, but nothing special OD for JL, amazing hold for MotOE sadly it's opening numbers were a bit low so totals won't be so high. Thor 3 had a nice hold despite JL opening.

Monday Is a holiday so we will have strong weekend. I expect strong weekend days for JL so it may outgross Thor 3 4-day weekend by a solid margin, if that happends 1m admissions will be locked.

 

JL comparissons:

Opening Days

-Thor 3 = 49.157

-SH:HC = 50.269

-SS (2016) = 66.160

-BvS (2016) = 137000 *holiday

 

Totals

-Thor 3 = 850.000~ *my prediction, still in theaters

-SM:HC = 1.120.000~ *pushed be winter holidays

-SS = 1.210.000~

-BvS = 1.355.000~ *opened in easter holidays

 

Edited by Hei25
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Friday 17th Estimates

JL 54.142 (-2% from yesterday) 

*Thor 3 increased 15% on it's first friday.

JL total still ahead of T3's with 109.292 adm.

 

Today weather doesn't seem to be good, so that could help to take saturday over 100k admissions, something that Thor couldn't do in any of it's days.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Hei25
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# Title Seal Public Screens Sem anti % Variation Accumulated
1 League of Justice WAR 197,373 469 0 - 197,373
2 Murder on the Orient Express FOX 37,447 135 54,761 -31.62 134,046
3 Thor: Ragnarok DISNEY 30,004 177 73.098 -58.95 811,205
4 Jigsaw: The game continues BF PARIS 13,576 99 27.896 -51.33 132,516
5 The monster family BF PARIS 12,366 144 16,566 -25.35 47,082
6 Geo-Storm WAR 7,946 61 19,558 -59.37 366,499
7 Barry Seal: Only in America UIP 5.145 46 12,676 -59.41 75.208
8 Loving Vincent IMPAC 2,769 14 3,791 -26.96 34.787
9 The Square CDI 2,328 28 0 - 2,328
10 Paterson IND 1,782 13 3.170 -43.79 7,493
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If we compare JL first saturday against Thor 3's first one:

JL 88k adm. =Total 197k

Thor 3 96k adm. = Total 203k

 

Thor's first sunday was the strongest of it's run with 99k adm. Tomorrow is a holiday so in face JL sunday has to be stronger than saturday, but it's run is being very disapointing.

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# Title Seal Public Screens Sem anti % Variation Accumulated
1 League of Justice WAR 299,157 472 0 - 299,157
2 Murder on the Orient Express FOX 59,222 138 74,814 -20.84 155,821
3 Thor: Ragnarok DISNEY 50,943 178 106,512 -52.17 832,144
4 Jigsaw: The game continues BF PARIS 21,497 100 38,337 -43.93 140,437
5 The monster family BF PARIS 20.803 149 26,262 -20.79 55,519
6 Geo-Storm WAR 13.903 61 27,627 -49.68 372,456
7 Barry Seal: Only in America UIP 8.295 46 16,732 -50,42 78,358
8 Loving Vincent IMPAC 4,088 14 5,379 -24.00 36.106
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Yearly Top OWs in adm. (Justice League Barely Crack de Top 10) 

 

1 Fate of Furious 969.198 
2 Despicable Me 3 742.377 
3 Beuty and the Beast 654.827 
4 It 648.708 
5 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man Tell no Tales 419.925 
6 Anabelle 2: Creation 415.700 
7 Spiderman Homecoming 316.812 
8 Cars 3 316.359 
9 Thor: Ragnarok 302.733 
10 Justice League 300.933 
11 Transformers: The Last Knight 295.056 

 

 

4-day OWs Comparisson in adm.:

 

JL: 300.933

Thor Ragnarok: 302.733 (Total btw 870k-900k adm)

Wonder Woman: 172.744 (Total 578.891 adm)

Suicide Squad: 482.884 *Friday was a holiday (Total 1.210.000 adm)

Batman vs. Superman 503.897 *thursday and friday were holidays (Total 1.355.000 adm)

 

 

Today (Monday 20th it's holiday) and it is a rainy day in Buenos Aires (13 million ppl) so this could be a very strong day.

 

 

 

 

 

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