Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

[titanic2187]

I assume minion 36m usd will not be seen anymore unless the inflation is huge enough to offset the depreciation.

[Hei25]

Ticket prices will increase during the year, but it will be slowly. But if ER don't fall strong again, we wil have any chance. But first we will need a movie that reach 4.5M adm. 

[Rthmessiah]

On 5/15/2018 at 5:48 PM, feasby007 said:

Unless @Hei25 knows what the average ticket price was back in 1994, we can only do rough extrapolation.

 

im thinking, since we have Toy Sory at 740k admits, if we knew the gross from that then we could estimate the admits of TLK, since 1994/1996 is not too big of a jump.

about lc3.9m

[Hei25]

Weekly (9th - 16th May) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Avengers: Infinity War	3rd	373.007	508	-45%	2.389.062
2	Nada A Perder	3rd	120.595	145	-35%	549.625
3	Strangers: Pray at the Night	2nd	34.521	171	-21%	78.102
4	I Feel Pretty	New	26.932	105	-	26.932
5	Rampage	5th	20.268	61	-36%	433.564
6	Perdida	4th	20.031	61	-43%	236.040
7	7 Days in Entebbe	New	17.082	88	-	17.082
8	Love, Simon	2nd	15.206	118	-55%	48.915
9	Gnome Alone	4th	8.709	92	-9%	63.558
10	Peter Rabbit	New	6.475	59	-18%	238.003

 

Another week lead by AIW, it's last but it will be droping strong numbers in the in the upcoming 2 weeks at least. Nada a Perder will be the best holdover in those weeks.

Gnome Alone and Peter Rabbit suggest that the market is waiting for a family movie, sadly we will have to wait 'till Incredibles 2 in mid june.

 

Today releases:

-Deadpool 2 (418 Screens, including all formats and premium screens)

-Tully

-Natacha (Local movie)

-Lady Mcbeth

 

Forecast: Deadpool 2 will dethrone AIW and will be willing to have a strong OW (First entry 45k adm. OD, 215K adm. OW) weather for the weekend won't be help it but It will try to best Black Panther OW (247k adm), then all otther openers won't make any noise, and I see the 3 first spots in this weekly rank just falling one place due DP2. 

After a poor february, a disappointing march and a ugly april, may is looking to be the best ever if Dadpool opens in line with expectations and having in mind next releases (Han Solo / Animal on 24th May).

 

P.S.: Since Tuesday ER recovered a 3%, but it won't recover more than it.

Edited May 17, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Thursday 17th May Estimates:

 

1. Deadpool 2 58.455 adm. OD 
2. Avengers: Infinity War Pt. 1 12.630 adm. (-59%) Total = 2.401.692 adm.
3. Nada A Perder 6.825 adm. (-60%) Total = 556.410 adm.
4. Perdida 944 adm. (-39%) Total = 236.984 adm.

 

Great OD for Deadpool 2 a 29% over the first entry (45.374 adm. OD). All others suffer the hit of DP, but there are some screens left to count so hold % may diffier from the upcoming updates. Based on OD, and compared with the first one that was on February (School off) it may have better increase on Sat and Sun so I see it beating it by a solid margin.

 

 

2018 Top ODs (40k adm. or more)

 

Movie Adm. OW 1 Avengers: Infinity War 167.160 864.202 2 Fifty Shades Freed 81.301 231.230 3 Coco 70.457 409.717 4 Deadpool 2 * 58.455 ???? 5 Black Panther 57.612 247.154 6 Jumanji 49.331 268.215 7 Nada á Perder 41.463 163.528

 

(*) = Early estimate, I will update the data if it changes.

 

 

Edited May 18, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

21% bump on friday for Deadpool 2. That's amazing, normaly stay flat is an amazing result, but Deadpool has a bump and in double digits, and also over 20%. 

Two day total estimate stand in a powerful 129.133 adm., 300k OW looks very likely, and don't be surprised if this go even higher.

Today weather also is looking perfect for indoor activities.

Edited May 19, 2018 by Hei25

[Rthmessiah]

19 hours ago, Hei25 said:

21% bump on friday for Deadpool 2. That's amazing, normaly stay flat is an amazing result, but Deadpool has a bump and in double digits, and also over 20%. 

Two day total estimate stand in a powerful 129.133 adm., 300k OW looks very likely, and don't be surprised if this go even higher.

Today weather also is looking perfect for indoor activities.

big increase Sat, should be looking WE 330k adm at least

 

[Hei25]

With saturday tickets DP2 (240.315 adm) already outsold DP entire weekend (213.078). DP2 weekend will finish somewhere around 330k as @Rthanos said, that will mean a massive 55% increase from the first one.

[Hei25]

Weekend (17th-20th May) Estimates: 

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Deadpool 2	New	342.443	444	-	342.443
2	Avengers: Infinity War Pt. 1	4th	142.614	314	-51%	2.531.727
3	Nada A Perder	4th	48.569	143	-43%	598.344
4	Strangers: Pray at the Night	3rd	11.156	69	-60%	89.264
5	Perdida	5th	10.556	35	-35%	246.602
6	Rampage	6th	8.525	38	-48%	442.089
7	Tully	New	7.278	50	-	7.278
8	I Feel Pretty	2nd	5.997	68	-72%	32.929
9	Gnome Alone	5th	5.894	52	-21%	69.463
10	Peter Rabbit	9th	4.599	41	-12%	242.621

 

• Huge OW for Deadpool 2, besting the first entry by a 60%, one of Fox biggest OW in the market so far. DP1 had an amazing x4.02 multiplier from it's OW to reach 855k adm., if DP2 can at least have a x3 multi (something that is more than likely) it will reach 1M being one of the fews CBM to acomplish that. Using last weekend AIW tkt price avg. on Deadpool 2 weekend, in terms of revernue it should be arround 1.95-2.05M USD.
• AIW despite facing direct competition it hold very weel, it fell just 5% more than last weekend, and locked it's way to pass the first Avengers to become de Most Attended CBM of all time. In the all time admissions ranking it now stands on the 22th spot.
• Nada A Perder, the faith based brazilian movie keeps rolling strong despite the Superhero power above it.
• Perdida, the local movie showed it's best WoW hold despite it's low screen countr, sadly Animal (local movie) will hit theaters on May 24th looking for the best OW for a local movie over the year.
• Gnome Alone and Peter Rabbit holidng really weel on the last spots on the charts show how the market is needing or screaming for an animated family movie.

 

2018 TOP OW IN ADMISSIONS (100K+)

 

	Movie	OW
1	Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1	864.202
2	Coco	409.717
3	Deadpool 2	342.443
4	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	268.215
5	Black Panther	247.154
6	Fifty Shades Freed	231.230
7	Nada A Perder	163.528
8	Rampage	137.500
9	Ready Player One	131.179
10	Ferdinand	117.045
11	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	101.091

Edited May 21, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend (17th-23th May) Estimates: 

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Deadpool 2	New	449.360	445	-	449.360
2	Avengers: Infinity War	4th	188.465	314	-49%	2.576.761
3	Nada A Perder	4th	63.493	144	-47%	613.268
4	Strangers: Pray at the Night	3rd	14.203	69	-59%	92.311
5	Perdida	5th	13.144	35	-34%	249.190
6	Rampage	6th	10.693	38	-47%	444.257
7	Tully	New	8.759	50	-	8.759
8	I Feel Pretty	2nd	7.602	69	-72%	34.534
9	Gnome Alone	5th	6.752	53	-23%	70.321
10	Natacha	New	6.347	24	-	6.347

 

• Strong first week for DP and it's X-Force, with this solid start 1M seems really likely, in comparison it's 12% ahead of Thor: Ragnarok (966k adm.).
• Avengers IW held very well despite the competition, but 3M admissions right now are looking out of reach it seems that is heading to a total about 2.8-2.85M admissions.
• Nada A Perder held well, but now is easy to see that it is losing strength faster, and this weeked should fall really hard, despite that it will acomplish an amazin x4+ multiplier something really hard for the overall movies.

 

2018 Biggest OWeeks (300k+ adm):

 

	Movie	OWEEK
1	Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1	1.339.565
2	Coco	649.206
3	Deadpool 2	449.360
4	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	401.424
5	Fifty Shades Freed	397.091
6	Black Panther	363.320

 

Thursday 24th May Releases:

• Han Solo: A Star Wars Story (300+ Screens in all formats, including IMAX and Premium Theaters)
• Animal (R-Rated Local Movie starring Guillermo Franchella, 256 Screens in 2D format, including Premium Theaters)
• Isle of Dogs
• Luis & the Aliens (Danish, German animated movie)

This weekend will be poised to be strong thanks holiday in Friday 25th, and is looking to be a really good one with Animal, Solo and DP2 fighting for the top spot (I'm edging for DP2 for #1 place), and also two animated movies hits thaters to reach the families.-

Edited May 25, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Thursday 24th May Estimates:

1. Deadpool 2 28.093 adm. (-53%) Total = 477.453 adm.
2. Animal 21.709 adm. OD.
3. Han Solo: A Stars Wars Story 16.202 adm. OD.
4. Avengers Infinity War 10.187 adm. (-21%) Total = 2.586.948 adm.
5. Luis & The Aliens 1.457 adm. OD.
6. Nada A Perder 1.142 adm. (-84%) Total = 614.410 adm.

As expexted DP2 held the crown in the start of the weekend despite the strong competition, and bested DP (19.914 adm.) second thursday. Animal (local movie) had a very good opening weekend finally a local movie make noise in the BO (Perdida had a nice run, but only that a nice run). Han Solo as in all markets had a ugly OD but comaring with those markets it had a decent fall from RO (38.026 adm.).

Avengers IW had an amazing hold despite the competition only fell a soft 21%, and with screens yet to count it can improve, all others holdovers fell the loss of screens and had steep falls (Ex: Nada A Perder falling 84%).

P.S.: Today is holiday so weekend is looking to be very strong (I hope 1M weekend happend).

 

 

2018 ODs Chart (10k+ adm.):

 

	Movie	Adm.	OW
1	Avengers: Infinity War	167.160	864.202
2	Fifty Shades Freed	81.301	231.230
3	Coco	70.457	409.717
4	Deadpool 2	59.621	342.489
5	Black Panther	57.612	247.154
6	Jumanji	49.331	268.215
7	Nada á Perder	41.463	163.528
8	Ready Player One	29.298	131.179
9	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	24.709	101.091
10	Animal	21.709	???
11	Insidious: The Last Key	20.410	87.055
12	Ferdinand	20.353	117.045
13	Han Solo: A Star Wars Story	16.202	???
14	Rampage	14.815	137.500
15	Pacific Rim: Uprising	13.140	98.538

[Hei25]

Weekend (24th-27th May) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Deadpool 2	2nd	196.311	324	-43%	646.278
2	Animal	New	159.387	283	-	159.387
3	Avengers: Infinity War	5th	94.523	175	-34%	2.671.556
4	Han Solo: A Stars Wars Story	New	85.159	333	-	85.159
5	Luis & the Aliens	New	26.508	152	-	26.508
6	Nada A Perder	5th	11.549	35	-76%	624.817
7	Isle of Dogs	New	9.018	37	-	9.018
8	Perdida	6th	4.788	20	-55%	253.978
9	Natacha	2nd	2.575	13	-46%	8.922
10	Rampage	7th	2.568	13	-70%	446.825

 

• As expected DP2 ruled the box office, with a solid but not impressive hold having in mind that friday was holiday, after starting with a 60% increase over DP in the first weekend. 
• Great start for local movie Animal with nice day on day increases and holds, finally a local hit, this is very enthusiastic. Normally local movies tend to be very leggy (over x4) so I hope it happend.
• AIW had the best hold in the board, and will outsell Avengers (2012) today or at the worst tomorrow to become the most attended MCU and CBM movie ever.
• Han Solo, as in almost markets played really bad, but this not a surprise. Despite that a 45% fall compared to others markets is not that bad, and having in mind the lack of competition 'till I2 (14th june) it may develop decent legs.

 

2018 TOP OW IN ADMISSIONS (100K+)

 

	Movie	OW
1	Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1	864.202
2	Coco	409.717
3	Deadpool 2	342.896
4	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	268.215
5	Black Panther	247.154
6	Fifty Shades Freed	231.230
7	Nada A Perder	163.528
8	Animal	159.387
9	Rampage	137.500
10	Ready Player One	131.179
11	Ferdinand	117.045

12

Maze Runner: The Death Cure

101.091

 

Edited May 30, 2018 by Hei25

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

 

4	Han Solo: A Stars Wars Story	3rd	85.159	333	-	85.159

that really is terrible for Solo, although making 100% of its admissions in its 3rd weekend is pretty decent  

[Purple Minion]

Just 4th place for Solo? Ay ay ay

[Hei25]

It's Done!

Avengers: Infinity War became the highest movie of the MCU and the top attended CBM of all time!!

 

TOP 10 ATTENDED MCU:

	MOVIE	ADMISSIONS		YEAR
1	Avengers: Infinity War	2.676.919		2018
2	The Avengers	2.675.356		2012
3	Avengers: Age of Ultron	1.870.123		2015
4	Iron Man 3	1.860.750		2013
5	Captain America: Civil War	1.518.848		2016
6	Spiderman: Homecoming	1.121.922		2017
7	Thor: Ragnarok	966.306		2017
8	Black Panther	935.368		2018
9	Thor: The Dark World	809.186		2013
10	Captain America: The Winter Soldier	806.484		2014

 

TOP 10 ATTENDED CBM:

	MOVIE	ADMISSIONS		YEAR
1	Avengers: Inifinity War	2.676.919		2018
2	The Avengers	2.675.356		2012
3	Avengers: Age of Ultron	1.870.123		2015
4	Iron Man 3	1.860.750		2013
5	The Dark Knight Rises	1.807.000		2012
6	Spiderman	1.687.965		2002
7	Spiderman 2	1.588.751		2004
8	Captain America: Civil War	1.518.848		2016
9	Spiderman 3	1.399.000		2007
10	Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice	1.355.307		2016

 

AIW yet has some gas in the tank to make some space to the second spot.

I will post the TOP 20 CBM when Deadpool 2 finish it's run because it will sure crack in it.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited May 29, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Thursday 31st May:

1. Deadpool 2 11.795 adm. (-59%) Total = 708.481 adm.
2. Animal 10.378 adm, (-54%) Total = 205.906 adm.
3. Avengers Infinity War 4.517 (-56%) Total = 2.698.372 adm.
4. Han Solo: A Stars Wars Story 3.173 adm. (-81%) Total = 106.371 adm.
5. Incident in a Ghost Land 3.033 adm. OD.
6. Luis & the Aliens 1.522 adm. (+0.4%) Total = 32.790 adm.

 

Soft weekend upcoming, there's no much to say. Well only, few words about Han Solo "ugly hold".

 

Edited June 1, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend Estimates (31st May-3rd June):

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Deadpool 2	3rd	116.079	277	-41%	812.791
2	Animal	2nd	98.934	256	-38%	294.506
3	Avengers: Infinity War	6th	58.787	172	-38%	2.752.680
4	Han Solo: A Stars Wars Story	2nd	36.312	161	-57%	139.519
5	Incident in a Ghost Island	New	33.480	183	-	33.480
6	Luis & the Aliens	2nd	25.688	183	-3%	56.956
7	Midnight Sun	New	13.622	84	-	13.622
8	No Llores Por mi Inglaterra	New	10.724	90	-	10.724
9	Coexister	New	6.225	51	-	6.225
10	Isle of Dogs	2nd	4.692	17	-48%	17.051

 

• Very good holds overall coming from a weekend with a holiday on friday. Despite that the total tks sold over the weekend is a bit low, and will be like this 'till Incredibles 2 opens. Despite that Deadpool 2 enjoyed a strong 3rd weekend and is very likely to outsell the first entry on the next friday or saturday.
• Local movie Animal had a solid second weekend and became the most attended local movie in the year on saturday, local movies tend to be leggy so with this hold it seems that this one will have good legs.
• AIW held very well and almost didn't lost any screen this weekend and it will break 2.8M admissions easily, but will fall short of 2.9M adm.
• Han Solo as all can see has the steeper drop, and won't last too much on the top 10.
• Luis & the Aliens has the best hold, and this is a sign of the need for Animated/Family movies, next weekend this movie may have an increase. Also this is enthusiastic in the sights for I2 run.

Edited June 4, 2018 by Hei25

[Purple Minion]

Is "No llores por mi Inglaterra" a local movie? World Cup related? 

[Hei25]

Weekly (May 31st - June 06th) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	Admissions	Screens	Change	Total
1	Deadpool 2	3rd	150.449	278	-39%	847.161
2	Animal	2nd	121.884	257	-38%	317.456
3	Avengers: Infinity War	6th	77.192	172	-34%	2.771.085
4	Han Solo: A Stars Wars Story	2nd	44.881	163	-57%	148.088
5	Incident in a Ghost Island	New	43.427	184	-	43.427
6	Luis & the Aliens	2nd	29.773	185	-5%	61.041
7	Midnight Sun	New	17.046	84	-	17.046
8	No Llores Por mi Inglaterra	New	13.966	93	-	13.966
9	Coexister	New	7.412	51	-	7.412
10	Isle of Dogs	2nd	6.196	17	-50%	18.555

 

• On a soft week of releases all movies enjoyed solid holds, on that point Deadpool 2 had a strong hold on the top spot with this 1M admissions looks locked.
• Local movie Animal as DP had a very solid hold and became the most attended movie of the year so far, and with the lack of competition of local movies, this one is starting to look very leggy.
• AIW after 6 weeks still dropping solid numbers and had it's best WoW hold and will join the top 15 movies of all time easily.
• Han Solo has the worst hold and this upcoming week will again lose a lot of screens so again will have a harsh drop, I don't see it even crossing 200k adm. mark.
• On the lack of animated movies Luis & the Aliens had a powerfull hold, and I see this week having an increase on the wait for I2 (set to break out on June 14th).

 

June 7th Wide Releases:

-Ocean's 8

-The Hurricane Heist 

-Hereditary

-The Mercy

 

 

 

[Hei25]

Thursday June 7th estimates:

 

1. Deadpool 2 6.649 adm. (-45%) Total = 854.151 adm.
2. Ocean's 8 5.875 adm. OD
3. The Hurricane Heist 5.116 adm. OD
4. Animal 4.815 adm. (-54%) Total = 322.416 adm.
5. Hereditary 4.597 adm. OD
6. Avengers: Infinity War 3.042 adm. (-33%) Total = 2.774.314 adm.
7. Han Solo 1.186 adm. (-63%) Total = 149.309 adm.

Once again a poor weekend is coming thanks the no interest in the new releases. Any of the movie won't sell over 80k adm.

SHM will take advantage from it to extend they powerfull run.

 

Deadpool 2 outsold the first entry, and is heading to finish ~20% over it.