Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[aabattery]

6 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

 

 

Beat Spidey by a whopping $8,512.

[fmpro]

So 115-120 mill OW DOM is in the cards

[DeeCee]

This is a very good opening weekend.  The opening on a Wednesday does muddy the comparison slightly.  You also have to take into account the obvious Australian connections although I don't think they add a huge amount to it's box office in Australia.  Taika Waititi is also much better well known in Australia then Domestic.  Boy and Wilderpeople both did very well here.  I'm going to give these factors a 10% boost for Australia relative to Domestic.

 

As @aabatterypoints out Ragnarok beat SMH by $8,512.  However, when allowing for the Wednesday opening and the fact SMH had school holidays Ragnarok really did much better against SMH.

 

I'm going to create an adjusted weekend by moving half of Wednesday into the weekend to give an adjust 4 day of AUD10.537.  To allow for the Aussie/Taika factor let's take off 10% to give AUD9.5m. (Yes, this is partially arbitrary but this is all part math and part gut instinct.  It's the vibe)

 

At this point I'm going to use Doctor Strange as the main comparison as it opened the same time last year and had a comparable performance over the opening weekend.  The adjusted Ragnarok OW of AUD9.5m is 1.47 times DS in Australia.

 

USD85m x 1.47 gives a Domestic OW of USD125m.  I'll give a range of USD118-132m.

Edited October 29, 2017 by DeeCee

[aabattery]

 

[DeeCee]

@Rth RagnarokWhat's the 2nd weekend looking like?

[DeeCee]

On 25/03/2016 at 9:51 AM, Rth Ragnarok said:

BvS been around 3.4m put it up thee with FF7 Easter opening, IM3, over 90% of TDKR

 

On 05/08/2016 at 11:45 AM, Rth Ragnarok said:

AUS/NZ opening

 

NZ

-2nd biggest OD 2016 (Behind BvS), 

-4th biggest  SH OD (Behind TA,IM3,BvS)

 

AUS

-2nd biggest OD 2016 (Behind BvS)

-5th biggest SH OD (Behind TA, TDKR,BvS, IM3), 3rd biggest Non-Hol(School and or public) SH OD 

 

For reference. JL needs a Thursday over AUD3.4 to be ahead of BvS and SS. 

 

@Rth Ragnarok What was the opening Thursday total for SS?

[Rthmessiah]

15 hours ago, DeeCee said:

@Rth RagnarokWhat's the 2nd weekend looking like?

Great hold, around 6.5m be over 20m thru Sunday

[DeeCee]

About a 35% drop. 

 

Doctor Strange dropped 42% at the same time last year from a much lower opening. 

[DeeCee]

34% drop for Ragnarok.  That's pretty good for Bad Moms 2.

 

 

[JJ-8]

Great hold for Thor 3. It's opened a lot bigger and held better than the first first 2.  Very good signs. 30m looks like an easy stroll from here but JL is on the horizon. That could cut its legs short though he has a further weekend to himself here. 

 

Just not sure where JL will open here. U would think easy 10m + and tbh anything less than 13m is probably a disappointment for it. 

[JJ-8]

On ‎30‎/‎10‎/‎2017 at 8:58 AM, DeeCee said:

This is a very good opening weekend.  The opening on a Wednesday does muddy the comparison slightly.  You also have to take into account the obvious Australian connections although I don't think they add a huge amount to it's box office in Australia.  Taika Waititi is also much better well known in Australia then Domestic.  Boy and Wilderpeople both did very well here.  I'm going to give these factors a 10% boost for Australia relative to Domestic.

 

As @aabatterypoints out Ragnarok beat SMH by $8,512.  However, when allowing for the Wednesday opening and the fact SMH had school holidays Ragnarok really did much better against SMH.

 

I'm going to create an adjusted weekend by moving half of Wednesday into the weekend to give an adjust 4 day of AUD10.537.  To allow for the Aussie/Taika factor let's take off 10% to give AUD9.5m. (Yes, this is partially arbitrary but this is all part math and part gut instinct.  It's the vibe)

 

At this point I'm going to use Doctor Strange as the main comparison as it opened the same time last year and had a comparable performance over the opening weekend.  The adjusted Ragnarok OW of AUD9.5m is 1.47 times DS in Australia.

 

USD85m x 1.47 gives a Domestic OW of USD125m.  I'll give a range of USD118-132m.

Pretty much nailed the OW ...... 122.7m actuals... once again the comparison between the AUS and US openings holds up well

 

[Rthmessiah]

Top Paydates 5-Nov
All Thor

1-Event George St, Sydney
2-Hoyts Chadstone, Melbourne 
3-Hoyts Melbourne Central
4-Event Miranda, Sydney
5-Hoyts Chatswood Westfield, Sydney
(Combined with Mandarin #4)
6-Village Fountain Gate, Melbourne
7-Event Innaloo, Perth
8-Event Castle hill, Sydney
9-Event Chermside, Brisbane
10-Event Macquarie, Sydney
11-Village Casino, Melbourne
12-Villge Southland, Melbourne

[DeeCee]

@Rth Ragnarok

BvS had an opening Thursday of $3.4m at Easter.

 

What was the Thursday opening for SS?

[Rthmessiah]

1 minute ago, DeeCee said:

@Rth Ragnarok

BvS had an opening Thursday of $3.4m at Easter.

 

What was the Thursday opening for SS?

3.224m

[DeeCee]

2 minutes ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

3.224m

Thank you.  Now the calculations can begin.

[Rthmessiah]

Speaking to the power of counter programming, the sequel to the surprise hit, Bad Moms, lands at #2 at the Australian box office.

Thursday November 2, 2017 – Sunday November 5, 2017

 

 

LIMITED RELEASE

Box Office figures courtesy of the Motion Picture Distributors Association of Australia

 

https://filmink.com.au/box-office-report-thor-challenged-bad-moms/

Edited November 7, 2017 by Rth Ragnarok

[DeeCee]

The Room

 

 

Is that from the Orpheum?

[aabattery]

 

[DeeCee]

Down 29% for the full week (although there were the Wednesday previews)

[ZeeSoh]

Thats a great hold! Better than NZ. The kiwis are letting Waititi down