Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[Robertron]

And wtf NT? A full month is a bit greedy.

[JJ-8]

Damn. There's nearly a full week of play before films show their true colours. I think 60m is a foregone conclusion for Jurassic. Minions I think may go for a run at 35m.

 

It really does put into context how special this weekend we are seeing right now...

 

to pull a around 10m second weekend without holidays supporting it is just jawdropping... and the fact that 2 animated films are combining for 10m+ against it makes it even more amazing.  The current holder (avatar) managed it's 9.8m or so 2nd weekend during the christmas weekend and yes it had competition but it's fricking christmas... you expect films to make that kind of moolah at that time of year... but 1 week out from holidays starting... ummmm (I admit i suspect that many uni students are off already though but the impact should be minimal)

[JJ-8]

JW update. 23.5m USD total. That's > 30m AUD. that should mean > 10m 2nd we sweet. EDIT - not ow lol.

Edited June 22, 2015 by Jajang

[DeeCee]

JW update. 23.5m USD total. That's > 30m AUD. that should mean > 10m 2ndW. sweet

Fixed it for you.

[Robertron]

According to MPDAA, $9,870,007 weekend for JW.

[Robertron]

What was the previous record (and holder) ?

[JJ-8]

What was the previous record (and holder) ?

Pretty sure it's avatar with 8.7m still. And that was over Christmas. Shame it didn't tick over 10m..... A stunning number though.

[Robertron]

Pretty sure it's avatar with 8.7m still. And that was over Christmas. Shame it didn't tick over 10m..... A stunning number though.

It'll just have to increase next weekend

[DeeCee]

Most Popular Films For Period Weekend: June 18 – June 21, 2015 WIR = Weeks In Release
No	WIR	Title	$	%	Total $
1	2	JURASSIC WORLD (M), UNIVERSAL [604/ $16,341]	9,870,007	-39%	30,238,783
2	1	MINIONS (PG), UNIVERSAL [487/ $12,063]	5,874,643	N/A	5,874,643
3	1	INSIDE OUT (PG), WALT DISNEY [468/ $7,658]	3,583,920	N/A	4,611,672
4	5	SPY (MA15+), FOX [241/ $3,076]	741,370	-27%	12,956,290
5	3	ENTOURAGE (MA15+), WARNER BROS [235/ $2,921]	686,393	-45%	6,964,767
6	6	MAD MAX: FURY ROAD (MA15+), ROADSHOW [159/ $2,566]	408,055	-41%	20,890,040
7	4	SAN ANDREAS (M), ROADSHOW [199/ $2,038]	405,544	-45%	8,517,725
8	2	HOT PURSUIT (M), WARNER BROS [160/ $2,527]	404,255	-36%	1,247,230
9	5	WOMAN IN GOLD (M), ROADSHOW [158/ $2,363]	373,388	-16%	5,298,514
10	3	ALOHA (PG), FOX [198/ $1,360]	269,346	-55%	3,579,508
11	7	PITCH PERFECT 2 (M), UNIVERSAL [129/ $1,345]	173,568	-56%	27,634,548
12	4	TOMORROWLAND (PG), WALT DISNEY [128/ $679]	86,945	-75%	4,275,772
13	1	GOING CLEAR: SCIENTOLOGY AND THE PRISON OF BELIEF (M), MADMAN [14/ $5,443]	76,197	N/A	118,132
14	3	WALKING THE CAMINO: SIX WAYS TO SANTIAGO (PG), UMBRELLA ENTERTAINMENT [13/ $5,682]	73,870	27%	194,140
15	2	THE MAFIA KILLS ONLY IN SUMMER (M), PALACE [13/ $5,413]	70,368	-17%	396,595
16	1	ABCD 2 (M), MINDBLOWING FILMS [15/ $3,904]	58,562	N/A	58,562
17	5	WILD TALES (MA15+), SONY PICTURES [10/ $5,540]	55,401	31%	410,915
18	7	DIL DHADAKNE DO (PG), EROS AUSTRALIA [12/ $2,978]	35,730	-61%	489,367
19	7	EX MACHINA (MA15+), UNIVERSAL [15/ $2,190]	32,852	-24%	699,872
20	1	THE NIGHTINGALE (G), PINNACLE FILMS [13/ $2,063]	26,824	N/A	44,350

 

[Robertron]

Crazy crazy weekend. IO and Minions should see an increase next weekend, whilst JW should.. well its just gonna do whatever the bloody hell it wants to.

[redfirebird2008]

What is the rule on Australia vs. USA box office ratio? Remember reading that the two usually seem to be in lockstep for mega popular movies in the U.S.

[Robertron]

What is the rule on Australia vs. USA box office ratio? Remember reading that the two usually seem to be in lockstep for mega popular movies in the U.S.

Generally speaking it's 10:1 (USD:AUD). Transformers 2 is a perfect example of that 402M vs 40.2M.

[Robertron]

That being said, however, the ultra blockbusters can vary somewhat.

Avatar: 760M vs 115M

Titanic: 601M vs 57M

Avengers: 623M vs 52M

DH2: 381M vs 52M (ultra by our standards)

[redfirebird2008]

Generally speaking it's 10:1 (USD:AUD). Transformers 2 is a perfect example of that 402M vs 40.2M.

 

So what do y'all expect for JP4? Around 60m AUD? Maybe 65m? Seems headed for 650+ in USA.

[DeeCee]

The 10:1 rule is based off of the total box office gross in Australia of around AUD1 billion vs USD10 billion. Aussie films usually make up less then $50 million of that so its usually a straight comparison of the same bunch of films. This is total gross. It's harder to compare OW as we are 4 day and domestic is 3 day, or 3.5 day now.

JW should end up pretty much in line with the ratio. USD600:AUD60.

[JJ-8]

So what's everything thinking for the coming weekend. We have the big 3 at the moment. JW ; minions and inside out. Ted 2 is also opening. Ted opened to 8m after 4m of previews the weekend before. Considering that film went onto 34m in 2012, no reason to think that goodwill from that film won't be bad at all. Minions and inside out... The best comparison I remember is DM2 vs MU from 2013. Both animated films dipped 12% from similar openings. JW is the wildcard here though. After the weekend drop we just saw and coming into holidays I would say it should only dip at most 20% but I'm just not sure with Ted 2 opening. All comes down to whether JW is playing to families or adults more. Here's my ranges first: JW - 6m to 8m Minions - 3.5m to 5.5m Inside out - 3m to 4m Ted 2 - 4m to 10m (yeah I know it's a huge range but I'm struggling to read this one) Predicted top 5 1. JW - 7.1m 2. Ted 2 - 7m (new) 3. Minions - 4.6m 4. Inside Out - 3.3m 5. Love & Mercy - 1.1m (new)

[RthDeadWov]

Top thr Engagements

18-21/6

All JW

1-Event George St 17,  Sydney   

2-Hoyts Melbourne Central 11, Melbourne

3-Event Innaloo 16, Perth

4-Imax Sydney

5-Village Fountain Gate 10, Melbourne

6-Event Miranda 10, Sydney

7-Hoyts Carousel 16, Perth

8-Event Marion 26, Adelaide

9-Event Chermside 16, Brisbane

10-Event Castle Hill 16, Sydney

11-Imax Melbourne

12-Village southland 16, Melbourne

13-village Casino 13, Melbourne

14-Event Parramatta 11, Sydney

15-village Doncaster 9, Melbourne

[Robertron]

Top thr Engagements

18-21/6

All JW

1-Event George St 17,  Sydney   

2-Hoyts Melbourne Central 11, Melbourne

3-Event Innaloo 16, Perth

4-Imax Sydney

5-Village Fountain Gate 10, Melbourne

6-Event Miranda 10, Sydney

7-Hoyts Carousel 16, Perth

8-Event Marion 26, Adelaide

9-Event Chermside 16, Brisbane

10-Event Castle Hill 16, Sydney

11-Imax Melbourne

12-Village southland 16, Melbourne

13-village Casino 13, Melbourne

14-Event Parramatta 11, Sydney

15-village Doncaster 9, Melbourne

Rth what's the deal with IMAX Sydney and the new Quarter that's being built? Are we losing the cinema for good, or just temporarily? And if it is only temporarily, will it come back in its current size?

[JJ-8]

Given JW is going to figure in the all time top 5 films in Australia.. i think it's time for a showdown!

 

here we go

 

Wk	Titanic	Shrek 2	Avatar	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	The Avengers	Jurassic World
Released	18-Dec-97	17-Jun-04	17-Dec-09	13-Jul-11	25-Apr-12	11-Jun-15
1:	3.2m/3.2m	13.2m/13.6m	12.0m/12.9m	18.4m/25.5m	13.3m/19.3m	16.1m/16.1m
Screens/Ave	222 / 14,304	437 / 30,114	588 / 20,344	754 / 24,362	621 / 21,398	605/26,552
2:	3.5m/8.1m	8.5m/25.3m	8.7m/29.0m	8.0m/38.7m	8.2m/31.1m	9.9m/30.2m
% Drop	9%	-35%	-27%	-56%	-38%	-39%
3:	3.6m/13.9m	5.3m/34.6m	9.7m/48.4m	3.8m/44.5m	5.2m/39.0m
4:	2.6m/18.4m	4.3m/42.3m	8.3m/63.2m	2.3m/47.8m	3.5m/43.9m
5:	2.1m/21.9m	2.1m/46.2m	7.0m/75.3m	1.3m/49.7m	2.3m/47.0m
6:	2.5m/25.8m	1.0m/47.9m	5.6m/84.8m	757k/50.8m	1.8m/49.3m
7:	1.8m/28.9m	662k/48.9m	4.6m/92.7m	445k/51.5m	1.3m/51.0m
8:	1.8m/31.4m	364k/49.5m	3.9m/98.4m	279k/51.9m	608k/52.3m
9:	1.8m/33.9m	220k/49.8m	2.9m/102.6m	176k/52.1m	307k/52.8m
10:	1.6m/36.1m	135k/50.0m	1.9m/105.4m	92k/52.4m	162k/53.1m
TOTAL:	57.6m	50.4m	115.6m	52.6m	53.3m	30.2m
Projected						60m

 

[JJ-8]

As it stands the best comparison is Shrek 2 here.

 

Avengers is not a good comparison as while the drop is similar, in reality it's really dropping from a much larger weekend (19m 5 day).

 

So using Shrek 2 as the comparison - JW can reach 58m to 59m without much trouble.   I think 60m is possible based upon this, but we shall see how the holidays treat JW.. if it's more family than adult then 60m is happening.