Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[druv10]

Jajang, can Hobbit make 55M and in the process pass TA?

[JJ-8]

Possible but it will be hard. The Hobbit does have one advantage... holidays.... TA made 13m after a 6m OD on wednesday...I would hope the Hobbit can make as much as 16m over the weekend after pretty much the same OD. Even better it will get a lot more midweek business next week.. (looking for it to play out closer to potter than TA over this weekend.. after that well anyones guess but 45m should be a given already with 50m a good lookin.)For comparisonLOTR: FOTR made 4.1m OD and the followed with a 9.7m OW.(13.8m running total after the weekend) - final of 47mLOTR: TTT made 5.2m OD and a 14.1m OW (includes the OD) - final of 45mLOTR: ROTK made 5.2m OD and a 12.7m OW (3 days only of play due to boxing day being on a friday) - final of 49mnow TH: AUJ made 5.9m OD..so using fellowship: 14m OW & 67m finalso yeah 55m is very possible.

[Robertron]

I'm still not 100% confident with $50m.Given the compared-to-LOTR poor WoM, legs could be its downfall.A big opening was basically a given here.

[Robertron]

But yes, fantastic to see a huge opening!

[JJ-8]

I'm still not 100% confident with $50m.Given the compared-to-LOTR poor WoM, legs could be its downfall.A big opening was basically a given here.

as i said possible, but not given.. i think 45m is about the only thing i'm willing to lock in at the moment. unless it falls of the face of the earth, i think think it will go under that. but it's not much of a stretch for 50m from there. the holidays just play too much in it's favour here for it not to get that high.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

good opening

[Rthmessiah]

ok here is the chart from boxing day according to that article.....1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 5.925m2. Les Miserables - 1.825m3. Wreck it Ralph - $ unknown at this stage but is running third.

3-WIR 1.160m4-PG 580k5-Sky 480ktH1 was expected top at 5 & LM 1.2 so both better than expected, the day of cause was biggest Boxing day ever 11m(prev 09), interesting even with increased product against TH1 opening compared to FOTR that only had Minc and HP wk5 as main titles TH1 managed 54% bus(FOTR 55%)expectation on TH1 was 50m, given WOM perfomance in number of other countries and increased titles during Summer see how it plays out 45 should be min and 55 if it really holds which is not out of realm of possibility this summer overall is going to be huge, the matinee trade today is way dwn compared to LM, WIR is similar to BoxDay

[Ball Lightning]

Everyone I know has loved it so far, many posts over facebook and everyone is talking about it. Today is pretty crazy too so far! Expect big numbers.

[Ball Lightning]

3-WIR 1.160m4-PG 580k5-Sky 480ktH1 was expected top at 5 & LM 1.2 so both better than expected, the day of cause was biggest Boxing day ever 11m(prev 09), interesting even with increased product against TH1 opening compared to FOTR that only had Minc and HP wk5 as main titles TH1 managed 54% bus(FOTR 55%)expectation on TH1 was 50m, given WOM perfomance in number of other countries and increased titles during Summer see how it plays out 45 should be min and 55 if it really holds which is not out of realm of possibility this summer overall is going to be huge, the matinee trade today is way dwn compared to LM, WIR is similar to BoxDay

We're still getting close to selling out some sessions. Probably more that we were at capacity for most of the day for TH yesterday.How does this boxing day rank with attendance? Edited December 27, 2012 by Ball Lightning

[druv10]

good opening

It's great actually and I'm more then satisfied. :)

[DeeCee]

http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/movies/hobbit-runs-rings-around-boxing-day-record-20121227-2bxm9.html

[Robertron]

Fantastic news!!! I LOVED Wreck It Ralph and I really hope it takes off here!!!

[Ball Lightning]

TH tracking to do about 50-65% of yesterdays admits for 3D and about equal for 2D. So about a 25% decline in gross if we go by my site. Les Mis about the same as yesterday

[JJ-8]

I think this weekend could play out as follows. Wed - 5.9mThurs - 4mFri - 4.2mSat - 4.4mSun - 3.9mOw = 16.5mWhat do others think of that projection?

[Robertron]

http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/movies/hobbit-runs-rings-around-boxing-day-record-20121227-2bxm9.html

That makes perfect sense that it was Event Cinemas record day.I was at Liverpool and it was absolutely packed. The line was almost out the door!

[Robertron]

I think this weekend could play out as follows. Wed - 5.9mThurs - 4mFri - 4.2mSat - 4.4mSun - 3.9mOw = 16.5mWhat do others think of that projection?

I don't see how it misses $50m with that.

[JJ-8]

Potter managed 53m and bled badly. Something I believe the hobbit can avoid. If my projection is good then 50m is probably locked. Frankly I think this could reach titanics 57m. But it needs legs for that.

[JJ-8]

Something else to consider. The hobbit has done this without any showings before 9am. Ie. no midnights. Which indicates excluding mids from potters daily this sold more $. Not only that but it was done considerably less screens 560 vs 754.

[Heretic]

Very nice!

[DeeCee]

The only new kids film in all of January, school holidays runs through the whole month, seems to be Paranorman so that should help with the TH's legs.(there is a Monsters 3D re-release)