chasmmi Posted May 11, 2014 Share Posted May 11, 2014 And for fun Reference lets see how the table looked 1 year ago today (Admittedly after week 3 but...) and compare to the finishing positions (which shall be in bold):1) SAM 224,000 (6th)2) DRUV 216,000 (32nd)3) Gizmo 208,000 (8th)4) CEDAR 203,000 (2nd)5) OLIVE 203,000 (5th)6) KITIK 197000 (1st)7) NARNIA 191,000 (13th)8) FAKE 187,000 (38th)9) Filmovie 183,000 (10th)10) CHFLOPPIT 182,000 (30th)11) grim22 180,000 (4th)12) RichWS 179,000 (43rd)13) SIMIONSKI 178,000 (12th)14) Jay Salahi 173,000 (10th)15) CMASTER 172,000 (27th)16) ITZED 171,000 (18th)17) SCHUMACHER 170,000 (17th)18) TOWER 164,000 (9th)19) TYLERDURDEN 163,000 (7th)20) PUNISHMENT 161,000 (28th)21) BLANKMENTS 160,000 (22nd)22) STINGRAY 160,000 (34th)23) IRONAMN89 157,000 (47th)24) ICEROLL 154,000 (14th)25) SHANWMR 152000 (3rd)26) junkshop 150,000 (25th)27) MATTREK 150,000 (35th)28) GOFFE 146,000 (21st)29) Newbie 142,000 (41st) 30) TLK 140,000 (40th)31) DEXTER 136,000 (33rd)32) JAKEGITTES 134,000 (11th)23) Cookie: 131,000 (42nd)34) Neo 131,000 (44th)35) CHASMMI 115,000 (29th)36) ACSC 115,000 (46th)37) kayumanggi 108,000 (37th)38) Vanilla Sky: 106,000 (45th)39) CJOHN 104,000 (36th) 40) BAUMER 102,000 (15th) 41) DAR 100,000 (31st)42) 24LOST 99,000 (23rd)43) MGS 98000 (24th)44) LAGUY 98000 (16th)45) TELEMACHOS 97000 (26th)46) JACKO 75,000 (39th)47) Glassfairy: 68000 (19th)48) Jessie: 45,000 (48th) So a good start can be quite nice (6 of the final top 10 were in the top ten by the end of week 3) yet also big comebacks are not rare. Shawn rising from 25th to 3rd is most noticeable but 7 other players rose at least 19 places in the standings over the course of the season with glassfairy and LAGuy both gaining 28 places over the course of the summer. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 Moved up 19 spots by the end nice. My strategy is to play every single week and I hope as many players aa possible drop out and I move up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 Australia always folds the previews in - nothing abnormal here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 I severely underestimated neighbors - unless it can pull a Gatsby. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 (edited) Will someone put up an answer key to the Week 2 questions once the actuals come in? Edited May 12, 2014 by The Stingray Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 Oh dear, if I don't win bonus 1 and not including my win on sotm1 I think I'm on something like 5,000 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 As Things stand with estimates... 1) Will Neighbors open in first? 2000 YES (14m swing required for no)2) Will ASM 2 fall more than Spider-man 3 did in it's second weekend? 2000 NO (2.1% change required for YES)3) Will ASM2's Friday to Friday decrease ( from the 35.167 number) be more than 75%? NO (requires a 3.28% change to become YES)4) Which film will open higher, MNO or LOO:DR? MNO (500k swing required for OZ)5) Will Neighbors be number one on Friday (including Thurs) Yes (9.5M swing required for No)6) Will The Other Woman fall more than 34.4%? YES (1.4% swing required for NO)7) Will Divergent stay in the top 10? YES (235K Swing minimum required for NO)8) Will Neighbors get at least an A cinemascore? NO9) Will more than 2 films in the top 15 have a Saturday increase of more than 74%? NO (currently at 1, to hit 3 will require a 3.3% increase for Captain AND a 9.2% increase for Heaven)10) Will Transcendence finish ahead of Haunted House 2? NO (21k swing swing required for YES)11) Will The Other Woman and Neighbors combine to make more than 8 million in Australia this weekend (TOW has been on fire there, it will more than likely pass ASM2 in Australia this week)? YES (It seems this is locked so long as the reporting method doesn't change)12) How many films will have a drop of less than 40%)? 7 (Nothing stands out as being on the bubble to change this, closest maybe TOW needing to fall 400-500k with actuals)10/12 300011/12 400012/12 6000What will Neighbors Friday gross be (including early showings on Thurs) 3000 Currently 19.6What will ASM2's gross be for the weekend? 3000 Currently 37.2What will Captain America TWS's gross be? 3000 Currently 5.619What finishes in spots:4 Heaven is for real (Minimum swing of 1.4M needed to change this)5 Captain America (Minimum 500k swing needed to change this)6 Rio (Minimum 500k swing needed to change this)10 Brick Mansions (15k swing downwards will change this to Budapest, 120k upwards will change to Divergent)2000 each, 5000 bonus if all four correct. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 Chas, you the f**king man, man! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 Well, I think that week could have definitely gone worse for me. Although I'm still waiting on whether the SOTM is going to be magical christmasland or doom and gloom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 As Things stand with estimates... 1) Will Neighbors open in first? 2000 YES (14m swing required for no)2) Will ASM 2 fall more than Spider-man 3 did in it's second weekend? 2000 NO (2.1% change required for YES)3) Will ASM2's Friday to Friday decrease ( from the 35.167 number) be more than 75%? NO (requires a 3.28% change to become YES)4) Which film will open higher, MNO or LOO:DR? MNO (500k swing required for OZ)5) Will Neighbors be number one on Friday (including Thurs) Yes (9.5M swing required for No)6) Will The Other Woman fall more than 34.4%? YES (1.4% swing required for NO)7) Will Divergent stay in the top 10? YES (235K Swing minimum required for NO)8) Will Neighbors get at least an A cinemascore? NO9) Will more than 2 films in the top 15 have a Saturday increase of more than 74%? NO (currently at 1, to hit 3 will require a 3.3% increase for Captain AND a 9.2% increase for Heaven)10) Will Transcendence finish ahead of Haunted House 2? NO (21k swing swing required for YES)11) Will The Other Woman and Neighbors combine to make more than 8 million in Australia this weekend (TOW has been on fire there, it will more than likely pass ASM2 in Australia this week)? YES (It seems this is locked so long as the reporting method doesn't change)12) How many films will have a drop of less than 40%)? 7 (Nothing stands out as being on the bubble to change this, closest maybe TOW needing to fall 400-500k with actuals)10/12 300011/12 400012/12 6000What will Neighbors Friday gross be (including early showings on Thurs) 3000 Currently 19.6What will ASM2's gross be for the weekend? 3000 Currently 37.2What will Captain America TWS's gross be? 3000 Currently 5.619What finishes in spots:4 Heaven is for real (Minimum swing of 1.4M needed to change this)5 Captain America (Minimum 500k swing needed to change this)6 Rio (Minimum 500k swing needed to change this)10 Brick Mansions (15k swing downwards will change this to Budapest, 120k upwards will change to Divergent)2000 each, 5000 bonus if all four correct. Question 6 is now no But thanks for doing these answers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 (edited) TASM2 May 11, 2014 $10,020,417 May 10, 2014 $15,459,611 May 09, 2014 $10,021,184 Fri-Sat +54.2% Edited May 12, 2014 by Olive Maximoff 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 TASM2 drop: -61.2467% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 TASM2 May 11, 2014 $10,020,417 May 10, 2014 $15,459,611 May 09, 2014 $10,021,184 Fri-Sat +54.2% ... dangit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 12, 2014 Author Share Posted May 12, 2014 TASM2 drop: -61.2467% Still less than Spidey 3. Damn! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 (edited) Answer keys to week 2 questions: 1) Will Neighbors open in first? 2000 - YES 2) Will ASM 2 fall more than Spider-man 3 did in it's second weekend? 2000 - NO 3) Will ASM2's Friday to Friday decrease ( from the 35.167 number) be more than 75%? - NO 4) Which film will open higher, MNO or LOO:DR? - MNO 5) Will Neighbors be number one on Friday (including Thurs) - YES 6) Will The Other Woman fall more than 34.4%? - NO 7) Will Divergent stay in the top 10? - YES 8) Will Neighbors get at least an A cinemascore? - NO 9) Will more than 2 films in the top 15 have a Saturday increase of more than 74%? - NO 10) Will Transcendence finish ahead of Haunted House 2? - YES 11) Will The Other Woman and Neighbors combine to make more than 8 million in Australia this weekend (TOW has been on fire there, it will more than likely pass ASM2 in Australia this week)? -YES 12) How many films will have a drop of less than 40%? - 7 What will Neighbors Friday gross be (including early showings on Thurs) 3000 - $19,574,490 What will ASM2's gross be for the weekend? 3000 - $35,501,212 What will Captain America TWS's gross be? 3000 - $5,750,593 What finishes in spots: 4 Heaven is for Real 5 CA2 6 Rio 2 10 Brick Mansions Edited May 12, 2014 by Olive Maximoff 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 TASM2 drop: -61.2467% Dat amazing WOM effect 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 12, 2014 Author Share Posted May 12, 2014 So frikkin close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 Fucking Brick Mansions... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 I did horribly this week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 12, 2014 Share Posted May 12, 2014 So only Jajang got the 20k, everyone else who gambled lost 25! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
