RamblinRed Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 It's sort of fun to watch the roller coaster ride in these threads each day. For how amazing run TFA is having, it is still surprising both positive and negative almost half the days and I doubt that is over. the first Sunday was a huge positive surprise to this board. Even with the overly conservative Sunday estimate there were very few suggesting 60. Then the first Monday hold and the first Wed hold in particular we positive surprises. The 2nd Saturday failing to make 50 surprised alot on this board, but the Sat jump was strong. Then you had the big drop from the 2nd Sunday estimates being another negative surprise. Then you had the NYE number being about 2-3M higher than most were assuming. Actually if it had come in with what most were thinking than the Friday's number would have been right in line with the expected incr. I'm just going to wait and see where this is Sunday. Anything above 90 I would consider a very good weekend. 95+ would be fantastic and if it had actually gotten to 100 - which many with irrational exuburence started throwing around after NYE number it would have been incredible. 90+ still gives it a chance a 1B if it slightly outperforms expectations for post-Holiday period. 95 would jump it back over 50% chance in my model. 100 would have made it fairly likely. My slightly conservative model with Fri number (34.46) has it at 985M on 3/31 (my cut off date given HV release is 4/5). My most aggressive model has it at $1.021B with this Friday's number. My most conservative model has it at 965. If I had to put odds on it as of Friday's number getting to $1B i'd give it a 40% chance. With Friday's estimate it would need to make 72.5% of Avatar's gross from Jan 2 through Mar 31 to get to $1B by that date. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Infernus said: Your comments really amuse me Well, thank you. Edited January 2, 2016 by MrFanaticGuy34 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, Marek the Jedi said: so we will have another 1.5 billion grosser after weekend right ? The-Numbers incl Friday Theatrical Performance Domestic Box Office $686,425,583 International Box Office $704,200,000 Worldwide Box Office $1,390,625,583 BO.com est. the dom weekend to get $95m = $746,965,583 = means OS needs $64.366m. At it's 3rd weekend. But: Friday a lot of cinemas were closed or partially closed outside the USA ???? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 (edited) @Marek the Jedi BO.com SW 7 Total Domestic Gross: $746,965,583 [proj.] | Worldwide Gross: $1,451,165,583 [proj.] edit: that looked wrong, so I went to the Internatinal Forum huh, o.K., the software added a new post a bit deeper Edited January 2, 2016 by terrestrial 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 (edited) I saw PB in the title and my first thought was... Paul Blart? Edited January 2, 2016 by Ethan Hunt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 (edited) On 1.1.2016 at 4:42 PM, efialtes76 said: Dom:96m-100m OS:$140m-$150m On 1.1.2016 at 5:05 PM, Lordmandeep said: should be at 1.550 billion to 1.6 billion by Sunday? On 1.1.2016 at 5:11 PM, Elessar said: not more than 1.550 billion i think @Marek the Jedi here is, what should have been in the other post Edited January 2, 2016 by terrestrial 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Hmm. I think SW: TFA will pass TITANIC's worldwide gross but not its overseas gross. The domestic and overseas share will probably be like 48% and 52% respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: The domestic and overseas share will probably be like 48% and 52% respectively. Let's wait and see what will happen in China? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Guys how do you do this thingy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 TOP HOLIDAY SINGLE DAY GROSSES - New Years Day Rank Title (click to view) Studio New Years Gross / % of Total Theaters / Average Day/Year Lifetime Gross 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $34,460,000 5.0% 4,134 $8,336 F 2016 $686,425,583 2 Avatar Fox $25,274,008 3.4% 3,461 $7,303 F 2010 $760,507,625 3 Meet the Fockers Uni. $18,271,940 6.5% 3,524 $5,185 Sa 2005 $279,261,160 4 Sherlock Holmes WB $14,889,882 7.1% 3,626 $4,106 F 2010 $209,028,679 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, terrestrial said: Let's wait and see what will happen in China? I made a prediction. ^^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 (edited) 3 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: Guys how do you do this thingy? you type the @ and write the member's name you want to ~ ping without a break directly after that sign Edited January 2, 2016 by terrestrial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 3 minutes ago, terrestrial said: you type the @ and write the member's name you want to ~ ping without a break directly after that sign I actually tried doing that but nothing. lol I'll try your name. @terrestrial 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Oh it worked! lolololol Thanks! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I wonder, who predicted 1 B for SW: TFA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marek the Jedi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 8 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: Guys how do you do this thingy? @kayumanggi just type it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, kayumanggi said: Oh it worked! lolololol Thanks! I got a quote message, but I think quote and ping to the person = quote trumps ping. I get sometimes pings, so it should work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Seriously, guys, take the nonsense elsewhere. This is the weekend numbers thread. I'll even create a thread just for you: the equivalent of the Marvel vs DC one. Seesh. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, kayumanggi said: I wonder, who predicted 1 B for SW: TFA? early on or arond the OW ? There are over / under ... clubs, maybe asking there or looking into the first page, usually they do summaries there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, terrestrial said: early on or arond the OW ? There are over / under ... clubs, maybe asking there or looking into the first page, usually they do summaries there? Like when the first trailer came out ha ha. What I really like about the run is the almost equal interest of domestic and overseas audience. Who would have thought N. America would see a film finishing with a 10-digit box office total. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
