chasmmi Posted September 1, 2016 Author Share Posted September 1, 2016 How about you both lose big points, just Tele is slightly less big? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 On 9/1/2016 at 3:19 AM, chasmmi said: Barring the Shallows increasing about 850% in this next weekend, SOTM 2 is done so: Money Monster: $28m HIGHER Nice Guys: $60m LOWER Popstar: $25m LOWER / HALF Me before You: $45m HIGHER Now you see me 2: $65M HIGHER (BY 75K) Free State of Jones: $43M LOWER / HALF The Shallows: $28m HIGHER The purge: $42m HIGHER You may choose as many or as few of the above films as you please. For each film you choose, you must select 1 of the following predictions: HIGHER, LOWER, HALF, DOUBLE. SCORING For every correct prediction using either HIGHER or LOWER score 4000 points. For every correct prediction using either HALF or DOUBLE score 10000 points. For every incorrect prediction using either HIGHER or LOWER score minus 6000 points. For every incorrect prediction using either HALF or DOUBLE score minus 15000 points. Heyitsmoses: 22000 Narnia: 20000 Infernus: 20000 Dajk: 18000 Kalo: 18000 Damien: 16000 24Lost: 14000 thatoneguy: 12000 Dexter: 12000 Exxdee: 12000 Tele: 12000 bcf26: 12000 Laguy: 12000 Empire: 8000 Wrath: 8000 Darkelf: 6000 Wrathofhan: 4000 Baumer: 4000 Glassfairy: 4000 JakeGittes: 2000 Grey Ghost: 2000 Ed: 2000 chewy: 2000 Movieman: zero Simionski: minus 4000 Chasmmi: minus 8000 Panda: minus 11000 Blankments: Minus 15000 Kayumanggi: minus 17000 JJ8: Minus 18000 give me 0 if no answer ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 On 9/1/2016 at 3:42 AM, chasmmi said: Okay, I am going to do SOTM5 but there will be a couple of * films where the final score may change by 1000 if a film does/doesn't pass the 5M landmark I expect it to by end of game: Here is the deal: You give me and 20,000 of your hard earned points and use them to invest in any of the films that will be shown below. For every 5 million dollars that film makes at the Domestic Box Office by the end of the game, you will make 1000 points. So if a film ends on $79.5M, you will earn 15000 points for that film. If it makes $80.3M you get 16000. This SOTM is actually designed so that players should all make a healthy profit on their investment, the question is how much and what is the correct course of action. You can invest in as many films as you wish so long as you don't spend more than 20,000 points * You cannot invest less than 20,000, if you only invest 15,000 the other 5000 will still be taken so you may as well spend it all. I will allow players to abstain for 2000 points, but I can't see anybody taking that offer as it would been you are not confident in say Finding Dory crawling its way to $100M for example Films for Sale: Finding Dory - 20000 480M = 96000 Suicide Squad - 12000 295M* = 59000 (+1000 IF IT PASSES 300M) Jason Bourne - 10000 150M* = 30000 (+1000 IF IT PASSES 155M) Independence Day - 8000 100M = 20000 Life of Pets - 8000 355M = 71000 Star Trek Beyond - 7000 150M = 30000 Ghostbusters - 6000 125M = 25000 Warcraft - 4000 45M = 9000 Central Intelligence - 4000 125M = 25000 Ice Age - 4000 60M = 12000 BFG - 3000 50M = 10000 Pete's Dragon - 3000 60M = 12000 The Conjuring 2 - 3000 100 = 20000 Tarzan - 3000 125M = 25000 Bad Moms - 2000 100M = 20000 Free State of Jones - 2000 = 20M - 4000 Sausage Party - 2000 85M = 17000 Purge - 2000 75M = 15000 Now You See Me 2 - 2000 65M = 13000 Lights Out - 2000 65M = 13000 Mike and Dave 2000 45M = 9000 Shallows - 1000 50M* = 10000 (+1000 IF IT DRAGS ITSELF TO 55M) The Infiltrator - 1000 15M = 3000 Nine Lives - 1000 15M = 3000 Damienroc: 161000 Chasmmi: 158000 JakeGittes: 154000 Exxdee: 145000 Blankments: 143000 Thatoneguy: 139000 Narnia: 139000 Simionski: 138000 WrathofHan: 138000 Chewy: 130000 HeyitsMoses: 126000 Wrath: 126000 JJ8: 121000 Darkelf: 116000 Bcf: 116000 Tele: 116000 Baumer: 116000 Dajk: 114000 Infernus: 111000 Glassfairy: 104000 JJ99: 104000 24Lost: 98000 Kayu: 79000 holding off this one... there are few expansions that are occuring this weekend that could change things yet... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 On 9/1/2016 at 4:09 AM, chasmmi said: SOTM 7 is below: Finding Dory as of Sunday is on about $286.552M. Independence Day is on about $41.6M. Usually this is the point when I would ask you how high they will go and you get increasing amounts of points depending on how ballsy you want your high prediction to be. Well this time we turn that on it's head. Here the big points will be on the lowest grosses in the list. you are predicting which mark you expect the film to fail to reach. Let's show you the Finding Dory List: Titanic - $658.67M - 2000 / 3000 The Avengers - $623.35M - 3000 / 4000 Goldfinger (ADJ) - $568.85M - 5000 / 7000 The Dark Knight - $534.85M - 8000 /10000 Back to the Future (Adj) - $506.65M - 12000 /15000 Superman (ADJ) - $492.13 - 16000 /20000 Phantom Menace - $474.54M - 20000 /24000 Star Wars - $460.99M- 25000 /30000 E.T - $435.11M - 30000 /35000 In this situation, if you bet on Avengers, you will win 3000 points UNLESS Dory's final total outgrosses Avengers, if this happens you will lose 4000 points Below is the list of targets for Independence Day: Spectre - $200.07M - 2000 / 3000 Jurassic Park 3 - $181.17M - 3000 / 4000 Big Daddy - $163.48M - 5000 / 7000 Little Fockers - $148.43M - 8000 /10000 Rocky 4 - $127.87M - 12000 /15000 Green Lantern - $116.60 - 16000 /20000 Driving Miss Daisy - $106.59M - 20000 /24000 Beverly Hills Chihuahua - $94.51M- 25000 /30000 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - $85.89M - 30000 /35000 You are free to go for one question or both questions. If you go for both you are eligible to go for the following bonus question (you do not have to though) 1. Will Suicide Squad make more opening weekend than IDR does Total? 10000/5000 YES, VERY MUCH SO Deadline is Thursday at 11:59pm, no abstaining. WrathofHan: 38000 JakeGittes: 38000 Infernus: 38000 Panda: 38000 Kayumanggi: 38000 Darkelf: 38000 Chewy: 38000 Simionski: 35000 Dajk: 34000 Wrath: 34000 JJ99: 34000 Exxdee: 34000 24Lost: 23000 Narniadis: 22000 Baumer: 18000 Chasmmi: 15000 Glassfairy: 14000 LAGuy: 14000 JJ8: 12000 bcf: 12000 Damienroc: 12000 ThatoneGuy: minus 12000 Movieman: minus 12000 Tele: minus 27000 Blankments: minus 40000 Failing to answer here will be minus 35000 points as is equal to maximum loss for one question. HOLD - this could be wrong... i haven't got the energy to check now but FD is @ 479m and even with it's boost i'm not sure it will cross 490m let alone 492m .. does that mean 492 answer is correct ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Quick update: Only added Weeks 16 (revised), Week 17 and SOTM 2. SOTM 5 & 7 not quite complete / correct, so they can be updated with the remainder of the weeklies and SOTMs. # User Pre- season Entry GRAND TOTAL PreSeason Total SOTM Total SOTM 2 Weekly's Total Week 16 Week 17 1 DamienRoc YES 747000 10000 88000 16000 649000 49000 52000 2 Exxdee YES 741000 10000 61000 12000 670000 42000 35000 3 darkelf YES 720000 10000 127000 6000 583000 51000 35000 4 Infernus YES 712000 10000 211000 20000 491000 32000 35000 5 Jake Gittes YES 698000 10000 53000 2000 635000 29000 30000 6 Simionski YES 684000 10000 72000 -4000 602000 38000 49000 7 Wrath YES 677000 10000 122000 8000 545000 26000 41000 8 Telemachos YES 652000 10000 116000 12000 526000 49000 31000 9 WrathOfHan YES 641000 10000 48000 4000 583000 44000 27000 10 Chasmmi YES 631000 10000 118000 -8000 503000 30000 33000 11 narniadis YES 625000 10000 65000 20000 550000 38000 37000 12 24Lost YES 598000 10000 -19000 14000 607000 35000 27000 13 Blank Panther YES 598000 10000 13000 -15000 575000 27000 41000 14 bcf26 YES 597000 10000 31000 12000 556000 31000 49000 15 glassfairy YES 563000 10000 92000 4000 461000 32000 37000 16 JJ-8 YES 556000 10000 36000 -18000 510000 16000 42000 17 DAJK YES 549000 10000 60000 18000 479000 26000 36000 18 kayumanggi YES 516000 10000 -2000 -17000 508000 0 41000 19 thatoneguy YES 495000 10000 -24000 12000 509000 19000 34000 20 jj99 YES 491000 10000 -14000 0 495000 24000 43000 21 Movieman89 YES 479000 10000 -18000 0 487000 41000 0 22 grey ghost YES 474000 10000 76000 2000 388000 26000 32000 23 Chewy YES 449000 10000 59000 2000 380000 0 0 24 Baumer YES 380000 10000 -27000 0 397000 0 0 25 laguy03 YES 287000 10000 8000 12000 269000 0 0 26 #ED YES 240000 10000 11000 2000 219000 0 0 27 Kalo YES 183000 10000 30000 18000 143000 0 0 28 Cmasterclay YES 134000 10000 2000 0 122000 0 0 29 The Panda YES 132000 10000 8000 -11000 114000 0 0 30 Jayhawk YES 94000 10000 12000 0 72000 0 0 31 HeyItsMoses YES 92000 10000 -15000 22000 97000 0 0 32 Dexter of Surburbia YES 82000 10000 8000 12000 64000 0 0 33 Empire YES 75000 10000 -5000 8000 70000 0 0 34 Alpha YES 6000 10000 -4000 0 0 0 0 35 Films YES 6000 10000 -4000 0 0 0 0 36 firedeep YES 6000 10000 -4000 0 0 0 0 37 Mike Hunt YES 6000 10000 -4000 0 0 0 0 38 Treetrunk Special YES 6000 10000 -4000 0 0 0 0 39 Maxmoser3 YES -4000 0 -4000 0 0 0 0 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted September 2, 2016 Author Share Posted September 2, 2016 46 minutes ago, JJ-8 said: give me 0 if no answer ? yeah zero on that one. Also SOTM7 is fixed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 (edited) Dammit! If only I had not missed those two weeks... Really happy with my SOTM score though. Almost double the second highest scoring guy's points with only 3 more remaining of which I have the highest in one and am top 3 in another. Totally reverse of the Winter Game where I got second highest points in the weeklies (how do you do it Exxdee?) and a really good preseason score and just missed the overall Top 5 due to a negative overall SOTM score. This time its the negative preseason score that will screw me. Edited September 2, 2016 by Infernus 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 Tfw I'm almost outside of the top 20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 On 1 September 2016 at 4:26 AM, chasmmi said: It's the madness of this game. I somehow find myself having 65k resting on Suicide Squad reaching 300M And it gets better. DHD's estimates are out. DHD has SS hitting 300.2m after the the 4 day weekend.... . It's going down to the wire. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted September 3, 2016 Author Share Posted September 3, 2016 15 minutes ago, JJ-8 said: And it gets better. DHD's estimates are out. DHD has SS hitting 300.2m after the the 4 day weekend.... . It's going down to the wire. I hate everything 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 I can't even remember which side of 300 I want it to fall on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 If SS hits 300M I'll get 30k points since I also said Bad Moms will hit the top 15; if it doesn't, I'll lost 15k. So yeah, it better hit 300M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 if it grosses more than 300.0 I lose points on the gross score.... *sigh* same with Trek - it only needed 155m for me to be safe..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 4, 2016 Share Posted September 4, 2016 1 hour ago, narniadis said: if it grosses more than 300.0 I lose points on the gross score.... *sigh* same with Trek - it only needed 155m for me to be safe..... Looking at estimates, I have by game end, STB reaching about 154.5m jason Bourne reaching about 155.9m. JB should just scrape by XMen this weekend changing a preseason question answer in the process. But it's very tight.... (Means there is only 2 CBM's in the top 5. there is only 1 other preseason that isn't answered yet and it's Q20 - option 1 & 4 were essentially a dead heat before the weekend started. (If u selected option 3 u r already getting an abstain btw) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 WB projecting 20% SUN-to-MON drop for #SuicideSquad on #LaborDay. If estimate holds, it will smash $300M domestic tonight.— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) September 5, 2016 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted September 6, 2016 Share Posted September 6, 2016 Hmm interesting end.... Actuals could have impact if these estimates don't hold... SS 300.2m JB 156.1m xmen 155.4m (final/actual) STB 155.04m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted September 6, 2016 Author Share Posted September 6, 2016 SOTM5 updated after estimates, still not set though due to Suicide Squad and Star trek I will allow players to abstain for 2000 points, but I can't see anybody taking that offer as it would been you are not confident in say Finding Dory crawling its way to $100M for example Films for Sale: Finding Dory - 20000 480M = 96000 Suicide Squad - 12000 300M* = 60000 * Jason Bourne - 10000 155M* = 30000 Independence Day - 8000 100M = 20000 Life of Pets - 8000 355M = 71000 Star Trek Beyond - 7000 155M = 30000* Ghostbusters - 6000 125M = 25000 Warcraft - 4000 45M = 9000 Central Intelligence - 4000 125M = 25000 Ice Age - 4000 60M = 12000 BFG - 3000 50M = 10000 Pete's Dragon - 3000 65M = 12000 The Conjuring 2 - 3000 100 = 20000 Tarzan - 3000 125M = 25000 Bad Moms - 2000 100M = 20000 Free State of Jones - 2000 = 20M - 4000 Sausage Party - 2000 85M = 17000 Purge - 2000 75M = 15000 Now You See Me 2 - 2000 65M = 13000 Lights Out - 2000 65M = 13000 Mike and Dave 2000 45M = 9000 Shallows - 1000 50M* = 10000 The Infiltrator - 1000 15M = 3000 Nine Lives - 1000 15M = 3000 Damienroc: 161000 Chasmmi: 158000 JakeGittes: 154000 Exxdee: 146000 Blankments: 143000 Thatoneguy: 139000 Narnia: 139000 Simionski: 138000 WrathofHan: 139000 Movieman 131000 Chewy: 131000 HeyitsMoses: 126000 Wrath: 126000 JJ8: 121000 Darkelf: 116000 Bcf: 116000 Tele: 116000 Baumer: 116000 Dajk: 115000 Infernus: 111000 Glassfairy: 105000 JJ99: 106000 24Lost: 98000 Kayu: 80000 Wrath of Han loses 1000 points if Star trek falls below 155M, , the people in red losee 1000 if Suicide Squad does not cross 300M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted September 6, 2016 Author Share Posted September 6, 2016 SOTM9 - If Suicide Squad falls below 300M then everyone scores minus 15000 apart from the abstainers I am going to give a list of 6 possible but unlikely things that could happen during the course of this game: 1. Secret Life of Pets comes 2nd in the Domestic top 15 of the summer. NO 2. Alice In Wonderland 2 makes the Domestic top 15 NO 3. Sausage Party makes over $80M YES 4. Ice Age fails to make $400M Worldwide YES 5. Suicide Squad makes $300M Domestic YES (ESTIMATED) 6. Bad Moms makes the Domestic Top 15 YES * Pick 1 event to happen and it does - 15,000 points * Pick 2 events to happen and they do - 30,000 points * Pick 3 events to happen and they do - 50,000 points * Pick 4 events to happen and they do - 75,000 points * Pick 5 events to happen and they do - 100,000 points * Pick 6 events to happen and they do - 150,000 points You will get a bonus of 20,000 points, if you correct pick every scenario that occurs. So if you chose say number 2, 4 and 6 and 2,3,4 and 6 occurred, you win 50k. However, if only 2,4, and 6 happen, then you win 70k. If you get 1 or more wrong however, you will lose 15,000 points Chasmmi 50000 Glassfairy - 30000 JJ8 - 30000 Wrathofhan - 30000 Movieman89 - 30000 Infernus - 15000 Thatoneguy - 15000 Jake Gittes - 15000 Kayumanggi - 15000 Blankments - 15000 Simionski - 15000 jj99 - 15000 greyghost - 15000 darkelf - 15000 bcf26 - 15000 Exxdee - 150000 Laguy - 15000 Chewy - 15000 Wrath - 2000 Tele - 2000 Damienroc - 2000 Everyone else scores zero 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted September 6, 2016 Author Share Posted September 6, 2016 screw I am tired, work on this tomorrow and Thursday. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 6, 2016 Share Posted September 6, 2016 14 minutes ago, chasmmi said: Wrath of Han loses 1000 points if Star trek falls below 155M PRAYER CIRCLE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...