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[chasmmi]

How about you both lose big points,  just Tele is slightly less big?

[JJ-8]

On 9/1/2016 at 3:19 AM, chasmmi said:

Barring the Shallows increasing about 850% in this next weekend, SOTM 2 is done so:

 

 Money Monster: $28m  HIGHER

Nice Guys: $60m LOWER

Popstar: $25m LOWER / HALF

Me before You: $45m  HIGHER

 

Now you see me 2: $65M  HIGHER (BY 75K)

Free State of Jones: $43M  LOWER / HALF

The Shallows: $28m  HIGHER

The purge: $42m  HIGHER

 

You may choose as many or as few of the above films as you please. For each film you choose, you must select 1 of the following predictions: HIGHER, LOWER, HALF, DOUBLE.

 

SCORING

 

For every correct prediction using either HIGHER or LOWER score 4000 points.

For every correct prediction using either HALF or DOUBLE score 10000 points.

 

For every incorrect prediction using either HIGHER or LOWER score minus 6000 points.

For every incorrect prediction using either HALF or DOUBLE score minus 15000 points.

 

Heyitsmoses: 22000

Narnia: 20000

Infernus: 20000

Dajk: 18000

Kalo: 18000

 

Damien: 16000

24Lost: 14000

thatoneguy: 12000

Dexter: 12000

Exxdee: 12000

 

Tele: 12000

bcf26: 12000

Laguy: 12000 

Empire: 8000

Wrath: 8000

 

Darkelf: 6000

Wrathofhan: 4000

Baumer: 4000

Glassfairy: 4000

JakeGittes: 2000

 

Grey Ghost: 2000

Ed: 2000

chewy: 2000

Movieman: zero

Simionski: minus 4000

 

Chasmmi: minus 8000

Panda: minus 11000

Blankments: Minus 15000

Kayumanggi: minus 17000

JJ8: Minus 18000

 

 

 

give me 0 if no answer ?

[JJ-8]

On 9/1/2016 at 3:42 AM, chasmmi said:

Okay, I am going to do SOTM5 but there will be a couple of * films where the final score may change by 1000 if a film does/doesn't pass the 5M landmark I expect it to by end of game:

 

Here is the deal: You give me and 20,000 of your hard earned points and use them to invest in any of the films that will be shown below. For every 5 million dollars that film makes at the Domestic Box Office by the end of the game, you will make 1000 points.

 

So if a film ends on $79.5M, you will earn 15000 points for that film. If it makes $80.3M you get 16000.

 

This SOTM is actually designed so that players should all make a healthy profit on their investment, the question is how much and what is the correct course of action.

 

You can invest in as many films as you wish so long as you don't spend more than 20,000 points

 

* You cannot invest less than 20,000, if you only invest 15,000 the other 5000 will still be taken so you may as well spend it all.

 

I will allow players to abstain for 2000 points, but I can't see anybody taking that offer as it would been you are not confident in say Finding Dory crawling its way to $100M  for example  

 

Films for Sale:

 

Finding Dory - 20000  480M = 96000

Suicide Squad - 12000 295M* = 59000 (+1000 IF IT PASSES 300M)

Jason Bourne - 10000  150M* = 30000 (+1000 IF IT PASSES 155M)

Independence Day - 8000  100M = 20000

Life of Pets - 8000  355M = 71000

Star Trek Beyond - 7000  150M = 30000

 

Ghostbusters - 6000  125M = 25000

Warcraft - 4000  45M = 9000

Central Intelligence - 4000  125M = 25000

Ice Age - 4000  60M = 12000

BFG - 3000 50M = 10000

Pete's Dragon - 3000  60M = 12000

 

The Conjuring 2 - 3000  100 = 20000

Tarzan - 3000  125M = 25000

Bad Moms - 2000  100M = 20000

Free State of Jones - 2000 = 20M - 4000

Sausage Party - 2000  85M = 17000

Purge - 2000  75M = 15000

 

Now You See Me 2 - 2000  65M = 13000

Lights Out - 2000  65M = 13000

Mike and Dave 2000  45M = 9000

Shallows - 1000  50M* = 10000  (+1000 IF IT DRAGS ITSELF TO 55M)

The Infiltrator - 1000 15M = 3000

Nine Lives - 1000 15M = 3000

 

 

Damienroc: 161000

Chasmmi: 158000

JakeGittes: 154000

Exxdee: 145000

Blankments: 143000

 

Thatoneguy: 139000

Narnia: 139000

Simionski: 138000

WrathofHan: 138000

Chewy: 130000

 

HeyitsMoses: 126000

Wrath: 126000

JJ8: 121000

Darkelf: 116000

Bcf: 116000

 

Tele: 116000

Baumer: 116000

Dajk: 114000

Infernus: 111000

Glassfairy: 104000

 

JJ99: 104000

24Lost: 98000

Kayu: 79000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

holding off this one... there are few expansions that are occuring this weekend that could change things yet... 

[JJ-8]

On 9/1/2016 at 4:09 AM, chasmmi said:

SOTM 7 is below:

 

Finding Dory as of Sunday is on about $286.552M. Independence Day is on about $41.6M.

 

Usually this is the point when I would ask you how high they will go and you get increasing amounts of points depending on how ballsy you want your high prediction to be.

 

Well this time we turn that on it's head. Here the big points will be on the lowest grosses in the list. you are predicting which mark you expect the film to fail to reach. Let's show you the Finding Dory List:

 

Titanic - $658.67M - 2000 / 3000

The Avengers - $623.35M - 3000 / 4000

Goldfinger (ADJ) - $568.85M - 5000 / 7000

The Dark Knight - $534.85M - 8000 /10000

Back to the Future (Adj) - $506.65M - 12000 /15000

Superman (ADJ) - $492.13 - 16000 /20000

Phantom Menace - $474.54M - 20000 /24000

Star Wars - $460.99M- 25000 /30000

E.T - $435.11M - 30000 /35000

 

In this situation, if you bet on Avengers, you will win 3000 points UNLESS Dory's final total outgrosses Avengers, if this happens you will lose 4000 points

 

Below is the list of targets for Independence Day:

 

Spectre - $200.07M - 2000 / 3000

Jurassic Park 3 - $181.17M - 3000 / 4000

Big Daddy - $163.48M - 5000 / 7000

Little Fockers - $148.43M - 8000 /10000

Rocky 4 - $127.87M - 12000 /15000

Green Lantern - $116.60 - 16000 /20000

Driving Miss Daisy - $106.59M - 20000 /24000

Beverly Hills Chihuahua - $94.51M- 25000 /30000

Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - $85.89M - 30000 /35000

 

You are free to go for one question or both questions. If you go for both you are eligible to go for the following bonus question (you do not have to though)

 

1. Will Suicide Squad make more opening weekend than IDR does Total? 10000/5000  YES, VERY MUCH SO

 

Deadline is Thursday at 11:59pm, no abstaining.

 

 

WrathofHan: 38000

JakeGittes: 38000

Infernus: 38000

Panda: 38000

Kayumanggi: 38000

 

Darkelf: 38000

Chewy: 38000

Simionski: 35000

Dajk: 34000

Wrath: 34000

 

JJ99: 34000

Exxdee: 34000

24Lost: 23000

Narniadis: 22000

Baumer: 18000

 

Chasmmi: 15000

Glassfairy: 14000

LAGuy: 14000

JJ8: 12000

bcf: 12000

 

Damienroc: 12000

ThatoneGuy: minus 12000

Movieman: minus 12000

Tele: minus 27000

Blankments: minus 40000

 

 

Failing to answer here will be minus 35000 points as is equal to maximum loss for one question.

HOLD - this could be wrong... i haven't got the energy to check now but FD is @ 479m and even with it's boost i'm not sure it will cross 490m let alone 492m .. does that mean 492 answer is correct ?

 

[JJ-8]

Quick update:

 

Only added Weeks 16 (revised), Week 17 and SOTM 2.  SOTM 5 & 7 not quite complete / correct, so they can be updated with the remainder of the weeklies and SOTMs.

 

 

#	User	Pre- season Entry	GRAND TOTAL	PreSeason Total	SOTM Total	SOTM 2	Weekly's Total	Week 16	Week 17
1	DamienRoc	YES	747000	10000	88000	16000	649000	49000	52000
2	Exxdee	YES	741000	10000	61000	12000	670000	42000	35000
3	darkelf	YES	720000	10000	127000	6000	583000	51000	35000
4	Infernus	YES	712000	10000	211000	20000	491000	32000	35000
5	Jake Gittes	YES	698000	10000	53000	2000	635000	29000	30000
6	Simionski	YES	684000	10000	72000	-4000	602000	38000	49000
7	Wrath	YES	677000	10000	122000	8000	545000	26000	41000
8	Telemachos	YES	652000	10000	116000	12000	526000	49000	31000
9	WrathOfHan	YES	641000	10000	48000	4000	583000	44000	27000
10	Chasmmi	YES	631000	10000	118000	-8000	503000	30000	33000
11	narniadis	YES	625000	10000	65000	20000	550000	38000	37000
12	24Lost	YES	598000	10000	-19000	14000	607000	35000	27000
13	Blank Panther	YES	598000	10000	13000	-15000	575000	27000	41000
14	bcf26	YES	597000	10000	31000	12000	556000	31000	49000
15	glassfairy	YES	563000	10000	92000	4000	461000	32000	37000
16	JJ-8	YES	556000	10000	36000	-18000	510000	16000	42000
17	DAJK	YES	549000	10000	60000	18000	479000	26000	36000
18	kayumanggi	YES	516000	10000	-2000	-17000	508000	0	41000
19	thatoneguy	YES	495000	10000	-24000	12000	509000	19000	34000
20	jj99	YES	491000	10000	-14000	0	495000	24000	43000
21	Movieman89	YES	479000	10000	-18000	0	487000	41000	0
22	grey ghost	YES	474000	10000	76000	2000	388000	26000	32000
23	Chewy	YES	449000	10000	59000	2000	380000	0	0
24	Baumer	YES	380000	10000	-27000	0	397000	0	0
25	laguy03	YES	287000	10000	8000	12000	269000	0	0
26	#ED	YES	240000	10000	11000	2000	219000	0	0
27	Kalo	YES	183000	10000	30000	18000	143000	0	0
28	Cmasterclay	YES	134000	10000	2000	0	122000	0	0
29	The Panda	YES	132000	10000	8000	-11000	114000	0	0
30	Jayhawk	YES	94000	10000	12000	0	72000	0	0
31	HeyItsMoses	YES	92000	10000	-15000	22000	97000	0	0
32	Dexter of Surburbia	YES	82000	10000	8000	12000	64000	0	0
33	Empire	YES	75000	10000	-5000	8000	70000	0	0
34	Alpha	YES	6000	10000	-4000	0	0	0	0
35	Films	YES	6000	10000	-4000	0	0	0	0
36	firedeep	YES	6000	10000	-4000	0	0	0	0
37	Mike Hunt	YES	6000	10000	-4000	0	0	0	0
38	Treetrunk Special	YES	6000	10000	-4000	0	0	0	0
39	Maxmoser3	YES	-4000	0	-4000	0	0	0	0

[chasmmi]

46 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

 

give me 0 if no answer ?

 

yeah zero on that one.

 

Also SOTM7 is fixed

[Infernus]

Dammit! If only I had not missed those two weeks...

Really happy with my SOTM score though. Almost double the second highest scoring guy's points with only 3 more remaining of which I have the highest in one and am top 3 in another.

Totally reverse of the Winter Game where I got second highest points in the weeklies (how do you do it Exxdee?) and a really good preseason score and just missed the overall Top 5 due to a negative overall SOTM score. This time its the negative preseason score that will screw me.

Edited September 2, 2016 by Infernus

[That One Girl]

Tfw I'm almost outside of the top 20  

[JJ-8]

On 1 September 2016 at 4:26 AM, chasmmi said:

 

It's the madness of this game. I somehow find myself having 65k resting on Suicide Squad reaching 300M

And it gets better. DHD's estimates are out. 

DHD has SS hitting 300.2m after the the 4 day weekend.... . It's going down to the wire. 

[chasmmi]

15 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

And it gets better. DHD's estimates are out. 

DHD has SS hitting 300.2m after the the 4 day weekend.... . It's going down to the wire. 

 

I hate everything

[BadAtGender]

I can't even remember which side of 300 I want it to fall on. 

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

If SS hits 300M I'll get 30k points since I also said Bad Moms will hit the top 15; if it doesn't, I'll lost 15k. So yeah, it better hit 300M  

[narniadis]

if it grosses more than 300.0 I lose points on the gross score.... *sigh* same with Trek - it only needed 155m for me to be safe.....

[JJ-8]

1 hour ago, narniadis said:

if it grosses more than 300.0 I lose points on the gross score.... *sigh* same with Trek - it only needed 155m for me to be safe.....

 

Looking at estimates, I have by game end,

 

STB reaching about 154.5m 

jason Bourne reaching about 155.9m. 

 

JB should just scrape by XMen this weekend changing a preseason question answer in the process. But it's very tight.... (Means there is only 2 CBM's in the top 5.

 

there is only 1 other preseason that isn't answered yet and it's Q20 - option 1 & 4 were essentially a dead heat before the weekend started. (If u selected option 3 u r already getting an abstain btw)

[kayumanggi]

WB projecting 20% SUN-to-MON drop for #SuicideSquad on #LaborDay. If estimate holds, it will smash $300M domestic tonight.

— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) September 5, 2016

[JJ-8]

Hmm interesting end....

Actuals could have impact if these estimates don't hold...

SS 300.2m

JB 156.1m 

xmen 155.4m (final/actual)

STB 155.04m

 

 

[chasmmi]

 

SOTM5 updated after estimates, still not set though due to Suicide Squad and Star trek

 

 

I will allow players to abstain for 2000 points, but I can't see anybody taking that offer as it would been you are not confident in say Finding Dory crawling its way to $100M  for example  

 

Films for Sale:

 

Finding Dory - 20000  480M = 96000

Suicide Squad - 12000 300M* = 60000 *

Jason Bourne - 10000  155M* = 30000

Independence Day - 8000  100M = 20000

Life of Pets - 8000  355M = 71000

Star Trek Beyond - 7000  155M = 30000*

 

Ghostbusters - 6000  125M = 25000

Warcraft - 4000  45M = 9000

Central Intelligence - 4000  125M = 25000

Ice Age - 4000  60M = 12000

BFG - 3000 50M = 10000

Pete's Dragon - 3000  65M = 12000

 

The Conjuring 2 - 3000  100 = 20000

Tarzan - 3000  125M = 25000

Bad Moms - 2000  100M = 20000

Free State of Jones - 2000 = 20M - 4000

Sausage Party - 2000  85M = 17000

Purge - 2000  75M = 15000

 

Now You See Me 2 - 2000  65M = 13000

Lights Out - 2000  65M = 13000

Mike and Dave 2000  45M = 9000

Shallows - 1000  50M* = 10000 

The Infiltrator - 1000 15M = 3000

Nine Lives - 1000 15M = 3000

 

 

Damienroc: 161000

Chasmmi: 158000

JakeGittes: 154000

Exxdee: 146000

Blankments: 143000

 

Thatoneguy: 139000

Narnia: 139000

Simionski: 138000

WrathofHan: 139000

Movieman 131000

Chewy: 131000

 

HeyitsMoses: 126000

Wrath: 126000

JJ8: 121000

Darkelf: 116000

Bcf: 116000

 

Tele: 116000

Baumer: 116000

Dajk: 115000

Infernus: 111000

Glassfairy: 105000

 

JJ99: 106000

24Lost: 98000

Kayu: 80000

 

 

Wrath of Han loses 1000 points if Star trek falls below 155M, , the people in red losee 1000 if Suicide Squad does not cross 300M.

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

SOTM9 - If Suicide Squad falls below 300M then everyone scores minus 15000 apart from the abstainers

 

I am going to give a list of 6 possible but unlikely things that could happen during the course of this game:

 

1. Secret Life of Pets comes 2nd in the Domestic top 15 of the summer. NO

2. Alice In Wonderland 2 makes the Domestic top 15 NO

3. Sausage Party makes over $80M YES

4. Ice Age fails to make $400M Worldwide YES

5. Suicide Squad makes $300M Domestic  YES (ESTIMATED)

6. Bad Moms makes the Domestic Top 15 YES

 

* Pick 1 event to happen and it does - 15,000 points

* Pick 2 events to happen and they do - 30,000 points

* Pick 3 events to happen and they do - 50,000 points

* Pick 4 events to happen and they do - 75,000 points

* Pick 5 events to happen and they do - 100,000 points

* Pick 6 events to happen and they do - 150,000 points

 

You will get a bonus of 20,000 points, if you correct pick every scenario that occurs. So if you chose say number 2, 4 and 6 and 2,3,4 and 6 occurred, you win 50k. However, if only 2,4, and 6 happen, then you win 70k.

 

If you get 1 or more wrong however, you will lose 15,000 points

 

Chasmmi 50000

Glassfairy - 30000

JJ8 - 30000

Wrathofhan - 30000

Movieman89 - 30000

 

Infernus - 15000

Thatoneguy - 15000

Jake Gittes - 15000
Kayumanggi - 15000

Blankments - 15000

 

Simionski - 15000

jj99 - 15000

greyghost - 15000

darkelf - 15000

bcf26 - 15000

 

Exxdee - 150000

Laguy - 15000

Chewy - 15000

 

Wrath - 2000

Tele - 2000

Damienroc - 2000

 

Everyone else scores zero

[chasmmi]

screw I am tired, work on this tomorrow and Thursday.

[WrathOfHan]

14 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

 

Wrath of Han loses 1000 points if Star trek falls below 155M

 

 

 

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