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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Hard to gauge TGW's opening with a rare 6pm Thursday. Friday may be deflated a bit.

one way to look at it would be to combine MN and OD PS for CA3 and combine Thu and Fri for TGW. that would put it 31% behind CA3's 199m OD with MN. However Fridays PS may be lagging a bit for TGW since its not fully an OD. I say its trailing 25% behind CA3. 150m for th/fr

 

    CA3       TGW    
PS at 1am MN PS OD PS OD PS% inc   TH 6pm PS PS% inc OD PS PS% inc
Th 0.8 2.4     1.6   2.0  
Fr 1.2 3.6 50.0%   2.0 29.0% 2.4 20.0%
Sa 1.8 6.2 72.2%   2.5 25.0% 2.9 20.8%
Su 2.1 8.1 30.6%          
Mo 2.8 11.9 46.9%          
Tu 3.5 16.3 37.0%          
We 4.8 25.4 55.8%          
Th 6.4 37.9 49.2%          
Fr(OD) 18.1 65.8 73.6%          
                 
  CA3 OD 05/06/16     TGW OD 12/16/16    
  MN 18     MN      
  OD 181     OD      
  OW 625     OW      
  Gross 1245     Gross      
                 
  OD/PS muti 2.75     OD/PS muti      
  OW/MN multi 34.53     OW/MN multi      
  OW/OD multi 3.45     OW/OD multi      
  Tot/OD multi 6.88     Tot/OD multi      
  Tot/OW multi 1.99     Tot/OW multi      

 

 

 

 

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If TGW follows CA3 for Thursday, 40m will happen.  OD PS are probably deflated due to 7pm Thu shows. If it fell in line with CA3 it would have just a 65m OD. a second day of a run usually sees a 100%+ increase in PS the day before. We could see PS get to 30-35m at 1am Fri morn and the multi at 2.5-3. 75-100m OD. An OW somewhere in the 300M's

    CA3       TGW    
PS at 1am MN PS OD PS OD PS% inc   TH 7pm PS PS% inc OD PS PS% inc
Th 0.8 2.4     1.6   2.0  
Fr 1.2 3.6 50.0%   2.0 29.0% 2.4 20.0%
Sa 1.8 6.2 72.2%   2.5 25.0% 2.9 20.8%
Su 2.1 8.1 30.6%   3.1 24.0% 3.5 20.7%
Mo 2.8 11.9 46.9%   4.2 35.5% 4.5 28.6%
Tu 3.5 16.3 37.0%   5.8 38.1% 6.0 33.3%
We 4.8 25.4 55.8%   8.7 50.0% 9.1 51.7%
Th 6.4 37.9 49.2%   14.3 64.4% 13.9 52.7%
Fr(OD) 18.1 65.8 73.6%          
                 
  CA3 OD 05/06/16     TGW OD 12/16/16    
  MN 18     MN      
  OD 181     OD      
  OW 625     OW      
  Gross 1245     Gross      
                 
  OD/PS muti 2.75     OD/PS muti      
  OW/MN multi 34.53     OW/MN multi      
  OW/OD multi 3.45     OW/OD multi      
  Tot/OD multi 6.88     Tot/OD multi      
  Tot/OW multi 1.99     Tot/OW multi      

 

 

 

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