Mrstickball Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 3 hours ago, feasby007 said: Based on this, although it's very far out, do you think FF8 has the chance to overtake FF7? No one knows. Pre-sale tracking is kind of new (maybe a year old), and movies have huge divergences on how they perform. Kong had pretty good staying power on its opening, whereas WarCraft had a monstrous opening (like FF8) but utterly tanked its pace through the rest of pre-sales. It had a good opening, but abysmal legs and really didn't make a huge amount of money. I'd check back in 3-4 days.. I imagine there'll be a lot more info. The best comps are going to be Kong, WarCraft, and probably Journey To the West, as well as Resident Evil: The Final Chapter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 I think it gets to 4.5m in PS by Sunday night. If so 375m OD. 1.22B OW 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 Pre-Orders looking good.. Am I reading this right? Midnight: 0.59m Fri: 1.97m Sat: 1.01m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted March 31, 2017 Share Posted March 31, 2017 4 hours ago, Mrstickball said: WarCraft had a monstrous opening (like FF8) but utterly tanked its pace through the rest of pre-sales. It had a good opening, but abysmal legs and really didn't make a huge amount of money. Warcraft had much worse legs than comparable movies with huge openings, but I'd say its final gross was still pretty impressive. Almost 1.5B yuan and #10 film overall in Chinese Box Office. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 12 hours ago, feasby007 said: Based on this, although it's very far out, do you think FF8 has the chance to overtake FF7? I'm still thinking OD above 350m for a 1.1-1.2b OW. WC and RE6 were gamer front loads doing 1.6x and 1.8x OW. Average legs is 2x OW. 2.2-2.3 can happen. But it will need a 9+ rating, not too much competition and hold screens for the May day Holiday. FF7 dropped just -30% in the first weekend of may to get close to $400m. FF7 total 2.426B/ $390m. OD Sunday was 346m. XR was 6.21 and is now 6.89. FF8 needs 10% more to match Ff7 in $$. FF8 should follow Kong and WC today and tomorrow with 50% increases to 3 the 4.5m. Then follow Kong with 22.5% increases for 7 days to keep on track for a high 300s OD. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 1, 2017 Author Share Posted April 1, 2017 9 hours ago, Mrstickball said: Pre-Orders looking good.. Am I reading this right? Midnight: 0.59m Fri: 1.97m Sat: 1.01m 9 hours later Midnight: 0.74m Fri: 2.29m Sat: 1.22m 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 (edited) 1200 2.74m it's going more than double today. Acting differently than both Kong and WC. Let it roll up through tomorrow and see what Mondays percentage bump is. Kong bumps were 22.5% Monday thru Sunday. Then 30, 40, 50, 75% Mon thru thursday. WC averaged 15% thru 3 days out then bumped 30 and 50% it's last 2 days . GitS going to do above 50m on OD Edited April 1, 2017 by POTUS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 20 hours ago, Olive said: [13 days+ 5 hours] Kong: skull island midnights - 143k OD - 854k The Fate of the Furious midnights : 304k OD:1.08M [12 days+ 8 hours] The Fate of the Furious Midnight: 1.20m Fri: 3.63m Sat: 2.18m 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 (edited) F8 needs 115-120m presales to guarantee 350m friday. I dont see it having 4x multi like other movies. At 5pm [ 12 days + 7 hours ] its at 3.73m for its OD. Interesting thing is it already has almost 36K shows allotted. I am thinking it could hit 150K by release date. It should hit 4m before EOD and 10-15m by the time holidays end. At gewara it has sold 6247 tickets. I think F7 sold 477k tickets by release date. SW7 sold even more. Can F8 sell 1m tickets by release date. Edited April 1, 2017 by keysersoze123 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 [12 days+ 5 hours] The Fate of the Furious Midnight: 1.41m Fri: 4.13m Sat: 2.23m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 Will it hit 10m before end of tomorrow !!!! it more than doubled yesterday's number. now its at 4.63m with 2 more hours to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 Fri 5M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 14 hours ago, POTUS said: I'm still thinking OD above 350m for a 1.1-1.2b OW. WC and RE6 were gamer front loads doing 1.6x and 1.8x OW. Average legs is 2x OW. 2.2-2.3 can happen. But it will need a 9+ rating, not too much competition and hold screens for the May day Holiday. FF7 dropped just -30% in the first weekend of may to get close to $400m. FF7 total 2.426B/ $390m. OD Sunday was 346m. XR was 6.21 and is now 6.89. FF8 needs 10% more to match Ff7 in $$. FF8 should follow Kong and WC today and tomorrow with 50% increases to 3 the 4.5m. Then follow Kong with 22.5% increases for 7 days to keep on track for a high 300s OD. you were way off. But this will be presales driven. I can even see 200m presales. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 How quickly after midnight does it update? Instantaneous... 5m is happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: you were way off. But this will be presales driven. I can even see 200m presales. To be fair, this is unprecedented in terms of what can or will happen. No one knows how this is going to add up before launch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 8 minutes ago, Mrstickball said: To be fair, this is unprecedented in terms of what can or will happen. No one knows how this is going to add up before launch. True. This is unprecedented. F7 was surprising. This is sequel to uber blockbuster. I guess Only TF5 will come close. Most interesting is it already has 42K shows !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted April 1, 2017 Share Posted April 1, 2017 [12 Days + 0 Hours] The Fate of the Furious Midnight: 1.79m Fri: 5.04m Sat: 2.53m 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: you were way off. But this will be presales driven. I can even see 200m presales. Gamers have the lowest multi. WC blew up faster and had the lowest PS multi in the past year at 2.6. RE6 was 2.9 as PS has changed and the multi has increased across the board. FF8s multi will not be smaller than RE6. That would be 580m OD FF8 is doing something a bit different than both WC and Kong in it's initial rollout. It will slow to 15-22% per day soon as WC and Kong did. Monday and Tuesday will show us a run rate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: True. This is unprecedented. F7 was surprising. This is sequel to uber blockbuster. I guess Only TF5 will come close. Most interesting is it already has 42K shows !!! They gave Kong 45% 114k I imagine this will be at least 55% 150k FF7 was 62.5% 86.7k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisman0606 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 @POTUS Will F8 with Vinnie set an opening three day weekend record? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
