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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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4 hours ago, Cookson said:

Is that a strong early number for Kong?

At 700k now. That's a good start, BatB came out of the gate like this but slowed.  Need a couple of days to track the pace. Could be 100m OD or 200m. Got to see the daily % bumps. 

 

BatB still just going up 25% per day.

Still thinking 80-100m OD.  $80-100M total depending on rating.

 

For the first time in a year, this month has a chance to be up 20% YoY if Kong breaks out.

HLWD doing well this year. CNY movies were down 10% YoY. HLWD picking up the slack.

Edited by POTUS
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3 hours ago, fmpro said:

That is one strong early number for Kong...

 

Maybe tracking should be compared to RE6

We'll BatB ramped over 1m fast as well but then bumped just 25% daily thru today to 2.5m. RE6 kept bumping 40-50% to get to 6m by Friday night and continued at that pace.

If KK bumps to 1.3m Su 1am. Mo 1.85. Tu 2.6 we 3.55. Then we gotta 200m OD like RE6

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6 minutes ago, POTUS said:

We'll BatB ramped over 1m fast as well but then bumped just 25% daily thru today to 2.5m. RE6 kept bumping 40-50% to get to 6m by Friday night and continued at that pace.

If KK bumps to 1.3m Su 1am. Mo 1.85. Tu 2.6 we 3.55. Then we gotta 200m OD like RE6

 

I will be watchong it closely then :)  thanks as always for analyzing the hell out of Chinese BO...

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18 hours ago, POTUS said:

We'll BatB ramped over 1m fast as well but then bumped just 25% daily thru today to 2.5m. RE6 kept bumping 40-50% to get to 6m by Friday night and continued at that pace.

If KK bumps to 1.3m Su 1am. Mo 1.85. Tu 2.6 we 3.55. Then we gotta 200m OD like RE6

 

KK is almost at 1,3 now(1,25) And its saturday 2,30pm. Very good sign

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5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

200m OD for KOng would be crazy. That would ensure it will be bigger than Guardians 2 and other SH/SW movies for the year.

Yup most SH getting wacked by XXX, RE, Terminator and now maybe kong.

Kong PS pacing to 1.4m+ by tonight,

50% increase. Not slowing down. A couple more days of this and 200m+ OD likely

Edited by POTUS
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BATB[5 days+5.5 hours]

midnights  -  402k

OD  -  3.14m

 

Doctor Strange[5 days+4 hours]

midnights  -  588k

OD  -  2.26m

 

Rogue One[5 days+5.5 hours]

midnights  -  552k

OD  -  2.53m

 

Fantastic Beasts[5 days+5.5 hours]

midnights  -  455k

OD  -  2.49m

 

The Jungle Book[4 days]

OD  -  2.48m

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3 hours ago, Cookson said:

Is there a possible reason for the slowdown we don't know of?

Jumping over 1m in a day or two is common for movies opening over 60m. PS started 2 weeks prior. Most come out 8-10 days before OD and have a steady ramp up. RE  kept it's pace but only so many movies open to 200m.  

W3 started late at 6 days out and increased at 100% per day.

It's a combo on the start date and the hype.

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On 2017/3/11 at 11:16 AM, keysersoze123 said:

200m OD for KOng would be crazy. That would ensure it will be bigger than Guardians 2 and other SH/SW movies for the year.

That won't surprise me at all.

SH Movies are barely King size films in China.They are stable.Most of them can reach 600~800M.1bn~1.2bn is on the roof.AoU hit 1.4bn.SH film has limits.Not too low but also not huge one.

Edited by bangbingchan
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