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Shrugged

Summer 2016 Domestic OW Boxoffice Predictions

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Who will rule with the biggest domestic opening weekends this summer?
Whats your prediction for a top 10 from May 1st to the end of August 2016?

Films that open mid week, you'd just take into account their 3 highest grossing days.
 
We have...
 
May 6 
- Captain America: Civil War

 

May 20

- Angry Birds

- Neighbors 2

 

May 27 
- X-Men: Apocalypse 
- Alice Through the Looking Glass

 

June 3 
- TMNT: Out of the Shadows      
- Popstar     
- Me Before You

 

June 10 
- Conjuring 2
- Now You See Me 2
- Warcraft

 

June 17
- Finding Dory
- Central Intelligence

 

June 24
- Independence Day: Resurgence 
- The Shallows

 

July 1
- The BFG
- The Purge: Election Year
- The Legend of Tarzan


July 8
- The Secret of Life of Pets
- Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates

 

July 15
- Ghostbusters 

 

July 22
- Star Trek Beyond
- Ice Age: Collision Course


July 29
- Jason Bourne

 

August 5
- Suicide Squad

 

August 12
- Petes Dragon
- Sausage Party

 

August 26
- Mechanic: Resurrection
- Don't Breathe

 
 
An example list would be last summers top to bottom money makers opening weekend.

1.    Jurassic World - 207.4 (not many saw this coming, well at least the #1 spot) 
2.    Avengers: Age of Ultron - 192
3.    Minions - 115.7
4.    Inside Out - 90
5.    Pitch Perfect 2 - 69
6.    Straight Outta Compton - 60 (Or this!) 
7.    Ant-Man - 57
8.    Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - 55.5
9.    San Andreas - 54.5
10.  Mad Max - 45

 

What will this summers surprise hits be?
I'd love to hear your theories! :)
 

Edited by Shrugged
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For everything you listed 3-day.

 

CW - $178M

 

X Men - $98M

Alice - $60M

 

TMNT - $61M

Popstar - $8M

MBY - $21M

 

Warcraft - $38M

NYSM2 - $27M

Conjuring 2 - $54M

 

Dory - $140M

Central Intelligence - $39M

 

id4 - $97M

 

Tarzan - $42M

Purge - $23M

BFG - $30M

 

Mike and Dave - $18M

Pets - $66M

 

Ghostbusters - $40M

 

Star Trek - $59M

Ice Age - $38M

 

Bourne - $72M

 

Suicide Squad - $108M

 

Pete's Dragon - $29M

Ben Hur - $8M

Sausage Party - $17M

 

Mechanic - $9M

Dont Breathe - $6M

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May 6 
Captain America: Civil War: $190m

 

May 27 
X-Men: Apocalypse: $105m
Alice Through the Looking Glass: $65m

 

June 3 
TMNT: Out of the Shadows: $61m
Popstar: $9m
Me Before You: $18m

 

June 10 
Conjuring 2: $45m
Now You See Me 2: $38m
Warcraft: $45m

 

June 17
Finding Dory: $85m
Central Intelligence: $33m

 

June 24
Independence Day: Resurgence: $68m
The Shallows: $9m

 

July 1
The BFG: $40m
The Purge: Election Year: $33m
The Legend of Tarzan: $40m


July 8
The Secret of Life of Pets: $55m
Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates: $11m

 

July 15
Ghostbusters: $48m

 

July 22
Star Trek Beyond: $60m
Ice Age: Collision Course: $38m


July 29
Jason Bourne: $55m

 

August 5
Suicide Squad: $125m

 

August 12
Petes Dragon: $44m
Sausage Party: $38m

 

August 26
Mechanic: Resurrection: $6m
Don't Breathe: $5m

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May 6 
- Captain America: Civil War - 200m+

 

May 27 
- X-Men: Apocalypse Under ~80m
- Alice Through the Looking Glass ~60m

 

June 3 
- TMNT: Out of the Shadows  ~50m
- Popstar   ~15-20m
- Me Before You ~15-20m

 

June 10 
- Conjuring 2 ~30m
- Now You See Me 2 ~15m
- Warcraft ~50m

 

June 17
- Finding Dory ~90m
- Central Intelligence ~15m

 

June 24
- Independence Day: Resurgence ~60m
- The Shallows ~20m

 

July 1
- The BFG ~50-60m
- The Purge: Election Year ~10-20m
- The Legend of Tarzan ~30m


July 8
- The Secret of Life of Pets ~20m
- Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates ~15m

 

July 15
- Ghostbusters ~35-50m

 

July 22
- Star Trek Beyond ~50m
- Ice Age: Collision Course ~50m


July 29
- Jason Bourne ~70m

 

August 5
- Suicide Squad ~60-80m

 

August 12
- Petes Dragon ~50-60m
- Sausage Party ~40m

 

August 26
- Mechanic: Resurrection ~10m
- Don't Breathe ~10m

Edited by Nosferatu Zodd
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May 6 
- Captain America: Civil War - $180m

 

May 20

- Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising $45m

- Angry Birds $49m

 

May 27 
- X-Men: Apocalypse  - $85m
- Alice Through the Looking Glass ~65m

 

June 3 
TMNT: Out of the Shadows  ~53m
- Popstar   ~$10m
- Me Before You $17m

 

June 10 
- Conjuring 2 ~34m
- Now You See Me 2 ~15m
- Warcraft ~50m

 

June 17
- Finding Dory ~120m
- Central Intelligence ~20m

 

June 24
- Independence Day: Resurgence ~80m
- The Shallows ~20m

 

July 1
- The BFG ~37m
- The Purge: Election Year ~19m
- The Legend of Tarzan ~44m


July 8
- The Secret of Life of Pets ~57m
- Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates ~21m

 

July 15
- Ghostbusters ~29m

 

July 22
- Star Trek Beyond $60m

- Ice Age: Collision Course $37m


July 29
- Jason Bourne - $90m

 

August 5
- Suicide Squad $110m

 

August 12
- Petes Dragon - $45m
- Sausage Party ~29m

 

August 26
- Mechanic: Resurrection ~12m
- Don't Breathe ~10m

 

Edited by Kalo
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My first predictions ever.. :D
 

May 6 
- Captain America: Civil War - 210m

 

May 27 
- X-Men: Apocalypse 75m
- Alice Through the Looking Glass 55m

 

June 3 
- TMNT: Out of the Shadows  45m
- Popstar  11m
- Me Before You 9m

 

June 10 
- Conjuring 2 33m
- Now You See Me 2 28m
- Warcraft 31m

 

June 17
- Finding Dory 120m
- Central Intelligence 23m

 

June 24
- Independence Day: Resurgence 98m
- The Shallows 18m

 

July 1
- The BFG 21m
- The Purge: Election Year 19m
- The Legend of Tarzan 35m


July 8
- The Secret of Life of Pets 43m
- Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates 15m

 

July 15
- Ghostbusters 44m

 

July 22
- Star Trek Beyond 55m
- Ice Age: Collision Course 40m


July 29
- Jason Bourne 63m

 

August 5
- Suicide Squad 80m

 

August 12
- Petes Dragon 30m
- Sausage Party 42m

August 26
- Mechanic: Resurrection 6m
- Don't Breathe 7m

Edited by trancedanne
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Hmmm I'm curious why Jason Bourne is projected so high? The series has been on such a slope since the original. The last Damon leading film opening to $27.

 

The lists so far...

 

DAJK

 

1. Civil War -   178
2. Finding Dory -  140
3. Suicide Squad -  108
4. X-men -   98
5. IDR -   97
6. Bourne -   72
7. Pets -   66
8. TMNT 2 -   61
9. Alice -   60
10. Star Trek -  59

 

Belakor

 

1. Civil War - 190
2. Suicide Squad -  125
3. X-men -   105
4. Finding Dory -  85
5. IDR -   68
6. Alice -   65
7. TMNT 2 -   61
8. Star Trek-   60
9. Bourne -   55
10. Pets -   55

 

Nosferatu Zodd
 
1. Civil War -   200+
2. Finding Dory -  80
3. X-men -   80
4. Suicide Squad -  80
5. Alice -   60
6. IDR -   60
7. Petes Dragon -  60
8. TMNT 2 -   50
9. Warcraft -   50
10. Ice Age -   50

 

Kalo

 

1. Civil War -   180
2. Finding Dory - 120
3. Suicide Squad -  110
4. Jason Bourne -  90
5. X-Men -   85
6. IDR -   80
7. Alice -   65
8. Star Trek -   60
9. Pets -   57
10. TMNT -   53

 

Trancedanne

 

1. Civil War -   210
2. Finding Dory -  120
3. IDR -   98
4. Suicide Squag -  80
5. X-men -   75
6. Jason Bourne -  63
7. Alice -   55
8. Star Trek -   55
9. TMNT -   45
10. Pets -   43

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May 6:

 

Captain America Civil War: 180M

 

May 13:

 

Money Monster: 10M

The Darkness: 7M

 

May 20:

 

Angry Birds: 30M

Neighbors 2: 35M
The Nice Guys: 20M

 

May 27:

Alice: 40M

X-Men: 85M

 

Jun 2:

 

Bye Bye Man: 10M

Me Before You: 10M

Popstar: 12M

TMNT: 55M

 

Jun 10:

 

Conjuring: 50M

Now You See Me: 25M
Warcraft: 25M

 

Jun 17:

 

Central Intelligence: 35M

Finding Dory: 130M

 

Jun 24:

 

Free State of Jones: 15M

Independence Day: 80M

The Shallows: 12M

 

Jul 1:

 

BFG: 30M

The Purge: 35M

Tarzan: 30M

 

Jul 8:

 

Mike and Dave: 10M

Pets: 75M

 

Jul 15:

Ghostbusters: 40M

The Infiltrator: 8M

 

Jul 22:

 

Ice Age: 35M

Lights Out: 25M

Star Trek: 65M

 

Jul 29:

 

Bad Moms: 15M

Jason Bourne: 80M

 

Aug 6:

 

The Founder: 10M

Nine Lives: 15M

Suicide Squad: 110M

 

Aug 13:

 

Florence Foster Jenkins: 10M

Pete's Dragon: 35M

Sausage Party: 45M

Spectral: 10M

 

Aug 20:

 

Ben Hur: 10M

Kubo: 17M

The Space Between Us: 20M

War Dogs: 30M

 

Aug 27:

 

Don't Breathe: 12M

Hands of Stone: 10M

Mechanic: 5M

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8 hours ago, Nosferatu Zodd said:

May 6 
- Captain America: Civil War - 200m+

 

May 27 
- X-Men: Apocalypse Under ~80m
- Alice Through the Looking Glass ~60m

 

June 3 
- TMNT: Out of the Shadows  ~50m
- Popstar   ~15-20m
- Me Before You ~15-20m

 

June 10 
- Conjuring 2 ~30m
- Now You See Me 2 ~15m
- Warcraft ~50m

 

June 17
- Finding Dory ~90m
- Central Intelligence ~15m

 

June 24
- Independence Day: Resurgence ~60m
- The Shallows ~20m

 

July 1
- The BFG ~50-60m
- The Purge: Election Year ~10-20m
- The Legend of Tarzan ~30m


July 8
- The Secret of Life of Pets ~20m
- Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates ~15m

 

July 15
- Ghostbusters ~35-50m

 

July 22
- Star Trek Beyond ~50m
- Ice Age: Collision Course ~50m


July 29
- Jason Bourne ~70m

 

August 5
- Suicide Squad ~60-80m

 

August 12
- Petes Dragon ~50-60m
- Sausage Party ~40m

 

August 26
- Mechanic: Resurrection ~10m
- Don't Breathe ~10m

20m for Pets? Lol 

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1 hour ago, marveldcfox said:

^ clearly you missed The Martian starring Matt Damon.

 

Would you put it in Mission Impossible range then? 55.5 last year. Some are saying 60-70+

 

I'm also curious to see why people believe Pets will be so successful over Angry Birds (OW-wise) I work with kids and they love talking about the trailer for Angry Birds, seems to really connect with them.

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why don't you have Angry Birds and Neighbors 2 in the line up? both will almost certainly do over $100m.

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2 hours ago, Shrugged said:

Hmmm I'm curious why Jason Bourne is projected so high? The series has been on such a slope since the original. The last Damon leading film opening to $27.

 

Um, not sure where you got that info from.. the last Bourne film didn't star Matt Damon, the last one that did opened to $69m, and broke the August opening weekend record at the time. and is one of the highest acclaimed action films of all time. This is a reunion of Damon and Paul Greengrass. And with Damon coming hot off the success of The Martian. and The Bourne Ultimatum made nearly $290m adjusted to inflation. 

Edited by Kalo
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5 minutes ago, Kalo said:

 

Um, not sure where you got that info from.. the last Bourne film didn't star Matt Damon, the last one that did opened to $69m, and broke the August opening weekend record at the time. and is one of the highest acclaimed action films of all time. This is a reunion of Damon and Paul Greengrass. And with Damon coming hot off the success of The Martian. and The Bourne Ultimatum made nearly $290m adjusted to inflation. 

 

You know what? I was looking at the series on box office mojo and I read the list backwards! 

Identity = 27 / Supremacy = 52 / Ultimatum = 69

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