Chasmmi's Winter Game | In a big shock | Wrath & The old man (Tele) crash the party stealing the win from Jake Gittes.... DamienRoc crashed and burned.....

[Wrath]

Happy Birthday!

[chasmmi]

I am older and wiser and it shows in this SOTM:

 

Also will nudge JJ8 to put up an opening standings table soon and I will nudge myself to mark the last couple of weekends either in 24 or 48 hours time. 

 

[JJ-8]

i will do an opening standings table once you do some more scoring... it's coming folks!

 

oh and a little plug.... 

 

2017 Fantasy Box Office Game is ready to rock and roll....  come sign up!

 

 

[chasmmi]

1. Will Dr Strange open to more than $75M? YES

2. Will Dr Strange open to more than $85M? 2000 YES 

3. Will Dr Strange open to more than $95M? NO

4. Will Trolls open to more than $30M? YES

5. Will Trolls open to more than $37.5M? 3000 YES

6. Will Trolls open to more than $45M?  YES

 

7. Will Hacksaw Ridge open to more than $10M?  YES 

8. Will HAcksaw Ridge open to more than $15M? 2000 YES

9. Will Hacksaw Ridge open to more than $20M?  NO 

10. Will Dr. Strange's Pure Weekend (Sat and Sun only) gross be more than the combined 3 day weekend gross of Trolls and Hacksaw? 3000 NO 

11. Will the three main new entries combine to more than $125M? 3000  YES

12. Will Madea stay above Inferno?  YES

 

13. Will the Accountant cross $70M domestic by the end of the weekend? YES

14. Will Dr Strange be the highest grossing total Domestic gross in the top 16?   2000 YES 

15. Will Ouija have a Saturday gross above $1M? YES

16. Will Girl on the Train stay above Miss Peregrine? $3000 YES

17. Will Storks cross $70M domestic ON Friday? NO 

18. Will Jack Reacher remain in the top 6?  NO

 

19. Will The Joneses have a Saturday increase above 40%?  YES

20. Will at least 2 films fail to increase 100% on Friday? 2000 YES

21. Will Moonlight enter the top 12? YES

22. Will Trolls' PTA be closer to Dr Strange or Hacksaw Ridge's PTA? 3000 HACKSAW

23. Will Loving have a PTA above $6,500? YES

24. Will Ai Di Mushka Hai have a higher Sunday PTA than Madea?  NO

 

25. Will The Handmaiden stay above Suicide Squad?  YES

26. Will Mag 7 stay above Middle School?  YES

27. Will any film drop over 1000 screens and remain in the top 10? 2000  YES

28. Will Dr. Strange's Actual Weekend total go up from the final BOM.com Estimates? 3000  YES

29. Will Deepwater Horizon cross $60M domestic by Saturday? NO

30. Now that I have put the idea in your head, will you be able to hear anything other than Hugh Laurie's Dr House when you go see Dr. Strange now?  IT LIVES WITH ME NOW

 

Bonus:

 

18/30 2000

19/30 3000

20/30 4000

21/30 5000

22/30 7000

23/30 9000

24/30 12000

25/30 15000

26/30 18000

27/30 21000

28/30 25000

29/30 30000

30/30 40000

 

Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000,  2.5% 9000, 1% 12000)

 

1. Predict Dr.  Strange's OW. $85.06M

2. Predict Trolls' Saturday Gross $20.16M

3. Predict Hacksaw Ridge's Sunday Gross.  $3.95M

4. Predict the top 3 films' combined 3 day gross. $146.82M

5. Predict Inferno's Weekend percentage drop 58.5%

 

 

Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions:

 

3.  HACKSAW

6. ACCOUNTANT

8. OUIJA

10.  PEREGUINE

13. STORKS

17. SULLY

 

3/6 2000 points

4/6 5000 points

5/6 8000 points

6/6 13000 points

[chasmmi]

Week 3 Scores:

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
kayumanggi	56000		18000	74000
Exxdee	58000		13000	71000
blankments	45000	9000	13000	67000
Jakegittes	54000		13000	67000
JJ8	34000	24000	8000	66000
wrathofhan	40000		25000	65000
spaghetti	50000		13000	63000
cooleric	38000		18000	56000
bcf26	42000		13000	55000
chasmmi	37000	9000	8000	54000
chewy	41000		13000	54000
tele	41000		13000	54000
damienroc	37000	9000	8000	54000
dajk	47000		4000	51000
That one guy	39000		8000	47000
fancyarcher	43000		4000	47000
greyghost	43000		4000	47000
movieman	34000		8000	42000
wrath	33000		8000	41000
darkelf	33000		8000	41000
glassfairy	33000		4000	37000
sadskidz	22000		4000	26000

[That One Girl]

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[chasmmi]

Week 4 Answers:

 

1. Will Arrival open to more than 15m? YES

2. Will Arrival open to more than 22m? 3000 YES

3. Will Arrival open to more than 30m? NO

4. Will Almost Christmas open to more than 10m? YES

5. Will Almost Christmas open to more than 16m? NO

 

6. Will Shut In open in the top 8? 2000  YES

7. Will the 3 wide new entries combine to make more than Doctor Strange's 2nd Weekend?  NO

8. Will Doctor Strange's PTA stay above 10k? 2000  YES

9. Will Doctor Strange pass 150m on Sunday? YES

10. Will Trolls finish in the Top 2 for the weekend? 2000  YES

 

11. Will Trolls pass 80m on Saturday?  YES

12. Will Hacksaw Ridge drop less than 40%?  YES

13. Will Inferno stay above Jack Reacher 2? 2000 NO

14. Will Girl on the Train increase by more than 40% on Saturday?  NO

15. Will Moonlight enter the Top 10?  NO

 

16. Will any film in the top 10 not drop a place this weekend(assume either stay in the same spot or move up)? 2000   YES

17. Will Deepwater Horizon stay above Kevin Hart?  YES

18. Will Oujia have a single day (over the weekend) above 1m? 2000 NO

19. Will Miss Peregrine increase by more than 150% on Friday?  YES

20. Who here is going  to abuse Chasmmi about letting me loose on the game this week?  HE IS A TOTAL COCKSUCKER

 

Bonus:

 

14/20 2000

15/20 3000

16/20 5000

17/20 7000

18/20 10000

19/20 14000

20/20 20000

 

Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000)

 

1. Predict Arrival's OW.  $24.07M

2. Predict Billy Lynn's Halftime Walk PTA. $57,065

3. Predict Hacksaw Ridge's drop in $. $4.56M 

 

Part 3:  Predict the films that place in the following positions:

 

2. TROLLS

5.  HACKSAW

8. BOO MADEA

10. INFERNO

13. MOONLIGHT

16. LOVING

 

3/6 2000 points

4/6 5000 points

5/6 8000 points

6/6 13000 points

 

Deadline is Thursday 10th November at midnight.

[chasmmi]

Week 4 Scores: 

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
kayumanggi	34000		13000	47000
chasmmi	25000		13000	38000
movieman	26000	12000	0	38000
wrathofhan	29000		8000	37000
cooleric	21000	12000	4000	37000
Jakegittes	24000		8000	32000
That one guy	28000		4000	32000
blankments	23000		8000	31000
Exxdee	25000		4000	29000
damienroc	19000	5000	4000	28000
dajk	26000		2000	28000
spaghetti	18000		8000	26000
tele	18000		8000	26000
JJ8	21000		4000	25000
greyghost	23000		2000	25000
sadskidz	22000		2000	24000
glassfairy	18000		4000	22000
bcf26	17000		4000	21000
darkelf	17000		2000	19000

[chasmmi]

Week 5 answers:

 

All questions are related to the top 12, are for the 3 day weekend and are worth 1000 points unless otherwise stated.

 

1. Will Fantastic Beasts open to more than $70m? YES

2. Will Fantastic Beasts open to more than $80m? 3000 NO

3. Will Fantastic Beasts open to more than $90m? NO

4. Will Billy Lynn make more than $10m? NO

5. Will Billy Lynn make more than $12.5m? 2000 NO

6. Will Edge of Seventeen open to more than $10M? NO

7. Will Bleed for this open to more than $5M? NO

 

8. Will Billy Lynn make more than Edge of Seventeen this weekend? 2000  NO

9. Will Arrival stay in the top 5?  YES

10. Will Dr Strange stay above Trolls? YES 

11. Will Almost Christmas drop less than 45%? NO

12. Will Hacksaw Ridge make more than $1.5M every day this weekend? YES

13. Will Nocturnal Animals have a PTA above $5000? 3000 YES

14. Will Manchester by the Sea have a PTA above $15,000? YES

 

15. Will Shut in Stay above Boo!?  YES

16. Will Deepwater Horizon have a bigger percentage drop than Inferno? 2000  NO

17. Will A Man called Ove Increase this weekend?  NO

18. Will Keeping Up with the Joneses Stay above Sully? 3000 YES

19. Will Ouija remain in the top 16 this weekend? NO

20. Are we about to be tricked into watching Eddie Redmayne hunt down Kelsey Grammar and Nicholas Hoult for 2 hours this weekend?  I WISH

 

Bonus:

 

14/20 2000

15/20 3000

16/20 5000

17/20 7000

18/20 10000

19/20 14000

20/20 20000

 

Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000)  

 

1. Predict Fantastic Beasts' OW.  $74.40M

2. Predict Billy Lynn's Halftime Walk Percentage Increase this weekend.   689.5%

3. Predict Trolls Saturday total   $8.04M

 

Part 3:  Predict the films that place in the following positions:

 

3. TROLLS

5. ALMOST CHRISTMAS

8. BLEED FOR THIS

11. MOONLIGHT

14. BILLY LYNN

16. INFERNO

 

3/6 2000 points

4/6 5000 points

5/6 8000 points

6/6 13000 points

 

 

[chasmmi]

Week 5 Results:

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
wrathofhan	23000	12000	2000	37000
spaghetti	23000		8000	31000
tele	26000		4000	30000
blankments	27000		2000	29000
Exxdee	29000		0	29000
kayumanggi	26000		2000	28000
darkelf	28000		0	28000
That one guy	23000		4000	27000
wrath	25000		2000	27000
dajk	18000		8000	26000
movieman	25000		0	25000
damienroc	23000		2000	25000
chewy	17000	6000	2000	25000
greyghost	22000		2000	24000
bcf26	18000	5000		23000
fancyarcher	21000		2000	23000
JJ8	18000		4000	22000
cooleric	17000		4000	21000
sadskidz	17000		2000	19000
Jakegittes	18000		0	18000
chasmmi	16000		0	16000

[WrathOfHan]

I did good on Week 4? I was #1 on Week 5? Damn!

[chasmmi]

SOTM Current Update:

 

Below are 10 films due for release between the start of the game and November 23rd, along with their predicted total grosses according to Boxoffice.com.

 

1. Boo: A Madea Halloween - $26M   HIGHER / DOUBLE

2. Jack Reacher: Never go Back - $62M  LOOKING LIKE LOWER

3. Ouija 2 - $29M   HIGHER

4. Hacksaw Ridge - $37M   HIGHER

5. Trolls - $92M   HIGHER

 

6. Almost Christmas - $46M  COULD LEG OUT BEING AN XMAS FILM AND ALL...

7. Friend Request - $5M   TBC

8. The Edge of Seventeen - $58M  UMMM WELL...

9. Bad Santa 2 - $34M  - WE SHALL SEE SOON

10. Allied - $68M  - NOT LOOKING GOOD RIGHT?

[WrathOfHan]

Bad Santa is almost definitely going to be lower. Theaters will drop it like a rock if Oscar contenders go wide on the 9th.

[chasmmi]

SOTM 2 - I am going to mark this under the assumption that the totals won't pass 3MAAB, if it does, then we will return to this...

 

(For clarity the three films in question are Madea, Reacher and Ouija)

 

 

1. Rocky 3: $125.05M   2000 / 1000

2. Divergent Insurgent: $130.18  3000 / 2000 

3. Mission Impossible 3:  $134.02M 5000 / 3000

4. Rush Hour 3: $140.1M   7000 / 5000

 

5. X-Men First Class $146.4M  10000 / 7000

6. Mad Max: Fury Road $153.6M   13000 / 10000

7. Die Another Day $160.9M   16000 / 13000

8. Three Men and a Baby $167.78M  20000 / 16000

 

9. Rain Man $172.8M 25000 / 20000

10. How to Train Your Dragon 2 $177.0M  32000 / 25000

11. Jurassic park 3 $181.1M   40000 /  30000

12. Mr and Mrs Smith $186.3M   50000 /36000

 

Results

 

Chasmmi: 32000

Exxdee: 32000

JakeGittes: 32000

Fancyarcher: 32000

 

 

Darkelf: 13000

Tele: 13000

Wrathofhan: 13000

Spaghetti: 13000

Thatoneguy: 13000

Dajk: 13000

JJ8: : 13000

Cooleric: 13000

Chewy: 13000

Damienroc: 13000

 

Glassfairy 10000

Bcf26: 10000

Greyghost: 10000

Wrath: 10000

 

Kayumanggi: MINUS 26000 (Unless the totals pass $167.78M)

Blankments: MINUS 30,000

Sadzkids: MINUS 36000

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

SOTM 3: Here are 8 questions? The scores so far...

 

1. Where will Dr. Strange's OW rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe?  10th

2. Where will Dr. Strange's Domestic total rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe?  9th pretty locked

3. Where will Dr. Strange's Worldwide total rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe?  Between 7th and 9th

4. Where will Dr. Strange's 3 Day Multiplier rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe?  8th or 9th ish?

 

5. How many weeks will Dr Strange's 3 day weekend totals finish in the top 12?  3 and counting

6. How many weeks will Dr Strange have a Weekend above $1M?  3 and counting

7. How many days will Dr Strange spend at number 1 in the US box office?  14

8. How many different days will Rogue One gross more than Dr Strange's Opening Sunday total?   $21.1M i the magic number. Force Awakens beat it 17 times as a super maximum number to expect. 

 

For each question the scores are as follows: Obviously some of these are easier to get close to than others  

 

Get the Number exactly correct: 25,000 point

Miss the Number by 1: 20,000 point

Miss the Number by 2: 15,000 point

Miss the Number by 3: 10,000 point

Miss the Number by 4: 5,000 point

[chasmmi]

That's enough for today, gonna now crawl into bed soon and pray for the sweet release of death to end my suffering. 

 

It's now all up to @JJ-8

[kayumanggi]

I am the winner this year. Ha.............ha................ha!

[JJ-8]

20 hours ago, chasmmi said:

That's enough for today, gonna now crawl into bed soon and pray for the sweet release of death to end my suffering. 

 

It's now all up to @JJ-8

 

Just looked at week 3 scores... I nailed 2 in part 2 (exactly)  ie. within 1%!!!!!!

 

[JJ-8]

Scores update

 

Weekly Scores (all updated to week 5)

 

kayumanggi is out in front so far with blankments and spaghetti nipping at his heals.  oh and i suck at weeklies

 

 

#	User	Weekly's Total	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5
1	kayumanggi	229,000	47000	33000	74000	47000	28000
2	Blankments	219,000	62000	30000	67000	31000	29000
3	Spaghetti	216,000	67000	29000	63000	26000	31000
4	WrathofHan	212,000	49000	24000	65000	37000	37000
5	CoolEric258	198,000	49000	35000	56000	37000	21000
6	DamienRoc	197,000	63000	27000	54000	28000	25000
7	bcf26	190,000	51000	40000	55000	21000	23000
8	DAJK	183,000	48000	30000	51000	28000	26000
9	Chasmmi	178,000	43000	27000	54000	38000	16000
10	darkelf	172,000	53000	31000	41000	19000	28000
11	Exxdee	161,000	0	32000	71000	29000	29000
12	MovieMan89	153,000	48000		42000	38000	25000
13	Telemachos	146,000	0	36000	54000	26000	30000
14	glassfairy	140,000	54000	27000	37000	22000
15	That One Guy	132,000	0	26000	47000	32000	27000
16	JJ-8	129,000	0	16000	66000	25000	22000
17	grey ghost	126,000	0	30000	47000	25000	24000
18	Jake Gittes	117,000	0		67000	32000	18000
19	Wrath	114,000	0	46000	41000		27000
20	sakskidz	113,000	0	44000	26000	24000	19000
21	Chewy	103,000	0	24000	54000		25000
22	Fancyarcher	93,000	-	23000	47000		23000
23	Randomjc	51,000	51000
24	YourMother	0	-

[JJ-8]

SOTM Update (SOTM 2 only) 

 

#	User	SOTM Total	SOTM 2
1	Chasmmi	32,000	32,000
2	Exxdee	32,000	32,000
3	Jake Gittes	32,000	32,000
4	Fancyarcher	32,000	32,000
5	Spaghetti	13,000	13,000
6	WrathofHan	13,000	13,000
7	CoolEric258	13,000	13,000
8	DamienRoc	13,000	13,000
9	DAJK	13,000	13,000
10	darkelf	13,000	13,000
11	Telemachos	13,000	13,000
12	That One Guy	13,000	13,000
13	JJ-8	13,000	13,000
14	Chewy	13,000	13,000
15	bcf26	10,000	10,000
16	glassfairy	10,000	10,000
17	grey ghost	10,000	10,000
18	Wrath	10,000	10,000
19	MovieMan89	-5,000	-5,000
20	Randomjc	-5,000	-5,000
21	kayumanggi	-26,000	-26,000
22	Blankments	-30,000	-30,000
23	sakskidz	-36,000	-36,000
24	YourMother	-5,000	-5,000