jb007 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 But do remember that no other Hollywood movies did more than 20M in Itlay this year.Nope. The biggest Hollywood movie to date this year seems to be The Avengers with €18 Million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Boy Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Is $500M OS a lock?You have two factors weighing heavily against it: stronger US$ snd the deeper Europe recession.If you take the "actual" reported numbers from boxofficemojo.com, the total OS is $344M (and not $388M). http://www.boxoffice...madagascar3.htmThere are about 20 countries not on the list. Their total MAD2 OS is $168M.Countries MAD2Germany --- $46MUK ----------- $36MItaly -----------$35MAustralia -----$15MSwitzerland - $11MAustria --- $7MOthers ---- $18MTotal ----- $168MHowever, adjusting this number for the stronger US dollar, we end with $144M.So if everyone who watched MAD2 also watch MAD3, we end up with $344M + $144M = $488M -- slighly less than $500M.HOWEVER, there are factors to consider as well: higher ticket prices, 3-D, MAD3 is better than MAD2, etc ...Bottom line: $500M is not a lock -- but it will be close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Pretty confident $500M OS will happen with the 3D bonus and big markets left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Is $500M OS a lock?You have two factors weighing heavily against it: stronger US$ snd the deeper Europe recession.If you take the "actual" reported numbers from boxofficemojo.com, the total OS is $344M (and not $388M). http://www.boxoffice...madagascar3.htmThere are about 20 countries not on the list. Their total MAD2 OS is $168M.Countries MAD2Germany --- $46MUK ----------- $36MItaly -----------$35MAustralia -----$15MSwitzerland - $11MAustria --- $7MOthers ---- $18MTotal ----- $168MHowever, adjusting this number for the stronger US dollar, we end with $144M.So if everyone who watched MAD2 also watch MAD3, we end up with $344M + $144M = $488M -- slighly less than $500M.HOWEVER, there are factors to consider as well: higher ticket prices, 3-D, MAD3 is better than MAD2, etc ...Bottom line: $500M is not a lock -- but it will be close.BOM was just slower to update they now have 388M, 500M is happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 500 almost locked IMHO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Madagascar 3 is yet to be released in the following countries: Countries MAD2 Germany --- $46M UK ----------- $36M Australia -----$15M Switzerland - $11M Austria --- $7M Greece - $3M NZ - $2M Total ----- $120M I would think, Madagascar 3 should make at least $100M from above list. The total for already released countries should end up b/w $410M to $415M. Yeah, I woud say $500M is pretty much a lock. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bofan Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 I think Germany,Switzerland and Austria will decrease but UK and Australia will increase so the total from this countries should be the same like MAD2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Boy Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Madagascar 3 is yet to be released in the following countries: Countries MAD2 Germany --- $46M UK ----------- $36M Australia -----$15M Switzerland - $11M Austria --- $7M Greece - $3M NZ - $2M Total ----- $120M I would think, Madagascar 3 should make at least $100M from above list. The total for already released countries should end up b/w $410M to $415M. Yeah, I woud say $500M is pretty much a lock. Do the good people from Greece still have money to watch the movie?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Do the good people from Greece still have money to watch the movie??people have money, the government is broke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acab Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 people have money, the government is brokeNah i'd say they are both broke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 (edited) 500m is less likely to happen than not.Current markets will take it to 410-415m.Remaining markets are Germany, Austria, UK and Aus+NZ.But most European markets are looking to decrease from the previous Madagascar movie:Market - Mad2 - Mad3 (projected finish) in eurosFrance - 32.7m - 22.5m -31%Spain - 14.8m - 10m -32%Mad2 made 34.5m euros in Germany, so Mad3 should make around 24m, which equates to $30m.Mad2 made 23.3m GBP in UK, Mad3 should make 16m, which equates to $25m.Mad2 made $17m in Aus+NZ, Mad3 could make $15m.Austria could do another $5m.So that's $75m from remaining markets.Mad3 could undoubtedly hold better and do better in remaining markets, but I won't call 500m a lock. Edited September 5, 2012 by Fake Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Mad2 made $17m in Aus+NZ, Mad3 could make $15m.It should be much more than that given the exchange rate has improved significantly over that time. I'd expect around $25m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 It should be much more than that given the exchange rate has improved significantly over that time. I'd expect around $25m.I am expecting a decrease in local currency as well, but since Australia mirrors US more than Europe, you might be right.Still I won't expect more than $20m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 In AUD, I think it'll hold steady, so far for Madagascar it's been:1 $25.4m2 $21.9mGiven how well it did in the US, expecting such a drop-off seems a little unrealistic. That's not to say it isn't possible, but I see no reason for it to deviate that much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Madagascar 3 should do better than Madagascar 2 in the UK as well as Aus/NZ.May drop a bit in Germany but still hit $500M OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 (edited) France had the Euro2012Germany has autumn holidaysSpain is queer this year- even Brave defeated Mad3 there Edited September 5, 2012 by Rudolf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 500m is less likely to happen than not.Current markets will take it to 410-415m.Remaining markets are Germany, Austria, UK and Aus+NZ.But most European markets are looking to decrease from the previous Madagascar movie:Market - Mad2 - Mad3 (projected finish) in eurosFrance - 32.7m - 22.5m -31%Spain - 14.8m - 10m -32%Mad2 made 34.5m euros in Germany, so Mad3 should make around 24m, which equates to $30m.Mad2 made 23.3m GBP in UK, Mad3 should make 16m, which equates to $25m.Mad2 made $17m in Aus+NZ, Mad3 could make $15m.Austria could do another $5m.So that's $75m from remaining markets.Mad3 could undoubtedly hold better and do better in remaining markets, but I won't call 500m a lock.$30M in Germany? $30m=3,300,000 admissionsMad 2 did 6,000,000...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 (edited) France had the Euro2012Germany has autumn holidaysSpain is queer this year- even Brave defeated Mad3 there UK has a good release too, in autumn holidays (half-term) for schools same as Germany. :)I really think it will have a higher gross than Mad2 here. Edited September 5, 2012 by JCS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted September 5, 2012 Author Share Posted September 5, 2012 $30M in Germany? $30m=3,300,000 admissionsMad 2 did 6,000,000......germany boxoffice sucks this year. So even half drop in admissions wont surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 germany boxoffice sucks this year. So even half drop in admissions wont surprise.no way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
