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sfran43

Wednesday Numbers: IT Chapter Two $4.5M

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after the Monday number, I guessed:

 

Quote

Looks like It Chapter 2 is looking at 5.5, 7.7, 4.7, and 4.1, for a total of about 22.

 

 

Even though my Tuesday increase was underestimated, looks like it's probably going to end up right about at that 22 total.

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4.5 Wed for IT2; 109 cume

 

Say 4 on Thu; 113 1st week

 

10 (+150%)

15 (+50%)

9 (-40%)

= 34 (-63%); 147 10-day

 

IT1 added 1.81x the 2nd weekend to it's cume.

 

If IT2 adds 1.55x the 2nd weekend,

147 + 34*1.55 = 200

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30 minutes ago, a2k said:

4.5 Wed for IT2; 109 cume

 

Say 4 on Thu; 113 1st week

 

10 (+150%)

15 (+50%)

9 (-40%)

= 34 (-63%); 147 10-day

 

IT1 added 1.81x the 2nd weekend to it's cume.

 

If IT2 adds 1.55x the 2nd weekend,

147 + 34*1.55 = 200

Those look like really good estimates. 

if it were to follow It exactly it would be

Thur - 4.1

Fri 10.9

Sat 14.7

Sun 8.6

34.2 weekend (-62.5%)

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1 (1) It: Chapter Two Warner Bros. $4,500,000 -44% 4,570 $985   $109,046,753 6
- (4) Overcomer Sony Pictures $350,000 -42% 2,153 $163   $25,938,196 20
- (8) Once Upon a Time…in Holly… Sony Pictures $247,000 -21% 1,402 $176   $135,155,224 48
- (11) Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $95,000 -33% 1,433 $66   $388,452,775 72
- (12) The Angry Birds Movie 2 Sony Pictures $80,000 -35% 1,854 $43   $38,371,042 30
- (-) The Farewell A24 $50,704 -10% 368 $138   $16,840,512 62
- (-) 47 Meters Down: Uncaged Entertainment Studi… $47,401 -36% 975 $49   $21,072,878 27
- (-) Midsommar A24 $23,599 +3% 234 $101   $27,310,823
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Its a fine Wednesday, nothing more or worse. Little more optimistic for 30m+ as it should clear it without much extra effort, but by how much. 

May very well be 2nd this weekend which isnt a bad thing as much as its an overperformance for Hustlers which is needed. 

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18 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Really really hoping It2 can hit 220, or even 200 at this point. Kinda disappointed by its numbers; I thought it was (at least) just as good as the first, and in some ways even better. 

Missing 200 from here would be really surprising. Reception is clearly better than The Nun, but the Nun’s multiplier from the 6-day would still be 198M.   

 

For 220.... well, we’ll see how the weekend goes, but it’s dicier.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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