The Winter Game Approaches - Results are finally in

[chasmmi]

I will reitterate, firstly, I cannot spell reiterate. Secondly, April - September is a much easier period of time for me and as such Summer will resort back to normal service as you have come to know and begrudgingly accept.

 

Winter however, may be better off in somebody else's hands to adapt and manage as they see fit and this will be something I may look into more as the summer game starts to wrap up in say August time.   

[ZeeSoh]

8 hours ago, chasmmi said:

@Wrath   @ZeeSoh   @everyone

 

I do apologise that this Winter has been a bit of a shitshow. There's been work, travel and surgery-based stuff that has made me pretty pisspoor at managing this thing this year and I've kind of been just trying to get questions out and hope it keeps everyone happy until the end and then we can all start again from Scratch for Summer.

 

QOTW did stay locked until horribly late and without any mention that it was opened. I think It is harsh to punish people that did not see it. Additionally as it was essentially a slam dunk question, I think it is best to mark it as correct for everybody, whether they answered or not. 

 

With the weekly questions, I've kind of unofficially run a policy of if thread is open, you are free to post/edit. But that was also on a theory that if I ever was late locking it, it still wasn't like crazy, post numbers late and such. 

 

As such I think that I should let any part A changes stand as it is my mistake, but I think part B predictions should be reverted to the latest pre-actuals predictions, as there are more advantages points at stake there. 

 

I don't think anybody was trying to do anything Insidious or The Conjuring, I just need to get more on top of things (With the whole 8 days to go that the Winter Game has). 

  

I agree with reverting part B and keeping part A as is. I also agree with giving everyone a correct answer in the QOTW this week as the answer was very simple. 

 

I will try and make sure to unlock and lock the threads as much as I can. I have been locking the threads last few weeks anyways. Although due to my timings i may end up locking the threads an hour or so earlier than you usually do which will still be much past the 12am PST unofficial deadline (lets say I will lock it at 3:30am PST/6:30am EST)

[Wrath]

Oh, wow, I didn't mean to impugn the overall running of the game. You've all done a great job of that! Giving it to everyone is fair, things happen and that's ok.

[JJ-8]

it  probably doesn't help i've been pretty much MIA for most of the winter game..... normally i'm around to help in that area..... but like chas i'll be more able to help during the summer

[chasmmi]

Ok, so now that the game has come to a close, here is the timetable for reveals. (I'm in Korea so when I say Monday Afternoon, that would mean Korean Monday afternoon, not GMT or American).

 

Wednesday evening I have commitments so nothing will happen tonight. 

 

Thursday after work, I will do as much scoring as I can. This will start with collating QOTW and weekly data. Then SOTM, then moving onto preseasons. (Thank you to those that have already done some of this work for me  )

 

Friday-Sunday is graduation weekend at work and also when I have to work at a wrestling event so I have a lot of work to do. There may be some time Sunday evening but otherwise...

 

Monday Evening is free and clear I hope/expect that everything will be finished on this day.

 

TLDR: First off, you lazy effing bastard it is like 8 lines. Secondly, reveals will happen on either Thursday or Monday evening Korean time. 

[chasmmi]

Little known fact, it is still actually Thursday evening in Korea. Weird quirk about time zones. Therefore I am not behind schedule at all.

[chasmmi]

Anyhow, Here are the final weekly totals: (thanks to @BobDole for doing most of the weeks during the course of the winter:

 

Pos	Name	Week 14 Total	Week 15	Week 16	Make Ups	Final Total
1	Sheikh	1268	95	102	0	1465
2	Inceptionzq	1128	63	90	0	1281
3	ZeeSoh	1070	61	82	0	1213
4	Fancyarcher	1026	40	62	0	1128
5	Bdole	988	38	82	0	1108
6	glassfairy	887	36	104	76	1103
7	chasmmi	771	71	77	54	973
8	Wrath	760	29	75	39	903
9	bcf26	660	38	0	0	698
10	captainwondyful	304	0	0	0	304
11	JJ-8	298	0	0	0	298
12	The Panda	102	0	0	0	102
13	WrathOfHan	50	0	0	0	50

 

[chasmmi]

Okay, Gonna go onto SOTMs now as QOTW scoring is a bit daunting when I don't use magical spreadsheet formulas for any of my scoring.   

 

So I will do that after SOTM. Then we just have preseasons to go and that may be a Monday affair. We shall see...

[chasmmi]

Final attempt to make table look nice before you have to accept it as the beautiful monstrosity it is:

 

Player	20	Score	40	Score	60	Score	80	Score	100	Score	Total
Wrath	Jumanji Mex	40	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	150
chasmmi	Jumanji Mex	40	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	150
Zeesoh	Jumanji Mex	40	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	150
Sheikh	Jumanji Mex	40	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	150
The Panda	sw9 Mexico	30	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	140
Fancyarcher	Jumanji Mex	40	Frozen France	10	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	130
Mikehunt	SW9 Brazil	10	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	120
Glassfairy	SW9 Russia	2	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	112
JJ8	SW9 Russia	2	SW9 Australia	30	SW9 France	30	SW9 Germany	30	SW9 UK	20	112
Inceptionzq	Jumanji Mex	40	Frozen France	10	SW9 Australia	2	Terminator China	10	SW9 UK	20	82
BobDole	Birds Australia	-20	frozen Germ	-20	Frozen UK	30	Frozen Korea	20	Terminator China	2	12
Captain Wondyful	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	3
Wrathofhan	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	abstain	0.6	3

 

 

[chasmmi]

Right ok, so here goes... the Oscar One.

 

Below is the final table for eligible films, anything else will lose points for sure:

 

Film	Noms	Wins	Big Noms	Big Wins	Gross	Multi	Total
1917	10	3	2	0	145.76	54	7871.04
Parasite	6	4	2	2	44.3	144	6379.2
Little Women	6	1	2	0	105.75	24	2538
Ford vs Ferrari	4	2	1	0	117	18	2106
Star Wars	3	0	0	0	513.19	2	1026.38
Bombshell	3	1	2	0	31.59	18	568.62
Frozen 2	1	0	0	0	475.84	1	475.84
Harriet	2	0	1	0	43.08	4	172.32
Knives Out	1	0	0	0	162.96	1	162.96
Beautful Day in the…	1	0	1	0	61.55	2	123.1
Richard Jewell	1	0	1	0	22.34	2	44.68
Irishman	10	0	4	0	0.9	30	27

[chasmmi]

So for SOTM 2, the top 6 are:

 

1. 1917

2. Little Women (Parasite released in October so ignore it being in the other table)

3. Ford vs Ferrari

4. Star Wars

5. Bombshell

6. Frozen 2

 

Any others in the table in the previous post lose 20k, anything else loses 40k. 

 

So thus the final scores are: (Abstaining was a mistake)

 

Name	Base Score	Gross Bonus	/6 bonus	Total
Mike Hunt	90	50	100	240
bcf26	90	50	100	240
WrathofHan	90	50	100	240
Sheikh	90	50	100	240
Zeesoh	90	50	100	240
Wrath	80	50	100	230
The Panda	80	50	100	230
BobDole	80	45	100	225
JJ8	90	20	100	210
chasmmi	80	20	100	200
Captain Wondyful	20	45	60	125
Glassfairy	30	20	60	110
Fancyarcher	20	20	60	100
Inception	5	0	0	5

 

[chasmmi]

Okay, 1 more for now then I will be kicked out of the coffeeshop and maybe even abducted by men (or women) in Hazmat suits...

 

Here are the questions and answers (let's see if we have learned to abstain yet)

 

1. Star Wars, Frozen, and Bird of Prey's combined OW will be:

A. Less than $375M

B. Between $375M and $450M

C. Over $450M

 

2. Frozen 2's Japan Box office will be:

A. Less than $125M

B. Between $125M and $200M

C. Over $200M

 

3. Star Wars'' Total admissions in South Korea will be:

A. Less than 900k

B. Between 900k and 1.2M

C. Over 1.2M

 

4. Terminator's China gross will be:

A. Less than $90M

B. Between $90M and $125M

C. Over $125M

 

5. The film with the best mulitplier will be:

A. Charlie's Angels

B. Black Christmas

C. Bad Boys 4 Life

 

6. Frozen's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Star Wars' number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Jumanji's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 will be:

A. Less than 15

B. 15-18

C. Over 18

 

7. Frozen 2's Domestic Gross divided by Cats' Domestic Gross will be:

A. Less than 4

B. Between 4 and 5

C. Over 5

 

8. Jumanji's Overseas (excluding Domestic) Box office will be:

 

A. Less than $550M

B. Between $550M and $700M

C. Over $700M

[chasmmi]

And the scores are in. I did tell everyone to abstain. (Although always trust in Star Wars to bomb in Korea)

 

Player	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	abstains	mercy pts	Total
Answers	A	A	A	A	C	C	C	A	0	0	999
CaptainWondyful	-40	25	3	25	3	25	25	-40	0	0	26
chasmmi	3	3	3	25	3	3	3	3	-20	0	26
zeesoh	3	3	3	25	3	3	3	3	-20	0	26
Wrath	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	-20	0	4
JJ-8	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	-20	0	4
Glassfairy	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	-20	0	4
BobDole	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	-20	0	4
Wrathofhan	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	-20	0	4
Sheikh	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	-20	0	4
Fancyarcher	-40	-40	3	25	3	3	25	-40	0	0	-61
Inceptionzq	-40	-40	3	25	3	3	-40	-40	0	0	-126
bcf26	-40	-40	-40	25	-40	-40	25	-40	0	0	-190

[Wrath]

Abstaining LIKE A BOSS!

[chasmmi]

SOTM4 answers:

 

1. Dr Sleep $87.5M  HALF

2. Midway $45M     TOO LOW

3. Charlie's Angels $67.5M   HALF

4. The Good Liar $37.5M   HALF

5. 21 Bridges $37.5M    TOO HIGH

 

6. Queen and Slim  $30M   TOO LOW

7. Playmobil $15M   HALF

8. Cats  $90M     HALF

9. Bombshell $37.5M   TOO HIGH 

10. Black Christmas  $33M   HALF

 

 

PART B:

 

Here are 10 questions: 

 

1. Which film (excluding Playmobil) will be the lowest grossing?   BLACK XMAS

2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $75M?  MIDWAY

3. Will exactly two films make the Domestic top 15?   NO

4. Will any film double its predicted gross?  NO

5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross?  YES YES AND YES THRICE MORE AND ANOTHER FOR LUCK

 

6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross?   LOWER 

7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction?   BOMBSHELL

8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction?  PLAYMOBIL

9. Will 2 or more films open in the number 1 position?  NO (1)

10. Will 3 or more of these films open in 4th or lower?  YES (7)

 

[chasmmi]

So here are the scores, First Part A:

 

NAME	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Total
Answers	HALF	LOW	HALF	HALF	HIGH	LOW	HALF	HALF	HIGH	HALF	0
Captain Wondyful	0	8	-6	0	8	0	0	8	-6	0	12
The Panda	-6	-6	8	8	8	-6	8	8	-6	8	24
BobDole	8	8	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	-6	18
Wrath	0	-6	8	8	0	-6	0	0	-6	0	-2
Glassfairy	8	0	0	-6	8	-6	-6	-6	-6	0	-14
Inceptionzq	0	-6	8	-6	8	8	0	0	0	-6	6
JJ-8	8	-6	-6	8	8	-6	8	-6	-6	8	10
Zeesoh	8	-6	0	0	8	0	0	8	-6	0	12
chasmmi	0	-6	8	8	-6	-6	8	0	-6	-6	-6
Sheikh	8	0	8	8	0	0	0	0	-6	0	18
Bcf26	0	-6	-6	8	8	-6	-6	0	0	-6	-14

 

 

ANd then that added to part B:

 

NAME	Part A Correct	Part B Correct	Part B Total	Part A Total	Total
The Panda	6	3	18	24	42
BobDole	3	5	15	18	33
Sheikh	3	5	15	18	33
Inceptionzq	3	4	12	18	30
JJ-8	5	4	20	10	30
Zeesoh	3	4	12	12	24
Captain Wondyful	3	3	9	12	21
chasmmi	3	5	15	-6	9
Wrath	2	4	8	-2	6
Glassfairy	2	2	4	-14	-10
Bcf26	2	0	0	-14	-14

 

[chasmmi]

I've just remembered SOTM5, I am scoring it as you read this, but it may take a month or two...

[chasmmi]

Right first off...

 

Here are all the regions predicted:

 

China 

Korea

Romania

Ukraine

UAE

 

Thailand 

Singapore

Colombia

Mexico 

Russia

 

Argentina

Japan

Brazil

Turkey

Philippines

 

I'll get back to you when I have calculated what each region scores...

 

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

Ok, scores are (everything always rounds up to the nearest thousand in these things and that has happened a lot here...

 

Country	Star Wars	Frozen	Percent	Score	Round Up
China	20.55	122.31	0.168016	8400.78	9
Korea	3.97	97.58	0.040685	2034.23	3
Romania	1.9	3.05	0.622951	31147.5	32
Ukraine	2.03	3.76	0.539894	26994.7	27
UAE	2.23	6.07	0.367381	18369	19
Thailand	4.28	6.45	0.663566	33178.3	34
Singapore	3.59	6.08	0.590461	29523	30
Colombia	2.47	5.96	0.41443	20721.5	21
Mexico	16.4	28.82	0.569049	28452.5	29
Russia	11.5	32.76	0.351038	17551.9	18
Argentina	3.08	7.34	0.419619	20980.9	21
Japan	65.62	121.18	0.541508	27075.4	28
Brazil	13.27	30.14	0.440279	22013.9	23
Turkey	1.56	3.86	0.404145	20207.3	21
Philippines	3.63	16.41	0.221207	11060.3	12

[chasmmi]

So Final scores for SOTM 5...

 

NAME	Score
BobDole	132
Sheikh	124
Zeesoh	123
Inceptionzq	121
Fancy Archer	110
Glassfairy	105
Wrath	90
bcf26	81
Chasmmi	79