The Winter Game Approaches - Results are finally in

[chasmmi]

WINTERTIME IS HERE, HUZZAH!

WELCOME TO THE SUPER FUN HAPPY SLIDE WINTER GAME 2019!

 

Looking for a fun and frantic way to quench your predictioning thirst until next summer rolls around again? If yes, the winter game is where things be at. 

The game will run from Friday November 1st until Monday February 17th^. So that means that all grosses and predictions will only count up until and including Monday February 17th (This means Sonic has 4 days to make the Domestic top 15 list)

As for structure, the main focus is on preseason general gross predictions and a sprinkling of bonus questions. Then during the game itself, there will be weekly sets of questions as well as the good old SOTM (Spur of the Moment – You will learn to love these  ) questions too. So let’s get to the predictioning:

 

 

A: DOMESTIC TOP 15

 

Predict the 15 films you believe will gross the highest over the course of the summer game along with a predicted gross. You may choose any film for this list that gets released during the course of the summer game (If you think that some film listed on BOM for a 22 screen limited release is going to explode to $750M domestic, then go ahead and predict it).

 

 Therefore your top 15 predictions should look something like the following:

 

1) The Emoji Movie 2: Wrath of the Eggplant: 485M
2) The Fantastic Four murder the MCU 46lM
3) Tomorrowland Animated Remake 411M
4) The Rock does Die Hard 325M
5) The Rock does Rambo 232M
6) The Rock does Rocky 177M
7)Chucky vs Woody: How much Woody can a Chucky Doll Chuck?  155M
😎 Rob Schneider is a Carrot! 118M
9) Scarlett Johansson stars in Mandela: The Early Years  115M
10) Jurassic Universe: Raptors on the Moon 112M
11) Pong: The Movie! 109M
12) Half-life 3: The Movie 104M
13) Vanilla Ice: Biopic! 95M
15) Untitled Paramount Event Film 92M

  

POINT SYSTEM:

 

For every film you call correctly in the top 15, in any order, you will get 25,000 points. For every film you call in the exact spot, you will get 50,000 points (total). So you must think this out thoroughly. You will also lose 15,000 points for every film in the top 15 that you call incorrectly. So, for example, if you say Rise of the Skywalkers will be in the top 15, and it misses the top 15, you will lose 15,000 points (PLUS whatever you miss the gross by).  

 

If you are able to call the top two positions right, in order, regardless of the gross, you will get a 50,000 point bonus.

If you are able to call the top three positions right, in order, regardless of the gross, you will get a 100,000 point bonus.

If you are able to call the top four positions right, in order, regardless of the gross, you will get a 150,000 point bonus.

If you are able to call the top five positions right, in order, regardless of gross, you will get a 250,000 point bonus.  This is not as easy as you might think it is.

 

 

The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers:

 

Spoiler

OTHER ADD ONS:

 

If 9 players or less successfully predict a film to finish in the top 15, those players will score a 50,000 point bonus.

If 6 players or less successfully predict a film to finish in the top 15, those players will score a 75,000 point bonus.

If 3 players or less successfully predict a film to finish in the top 15, those players will score a 100,000 point bonus.

If 1 solitary player successfully predicts a film to finish in the top 15, that players will score a 150,000 point bonus.

 

 

 

BONUS STRUCTURE.  
 

9 of the 15 films correct, regardless of order and get a 100,000 point bonus

 

Call 10 of the 15 films correctly, regardless of the order, and receive a 150,000 point bonus.

Call 11 of the top 15 correct, regardless of order, receive a 225,000 point bonus.

Call 12 films correct, regardless of the order and you will receive a 300,000 point bonus.

Call 13 correct, regardless of order, and you get a 400,000 point bonus.

 

Call 14 correct, regardless of order, and you get a 550,000 point bonus.

 

If you call all 15 correct, regardless of order, you will get a 750,000 point bonus

This does not eliminate the bonus points originally mentioned, it will just add to them.

 

GROSS ACCURACY:

 

Call a film’s gross to within 2 million to get 50,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 5 million to get 35,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 10 million to get 25,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 20 million to get 15,000 bonus points

 

Call a film’s gross to within 30 million to get 10,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 40 million to get 5000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 50 million to get no bonus points

 

Call a film’s gross to within 50.01-80 million lose 10,000 points and lose 1,000 points for every subsequent 10M you are away. *If the film finishes in the top 15, the maximum points that can be lost are 25,000. If the film is not in the top 15, there is no upper limit for points lost.  

 

The closest predictor for each of the top 15 films will receive an additional 40,000 points to their total (no matter how wrong that prediction may be)

 

If anyone can predict at least 4 of the top 15 to within 50 million, they will score a bonus 40,000 points

 

If anyone can predict at least 5 of the top 15 to within 50 million, they will score a bonus 80,000

 

If anyone can predict at least 6 of the top 15 to within 50 million, they will score a bonus 120,000 points

 

If anyone can predict at least 7 of the top 15 to within 50 million, they will score a bonus 180,000 points

 

If anyone can predict at least 8 of the top 15 to within 50 million, they will score a bonus 250,000 points

 

If anyone can predict 9 or more of the top 15 to within 50 million, they will score a bonus 250,000 points + 50k for each above 8 called within the limit.

 

 

And one more caveat to this is the double whammy rule.

 

If you call a film to hit the top 15 and it misses, you will lose points for missing the top 15 AND you will lose DOUBLE points if the gross misses by more than the 50 million allotted to you. If however you call a film incorrectly in the top 15 but you are within the 50 million, YOU WILL NOT GET CREDIT FOR THOSE POINTS

 

If you do not enter a gross - you will be scored as follows : -25k for films in the  top 15 and -50k for films not in the top 15. If an entire film prediction is missing (e.g. there is not 13th ranked film, you will also be scored as if the film (you didn't enter) missed the top 15. (ie. -15k). 

 

If you accidentally put a film twice, the higher prediction will be accepted as the official prediction and the lower will be treated as a film that did not make the top 15.

 

If you predict a film that was never going to be a part of the game, this will also be treated as a film that did not make the top 15 UNLESS THERE WAS AN OBVIOUS FILM IT WAS SUPPOSED TO BE (E.G if somebody predicts Suicide Squad but has no Bird of Prey prediction) These rules carry for every section of the game.

 

 

B: DOMESTIC TOP 7 WEEKENDS (READ CAREFULLY)

 

NOTE: THIS IS NO LONGER EXCLUSIVELY OPENING WEEKENDS.

 

Due to platform style release schedule of award targeted films before the proper release date, this section will no longer be exclusively opening weekends but rather any weekend in general. This means that if a repeat of the American Sniper situation from Winter 2014 occurs again, the 100 million ‘3^rd weekend’ or whenever it was would be that film’s qualifying weekend.

 

 

A film’s weekend will always be deemed its 3 day Friday to Sunday gross (including Thursday previews). So if a film opens on a Wednesday, only the BOM reported Friday-Sunday 3 day will count as the weekend total.

 

  

POINT SYSTEM:

 

For each correctly predicted film, regardless of order you receive 20,000 points

For each film in the exact spot you receive 10,000 bonus points (so 30,000 total)

 

Call top 2 in order and receive 40,000 bonus points

Call top 3 in order and receive 80,000 bonus points

Call top 4 in order and receive 120,000 bonus points

Call top 5 in order and receive 180,000 bonus points

Call top 6 in order and receive 240,000 bonus points

Call top 7 in order and receive 300,000 bonus points

 

Call 3 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 25,000 bonus points

Call 4 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 50,000 bonus points

Call 5 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 75,000 bonus points

Call 6 of the top 7 (any order) receive 150,000 bonus points

Call top 7 (any order) receive 200,000 bonus points

 

For every incorrect film lose 10,000 points

 

 

The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers:

 

Spoiler

GROSS ACCURACY:

 

 

Call a film’s gross to within 1 million to get 50,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 2.5 million to get 35,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 5 million to get 25,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 10 million to get 20,000 bonus points

 

Call a film’s gross to within 15 million to get 15,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 20 million to get 10,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 30 million to get 5,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 40 million to get 0 bonus points

 

Miss the gross by more than 40M and lose 10,000 points plus an extra 1,000 for every subsequent 2M you are away. These losses are doubled for films that miss the top 7. (As with Domestic top 15, there is a maximum loss of 25k here, but no upper loss limit for films that miss the top 7.

 

 The closest predictor for each film will also receive a bonus 25,000 points.

 

Predict 3 of the top 7 to within 30M and score a 50,000 point bonus

Predict 4 of the top 7 to within 30M and score a 80,000 point bonus

Predict 5 of the top 7 to within 30M and score a 120,000 point bonus

Predict 6 of the top 7 to within 30M and score a 200,000 point bonus

Predict 7 of the top 7 to within 30M and score a 300,000 point bonus

 

 

If you do not enter a gross - you will be scored as follows : -25k for films in the  top 7 and -50k for films not in the top 7. If an entire film prediction is missing (e.g. there is not 6th ranked film, you will also be scored as if the film (you didn't enter) missed the top 7. (ie. -10k). 

 

 

C) TOP 12 WORLDWIDE TOTAL GROSS

 

Predict the top 12 grossing films of the Summer, worldwide. Foreign Films are only eligible for this section if they get Domestic Releases that reach a theatre count of 1000 or more). Chinese films that make 800M in China will not be counted for example. 

 

POINT SYSTEM:

 

For each correctly predicted film, regardless of order you receive 25,000 points

For each film in the exact spot you receive 15,000 bonus points (so 40,000 total)

 

Call top 2 in order and receive 50,000 bonus points

Call top 3 in order and receive 75,000 bonus points

Call top 4 in order and receive 125,000 bonus points

Call top 5 in order and receive 200,000 bonus points

 

Call 8 of the top 12 correctly (any order) receive 100,000 bonus points

Call 9 of the top 12 (any order) receive 175,000 bonus points

Call 10 of the top 12 (any order) receive 250,000 bonus points

Call 11 of the top 12 (any order) receive 350,000 bonus points

Call top 12 (any order) receive 500,000 bonus points

 

For every incorrect film lose 15,000 points

 

 

The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers: 

 

Spoiler

GROSS ACCURACY:

 

Call a film’s gross to within 25 million to get 50,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 50 million to get 40,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 75 million to get 30,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 100 million to get 20,000 bonus points

 

Call a film’s gross to within 150 million to get 10,000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 200 million to get 5000 bonus points

Call a film’s gross to within 250 million to get no bonus points

 

Miss the gross by 250-300M and lose 10,000 points. Then also lose an additional 1,000 points for every subsequent 25M you miss the final total by. (You will lose double these points if the film doesn’t make the top 12 WW.) *If the film finishes in the top 12, the maximum points that can be lost are 25,000. If the film is not in the top 12, there is no upper limit for points lost.

 

 The closest predictor for each film will also receive a bonus 25,000 points. 

 

Call 3 of the top 12 to within $200M and score 60,000 bonus points

Call 4 of the top 12 to within $200M and score 120,000 bonus points

Call 5 of the top 12 to within $200M and score 180,000 bonus points

Call 6 of the top 12 to within $200M and score 250,000 bonus points

Call 7 of the top 12 to within $200M and score 350,000 bonus points

Call 8 or more the top 12 to within $200M and score 350,000 bonus points + 50k for every film more than 7 predicted with 50k.

  

If you do not enter a gross - you will be scored as follows : -25k for films in the  top 12 and -50k for films not in the top 12. If an entire film prediction is missing (e.g. there is not 6th ranked film, you will also be scored as if the film (you didn't enter) missed the top 12. (ie. -15k). 

  

 

D)   TOP 5 DOMESTIC Weekends!

 

China has been too much of a wildcard the past few years and so it is sadly getting relegated to be part of an international market centric SOTM and a previously regular pre-season SOTM is getting a promotion to here instead!

 

For this section you are listing the 5 DOMESTIC weekends over the course of the game that will have the highest combined Box office for the Domestic top 12 movies.

 

 

POINT SYSTEM:

 

For each correctly predicted weekend, regardless of order you receive 25,000 points

For each weekend in the exact spot you receive 15,000 bonus points (so 40,000 total)

 

Call 3 of the top 5 correctly and receive 60,000 bonus points

Call 4 of the top 5 correctly and receive 125,000 bonus points

Call 5 of the top 5 correctly and receive 200,000 bonus points

  

For every incorrect weekend lose 10,000 points

 
The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers:

 

Spoiler

GROSS ACCURACY:

 

Call a weekend’s gross to within 10 million to get 40,000 bonus points

Call a weekend’s gross to within 15 million to get 30,000 bonus points

Call a weekend’s gross to within 20 million to get 20,000 bonus points

Call a weekend’s gross to within 25 million to get 10,000 bonus points

Call a weekend’s gross to within 30 million to get 5,000 bonus points

Call a weekend’s gross to within 40 million to get 0 bonus points

Call a weekend’s gross to within 40-50 million lose 10,000 points

 

Call a weekend wrong by more than 50 million lose 10,000 points Plus 5,000 per additional 5 million missed by. All losses for weekends that miss the top 5 are doubled. (There is again a maximum 25k loss for weekends that make the top 5, but no upper limit loss for weekends that miss the top 5.

The closest predictor for each of the top 5 weekends will receive an additional 20,000 points to their total (no matter how wrong that prediction may be)

 

If you do not enter a gross - you will be scored as follows : -25k for weekends in the  top 5 and -50k for weekends not in the top 5. If an entire film prediction is missing (e.g. there is not 6th ranked film, you will also be scored as if the weekend (you didn't enter) missed the top 5. (ie. -10k).  

 

 

NOTE: Every top x films list will also have space for a reserve, this reserve will only be used if a film in the main list becomes ineligible for some reason.

 

 

E: MULTIPLIERS MULTIPLY THE FUN!

Predict which 5 Domestic wide releases have the largest multipliers. The multiplier will be determined by the films total gross divided by their opening Fri-Sun (Incl Thurs previews) gross. You must also predict a multiplier for each film.

 

A film will only be eligible for this list if:

l  It opens before January 24^th

l  Is in more than 1,500 theaters in its first weekend

l  Makes more than $40M.

 

 

POINT SYSTEM:

 

Call a film correctly in the top 5:  15,000 points

Call a film correctly in the top 5 and in the correct place:  25,000 points (including the above 15)

 

Chosen film does not make $40m – Minus 10,000 points

Chosen film does not make top 5 – Minus 10,000 points

Chosen film does not make $40m AND does not make top 5 – Minus 25,000 points (total)

 

Call 3 of the top 5 – 40,000 points

Call 4 of the top 5 – 80,000 points

Call 5 of the top 5 – 150,000 points

 

Call 3 of the top 5 in the correct positions – 40,000 points

Call 3 of the top 5 in the correct positions – 80,000 points

Call 3 of the top 5 in the correct positions – 150,000 points

 

More scoring details in Spoilers

 

Spoiler

MULTIPLIER ACCURACY:

 

Ah what the fudge, let’s add points for this too this year:

 

 Call a film’s multiplier to within 0.1 to get 50,000 bonus points

 Call a film’s multiplier to within 0.2 to get 35,000 bonus points

 Call a film’s multiplier to within 0.3 to get 25,000 bonus points

 Call a film’s multiplier to within 0.5 to get 10,000 bonus points

  Call a film’s multiplier to within 0.7.5 to get 0 bonus points

 

Miss the multiplier by more than 0.75M and lose 10,000 points (You will lose these points even if the film doesn’t make the top 5 Multis.)

 

 The closest predictor for each film will also receive a bonus 20,000 points.

 

Predict 2 of the top 5 to within 0.75 and score a 30,000 point bonus

Predict 3 of the top 5 to within 0.75 and score a 60,000 point bonus

Predict 4 of the top 5 to within 0.75 and score a 100,000 point bonus

Predict 5 of the top 5 to within 0.75 and score a 200,000 point bonus

 

 If you do not enter a multiplier - you will be scored as follows : -25k for multiplier in the top 5 and -50k for multipliers not in the top 5. If an entire film prediction is missing (e.g. there is not 4th ranked film, you will also be scored as if the film (you didn't enter) missed the top 5. (ie. -10k).  

 

 

F: TOTAL GROSSES

 

Predict a total gross for each of: Top 15 Domestic, Top 7 OW, Top 12 WW and Top 5 weekends and an average Multiplier for the top 7 multipliers (This does not have to have any mathematical connection to your predictions in parts A-E). This will look something like:

 

Top 15: 3 Billion dollars

Top 7 OW 475M

Top 12 WW: 8 Trillion Dollars

Average Multiplier:  5.75

Top 5 Weekends: 17 dollars

 

POINT SYSTEM:

 

For each prediction if you are:

 

Within 30% of the final total. score 10,000 points

Within 20% of the final total. score 20,000 points

Within 10% of the final total. score 30,000 points

Within 5% of the final total. score 40,000 points

Within 2% of the final total. score 60,000 points

 

 

If all five predictions are within 10% score a bonus 50,000

If all five predictions are within 5% score a bonus 125,000

If all five predictions are within 2% score a bonus 250,000

 

G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS

 

This summer we have three generous risk-free questions to start you off:

 

RFQ1:  Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:

 

A: 70M

B: 100M

😄 200M

😧 300M

E: 400M

 

RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:

 

A: $1.2B

B: $900M

😄 700M

😧 500M

E: 300M

 

RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game:

 

A: November

B: December

😄 January

D February 

E: Highest Grossing Best Picture Nominee (does not need to get released in the game release window) 

 

 

SCORING

 

Predict the first placed film – 25,000 points

Predict the second placed film – 10,000 points

Predict all 5 first placed films – 75,000 bonus

Predict all 5 first or second placed films – 25,000 bonus

 

 

This is everything. There will be three SOTM (Spur of the Moment) questions. These will appear sporadically over the next month in the Winter Game sub-forum. …ooh and QOTW (Question of the Week, because it is an awesome thing that you all will eventually accept and love dammit!)

 

***ONE FINAL NOTE***

 

The official Deadline for this game is November 1st at 11:59pm (or the early hours of Friday morning before any numbers come in).

 

There is no late entry this summer, I'll be lenient by a few hours if I can, but not by any more than that.

 

 

LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!

 

 

Make your preseason prediction in the thread linked below:

 

 

 

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE

 

Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game.

 

A: Domestic top 15:

 

1) 

2) 

3) 

4) 

5)

 

6) 

7) 

😎 

9)

10) 

 

11) 

12) 

13) 

14) 

15)

 

Backup 16*) 

 

*Only used if a film above exits the game

 

B: Top 7 Domestic OW:

 

1) 

2) 

3) 

4) 

5)

 

6) 

7) 

 

Backup 8*) 

 

*Only used if a film above exits the game

 

😄 Worldwide top 12:

 

1) 

2) 

3) 

4)

 

5)

6) 

7) 

😎 

 

9) 

10)

11) 

12) 

 

Backup 13*) 

 

*Only used if a film above exits the game

 

😧 TOP 5 Weekends

 

1) 

2) 

3) 

4)

5)

 

backup 6*) 

 

*Only used if a film above exits the game

 

E: Multipliers

 

1) 

2) 

3) 

4)

5)

 

backup 6*) 

 

*Only used if a film above exits the game

 

F: Total Grosses

 

Top 15 DOM)

Top7 OW) 

Top 12 WW) 

Top 5 W/E)

Average Multi)

 

 

G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS

 

RFQ1:  Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:

 

A: 70M

B: 100M

😄 200M

😧 300M

E: 400M

 

RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:

 

A: $1.2B

B: $900M

😄 700M

😧 500M

E: 300M

 

RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game:

 

A: November

B: December

😄 January

D February 

E: Best Picture

 

 

DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS

[chasmmi]

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

Number 4 has yet to be needed at any point in the past 5 games, but you never know...

[Inceptionzq]

Btw you linked the wrong preseason prediction thread

[Cap]

1 hour ago, chasmmi said:

Then during the game itself, there will be weekly sets of questions as well as the good old SOTM (Spur of the Moment – You will learn to love these  ) questions too. 

You say this every time. And still,

 

[chasmmi]

14 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

You say this every time. And still,

 

 

Just let the SOTMs into your heart...

[Cap]

1 hour ago, chasmmi said:

Just let the SOTMs into your heart...

If I probably did that I would probably place higher 🤔 . It *is* a thought.

[Legions of the Galaxy]

I think I'll finally participate in one of these things.

[Wrath]

Of course I'll be there. That bingo isn't going to happen by itself.

 

C'mon, 6th place!

Edited October 1, 2019 by Wrath

[The Panda]

I doubt I’ll have time to actually compete week to week, but maybe I could put in pre-season predicts for the hell of it

[JJ-8]

On 10/2/2019 at 12:52 AM, Wrath said:

Of course I'll be there. That bingo isn't going to happen by itself.

 

C'mon, 6th place!

So the real mission is to land exactly 6th ?   you watch... you fail and win the thing....  

[Wrath]

7 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

So the real mission is to land exactly 6th ?   you watch... you fail and win the thing....  

Well, ideally 6th. I'd be ok with 8th or 9th.

 

I guess if I fail to do one of those I'd be willing to win the whole thing.

Edited October 10, 2019 by Wrath

[Legions of the Galaxy]

I'm guaranteed to make progress on my finishes BINGO. Some true next level strats  

[chasmmi]

Look out for Week 1, SOTM 3., and the ever popular QOTM to pop up over the weekend... 

[Kalo]

You know what I'll give it a shot, hopefully I can last longer than last time.

[chasmmi]

SOTM3 is up

 

 

[chasmmi]

QOTM is here

 

 

[kayumanggi]

I still haven't done the necessary research. 😅

[Cap]

4 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

I still haven't done the necessary research. 😅

Tbh at this point no one really can