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The Winter Game Approaches - Results are finally in

By chasmmi, in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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First off, I am very excited to be the first person on Earth to have been helped by a Boxofficemojo change!!! The new Calendar gross section was invaluable for this SOTM (and only this SOTM out of all the things that anybody has ever used the site for). 

 

Therefore the top 8 are...

 

1 Bad Boys for Life $135,561,888 3,775 $191,159,623 Jan 17 Sony Pictures Releasing
2 Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker $114,008,930 4,406 $514,129,079 Dec 20 Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
3 1917 $111,056,386 3,987 $151,804,359 Dec 25 Universal Pictures
4 Jumanji: The Next Level $94,644,064 4,227 $310,839,725 Dec 13 Sony Pictures Releasing
5 Little Women $59,037,538 3,308 $106,953,449 Dec 25 Sony Pictures Releasing
6 Dolittle $49,485,200 4,155 $74,494,675 Jan 17 Universal Pictures
7 Frozen II $40,868,586 4,440 $476,576,425 Nov 22 Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
8 Knives Out $38,049,375 3,461 $163,708,563 Nov 27 Lionsgate

 

 

BobDole predicted:

 

Star Wars 9    
Jumanji: The Next Level $90M
1917
Bad Boys For Life $70m
Dolittle
Little Women
Frozen II    $50m
Like A Boss

 

So I make that (excluding grosses):

 

8 + 3 + 20 + 3 + 8 + 8 + 20 - 15 = 55

 

And as for grosses:

 

Jumanji +10

Bad Boys -10

Frozen + 10

 

So that's another +20k making it 75k in total. 

 

 

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Ok, just one more to go... Here are the answers

 

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? YES

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? YES 

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? YES 

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? YES 

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? YES 

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  NO

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? LITTLE WOMEN 

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? YES 

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? NO 

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? YES 

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? YES 

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  NO

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? NO 

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? FREE 

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  FREE  

 

Part C 

 

2. BIRDS OF PREY

4. PHOTOGRAPH

6. 1917

8.  JUMANJI

10. DOWNHILL

12. KNIVES OUT

 

 

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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That was a big big SOTM...

 

NAME CORRECT INCORRECT BONUS SCORE
Sheikh 16 0 x3 240
Zeesoh 12 0 None 120
Glassfairy 11 0 x2 110
BobDole 9 0 x2 90
Wrath 8 0 x2 80
Inceptionzq 16 2 None 50
Chasmmi 15 2 None 45
Fancyarcher 14 7 None -105
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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So here are the final SOTM tallies:

 

Name SOTM 1 SOTM 2  SOTM 3  SOTM 4 SOTM 5  SOTM 6  SOTM 7 TOTAL
Sheikh 150 240 4 33 124 3 240 644
BobDole 12 225 4 33 132 75 90 559
Zeesoh 150 240 26 24 123 3 120 536
Wrath 150 230 4 6 90 3 80 413
chasmmi 150 200 26 9 79 0 45 359
Glassfairy 112 110 4 -10 105 3 110 322
The Panda 140 230 0 42 0 0 0 272
WrathofHan 3 240 4 0 0 0 0 244
JJ8 112 210 4 30 0 0 0 244
Mike Hunt 120 240 0 0 0 0 0 240
Captain Wondyful 3 125 26 21 0 0 0 172
bcf26 0 240 -190 -14 81 0 0 117
InceptionZQ 82 5 -126 30 121 3 50 83
Fancyarcher 130 100 -61 0 110 3 -105 47
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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So... The current stadings as I build the courage to wade into the QOTW thread...

 

Pos Name Weeklies SOTMS QOTW Preseasons Total
1 Sheikh 1465 644     2109
2 Zeesoh 1213 536     1749
3 BobDole 1108 559     1667
4 Glassfairy 1103 322     1425
5 Inceptionzq 1281 83     1364
6 Chasmmi 973 359     1332
7 Wrath 903 413     1316
8 Fancy Archer 1128 -47     1081
9 bcf26 698 117     815
10 JJ-8 298 244     542
11 Captain Wondyful 304 172     476
12 The Panda 102 272     374
13 Wrathofhan 50 244     294
14 Mike Hunt 0 240     240
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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OK so QOTW was a massive success this winter, be prepared for  some crazy crazy scores:

 

Name 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 bonus Total
Answers NO NO YES YES NO NO YES NO YES NO NO YES YES YES FREE YES XXX XXX
Fancy Archer                                 0 44
Sheikh                                 0 38
Zeesoh                                 0 38
BobDole                                 0 38
Glassfairy                                 0 38
Inceptionzq                                 0 38
Chasmmi                                 0 32
Wrath                                 0 31
JJ-8                                 0 27
bcf26                                 0 17
Captain Wondyful                                 0 15
Wrathofhan                                 0 7
The Panda                                 0 3
Mike Hunt                                 0 3

 

 

...Right so the colour coding of my excel file did not really work when pasted in here. But yeah, that's how it ended up. 

 

Look forward to seeing QOTW revamped into a preseason question where we answer all the questions before week one and don't have to keep checking on it as the weeks go by (and as questions become far too obvious with 10 extra weeks of research to look at...

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Pos Name Weeklies SOTMS QOTW Preseasons Total
1 Sheikh 1465 644 38   2147
2 Zeesoh 1213 536 38   1787
3 BobDole 1108 559 38   1705
4 Glassfairy 1103 322 38   1463
5 Inceptionzq 1281 83 38   1402
6 Chasmmi 973 359 32   1364
7 Wrath 903 413 31   1347
8 Fancy Archer 1128 -47 44   1125
9 bcf26 698 117 17   832
10 JJ-8 298 244 27   569
11 Captain Wondyful 304 172 15   491
12 The Panda 102 272 3   377
13 Wrathofhan 50 244 7   301
14 Mike Hunt 0 240 3   243
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Ok then preseason times (I really need to learn how to write formula and do spreadsheets...) 

 

Let's look at part G and work backwards:

 

G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS

 

RFQ1:  Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:

 

A: 70M  SONIC / DOLITTLE

B: 100M  LITTLE WOMEN  / FORD VS FERRARI

😄 200M  BAD BOYS  / KNIVES OUTS

😧 300M JUMANJI  /  BAD BOYS

E: 400M FROZEN  / JUMANJI 

 

RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:

 

A: $1.2B    STAR WARS  / FROZEN

B: $900M  STAR WARS  / JUMANJI

😄 700M JUMANJI / BAD BOYS

😧 500M  BAD BOYS  /  1917

E: 300M   KNIVES OUT / TERMINATOR DARK FATE

 

RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game:

 

A: November  FROZEN / KNIVES OUT

B: December  STAR WARS ./ JUMANJI

😄 January    BAD BOYS / DOLITTLE

D February   SONIC / BIRDS OF PREY

E: Best Picture   JOKER  / 1917  

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Okay Part G scores in mess of a mangle of tables form:

 

NAME SONIC / DOLITTLE LITTLE / FORD BAD BOY / KNIVES JUMANJI / BAD BOYS FROZEN / JUMANJI  Bonus Total
Chasmmi 0 0 0 25 25 0 50
Mike Hunt 0 0 0 25 10 0 35
Kalo 0 0 0 25 10 0 35
BobDole 0 0 25 25 25 0 75
Wrath 0 0 0 25 25 0 50
Glassfairy 0 0 0 25 10 0 35
bcf26 0 0 10 25 10 0 45
Zeesoh 0 0 0 25 25 0 50
Inceptionzq 0 0 0 25 25 0 50
Fancyarcher 0 10 0 25 25 0 60
JJ-8 0 0 0 25 10 0 35
The Panda 10 0 0 25 25 0 60
Captain Wondyful 0 0 0 25 10 0 35
Sheikh 0 25 0 25 25 0 75
WrathofHan 25 0 0 25 10 0 60
               
NAME SW9 / FROZEN SW9 / JUMANJI JUMANJI / BAD BOY BAD BOY / 1917 KNIVES / TERMINAT Bonus Total
Chasmmi 10 10 25 0 0 0 45
Mike Hunt 25 10 0 0 0 0 35
Kalo 10 10 25 0 0 0 45
BobDole 10 10 25 10 0 0 55
Wrath 25 10 25 0 0 0 60
Glassfairy 0 10 0 0 10 0 20
bcf26 0 10 25 0 10 0 45
Zeesoh 10 10 25 0 0 0 45
Inceptionzq 10 10 25 0 10 0 55
Fancyarcher 25 10 25 0 10 0 70
JJ-8 10 10 0 0 0 0 20
The Panda 25 10 0 0 0 0 35
Captain Wondyful 25 10 25 0 0 0 60
Sheikh 10 10 25 0 0 0 45
WrathofHan 25 10 0 0 0 0 35
               
NAME FROZEN / KNIVES  SW9 / JUMANJI BAD BOYS / DOLITT SONIC / BIRDS JOKER / 1917 Bonus Total
Chasmmi 25 25 10 10 0 0 70
Mike Hunt 25 25 25 10 0 0 85
Kalo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BobDole 25 25 25 10 25 25 135
Wrath 25 25 25 10 25 25 135
Glassfairy 25 25 25 10 0 0 85
bcf26 25 25 10 10 0 0 70
Zeesoh 25 25 10 10 0 0 70
Inceptionzq 25 25 10 10 0 0 70
Fancyarcher 25 25 25 10 0 0 85
JJ-8 25 25 25 10 25 25 135
The Panda 25 25 0 10 10 0 70
Captain Wondyful 25 25 0 10 0 0 60
Sheikh 25 25 10 10 0 0 70
WrathofHan 25 25 25 10 25 25 135
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Ok part G Scores:

 

NAME Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Total
BobDole 75 55 135 265
Wrath 50 60 135 245
WrathofHan 60 35 135 230
Fancyarcher 60 70 85 215
JJ-8 35 20 135 190
Sheikh 75 45 70 190
Inceptionzq 50 55 70 175
Chasmmi 50 45 70 165
Zeesoh 50 45 70 165
The Panda 60 35 70 165
bcf26 45 45 70 160
Mike Hunt 35 35 85 155
Captain Wondyful 35 60 60 155
Glassfairy 35 20 85 140
Kalo 35 45 0 80
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

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Name Part A Part B Part C Part D Part E Part F Part G TOTAL
BobDole             265 265
Wrath             245 245
WrathofHan             230 230
Fancyarcher             215 215
Sheikh             190 190
JJ8             190 190
InceptionZQ             175 175
Zeesoh             165 165
chasmmi             165 165
The Panda             165 165
bcf26             160 160
Mike Hunt             155 155
Captain Wondyful             155 155
Glassfairy             140 140
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Right, So I had a bunch of stitches put in my back yesterday and shockingly, I discovered that sitting was painful. 

 

I have a few hours this evening (about 12 hours from now) so will with any luck blast through at least Parts C-E, maybe even A and B, 

 

Watch this space.

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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Okay, here is the part F final score table:

 

Name Top 15 Percent Top 7 Percent Top 12 Percent Top 5 Percent Multi Percent Total 
Answers 2459 xx 551 xx 5507 xx 951 xx 5.42 xx xx
Chasmmi 2350 0.95567 615 1.11615 5950 1.08044 1111 1.16824 5.75 1.06089 130
Mike Hunt 2870 1.16714 622 1.12886 6670 1.21119 1060 1.11462 3.3 0.60886 70
Kalo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BobDole 2809 1.14233 609.2 1.10563 6580 1.19484 1052 1.1062 3.56 0.65683 80
Wrath 2620 1.06547 593 1.07623 6400 1.16216 1065 1.11987 5 0.92251 130
Glassfairy 2880 1.17121 677 1.22868 8180 1.48538 1070 1.12513 4.85 0.89483 70
bcf26 2660 1.08174 644 1.16878 6400 1.16216 1120 1.17771 4.7 0.86716 110
Zeesoh 2650 1.07767 610 1.10708 6500 1.18032 1100 1.15668 4.8 0.88561 110
Inceptionzq 2810 1.14274 625 1.1343 6490 1.1785 1070 1.12513 5.59 1.03137 120
Fancyarcher 2669 1.0854 597 1.08348 6475 1.17578 1090 1.14616 5.1 0.94096 130
JJ-8 2821 1.14721 657.9 1.19401 7521.7 1.36584 1244.6 1.30873 4.33 0.79889 50
The Panda 2707.11 1.1009 617 1.11978 6890 1.25113 1230 1.29338 5.3833 0.99323 120
Captain Wondyful 2721 1.10655 595 1.07985 4315 0.78355 1250 1.31441 3 0.55351 60
Sheikh 2651.89 1.07844 611.83 1.1104 6425.6 1.16681 1112.53 1.16985 4.5496 0.83941 110
WrathofHan 2850 1.15901 691 1.25408 6480 1.17668 1280 1.34595 4.82 0.8893 70
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Current Preseason Standings:

 

Name Part A Part B Part C Part D Part E Part F Part G TOTAL
Wrath           130 245 375
BobDole           80 265 345
Fancyarcher           130 215 345
WrathofHan           70 230 300
Sheikh           110 190 300
InceptionZQ           120 175 295
chasmmi           130 165 295
The Panda           120 165 285
Zeesoh           110 165 275
bcf26           110 160 270
JJ8           50 190 240
Mike Hunt           70 155 225
Captain Wondyful           60 155 215
Glassfairy           70 140 210
Kalo           0 80 80
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chasmmi Summer Tentpole

chasmmi

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Ok, fuck doing multipliers scores without spreadsheet magic. If the table looks an indecipherable mess, tough :p 

 

Forget closest prediction god damn it...

 

Answers Little 6.3 Knives 6.1 Jumanji 5.2 Spies  4.9 Beautiful 4.6 xx xx xx xx
Name 1st Accuracy 2nd Acc 3rd Acc 4th Acc 5th Acc Prebonus Acc Bonus Bonus Total
Zeesoh Little 4.9 -10 beauty 4.84 25 spies 4.7 35 knive 4.62 -10 Cats 4.6 0 45 80 110 235
Wrath Beauty 5.8 -10 Little 5.5 -10 Knives 5 -10 Spies 4.5 10 Last Xmas 4.2 -10 60 -30 80 110
bcf26 Knives 5.3 -10 Cats 4.9 -10 Jewell 4.8 0 Spies 4.4 10 Beauty 4.1 10 15 0 90 105
Glassfairy beauty 6.0 -10 knives 5 -10 mercy 4.75 -10 little 4,5 -10 spies 4 -10 45 -50 80 75
The Panda Little 6.0 25 Cats 5.96 0 Spies 5.8 -10 Last xmas 5 -10 Knives 4.75 -10 5 -5 60 60
Inceptionzq Little 5.9 10 Cats 5.8 -10 Spies 5.68 -10 Beauty 5.29 0 Jewell 5.21 -10 5 -20 70 55
Sheikh Beauty 5.12 0 Little 4.5 -10 Last xmas 4.48 -10 Spies 4.37 0 Cats 4.27 0 5 -20 70 55
JJ-8 jumanji 5.2 50 Cats 4.69 0 Little 4.28 -10 Ford 3.85 0 Frozen 3.65 0 -15 40 20 45
WrathofHan Cats 6 -10 little 5.2 -10 Knives 4.5 -10 ford 4.25 0 beauty 4.15 10 20 -20 40 40
Mike Hunt Cats 4.5 0 Ford 4.0 0 Beautiful 3.8 -10 Jumanji 3.5 -10 Spies 3.3 -10 10 -30 40 20
Fancyarcher Spies 5.6 0 Beauty 5.4 -10 Cat 5 -10 Jewell 4.8 -10 Little 4.5 -10 -5 -40 40 -5
BobDole Liar 4.4 -10 Last Xmas 4.3 -10 Jewell 4.33 0 Knives 4 -10 Beautiful 4 0 -40 -30 0 -70
Captain Wondyful Cats 6 -10 last Xmas 5 -10 Knives 4.3 -10 Beauty 3.8 -10 Frozen 3.33 0 -30 -40 0 -70
Chasmmi Cats 9.0 -10 Jewell 6.0 -10 Beautiful 5.1  10 Last Xmas 4.5  -10 Jumanji 4.2 -10 -45 -40 0 -85
Kalo Little 0 -10 -10 -25 -10 -25 -10 -25 -10 -25 -15 -110 0 -125
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