MG10 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, LPLC said: Yes Ah I was sure you were referring to the international total of Far From Home without China because incredibly it's exactly 542 million 😅 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 17, 2021 Author Share Posted December 17, 2021 Expect a really huge Saturday (Sunday too) everywhere. Children love Spiderman and many of them will go see him tomorrow with their parents instead of the weekdays when they have school and have to go to bed early. I can not wait for the vacation ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, LPLC said: Expect a really huge Saturday (Sunday too) everywhere. Children love Spiderman and many of them will go see him tomorrow with their parents instead of the weekdays when they have school and have to go to bed early. I can not wait for the vacation ! Maybe $75M Friday, $90M Sat, $80M Sun? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Oversea OW＄330－350m,Dom ＄225－250m,WW ＄555－600m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 OS－C-JP total gross ＄1200－1400m，With China and Japan it will easily beat Jurassic World,Top 6 of All time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bruce said: OS－C-JP total gross ＄1200－1400m，With China and Japan it will easily beat Jurassic World,Top 6 of All time Honestly, it has a good chance to beat Jurassic World even without China and Japan if legs are good. Once Japan does open, it should do at least $50-60M there but it has a shot at $75M or more. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 17, 2021 Author Share Posted December 17, 2021 23 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said: Maybe $75M Friday, $90M Sat, $80M Sun? No, right now I would say 50 + 65 + 75 + 65 = $255M. It will be very tight between NWH, TFA and AIW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 1 minute ago, LPLC said: No, right now I would say 50 + 65 + 75 + 65 = $255M. It will be very tight between NWH, TFA and AIW No I meant for OS markets. Since this is the OS thread I assumed that what you meant. Domestically, yea that seems right. Anywhere from $240-265M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 17, 2021 Author Share Posted December 17, 2021 20 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said: Honestly, it has a good chance to beat Jurassic World even without China and Japan if legs are good. Once Japan does open, it should do at least $50-60M there but it has a shot at $75M or more. Beat JW without China ? Impossible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 17, 2021 Author Share Posted December 17, 2021 Just now, GoblinXXR said: No I meant for OS markets. Since this is the OS thread I assumed that what you meant. Domestically, yea that seems right. Anywhere from $240-265M. Oh sorry, OS I expect something around $325M by Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 (edited) 15 minutes ago, LPLC said: Beat JW without China ? Impossible. Why is that impossible? OS opening by Sunday will be $330-350M. Even Endgame managed 2.43x OS legs (minus China) and that was with more hype and no Christmas holidays. This should be able to do at least 2.5-2.6X which gives us at least $825M but maybe upwards of $925M without Japan. Japan will do $50-60M at least, maybe upwards of $75M. So we're at $885M to $1B without China. Domestic is going to do $240-265M OW and 2.8x legs or more (the WOM on this Endgame level and even TROS managed 2.92X on a B+ Cinemascore). No reason it can't do $700M DOM (and maybe even more...) You think a lot of things can't happen lol. You should have learned by now. Edited December 18, 2021 by GoblinXXR 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 No film has occupied the $1.7-1.9 billion WW tier yet, so it would be neat to see NWH finish there. Probably could have made a play for Titanic WW with an ideal release date in China. Not being able to reach its full potential is just about the only disappointment I have with this amazing run. Assuming it doesn't get a release in China at all, that's probably at least $400 million taken off the table. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 18, 2021 Author Share Posted December 18, 2021 (edited) 33 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said: Why is that impossible? OS opening by Sunday will be $330-350M. Even Endgame managed 2.43x OS legs (minus China) and that was with more hype and no Christmas holidays. This should be able to do at least 2.5-2.6X which gives us at least $825M but maybe upwards of $925M without Japan. Japan will do $50-60M at least, maybe upwards of $75M. So we're at $885M to $1B without China. Domestic is going to do $240-265M OW and 2.8x legs or more (the WOM on this Endgame level and even TROS managed 2.92X on a B+ Cinemascore). No reason it can't do $700M DOM (and maybe even more...) You think a lot of things can't happen lol. You should have learned by now. Ok let's say max $900M OS and $700M DOM as you think it will still be almost $100M short to reach JW. I just try to not be surreal and not overinterpret the first massive days, you tell me about good legs all over the world but it is likely that they are not as good as we hope in the end and we get a total of I don't know $800M OS $600M DOM. If it's this scenario It is not $100M but $300M that will be missing. Fortunately it is not dead yet for China and if there is China which is added, then yes, great chances of beating JW. Edited December 18, 2021 by LPLC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 minute ago, LPLC said: Ok let's say max $900M OS and $700M DOM as you think it will still be almost $100M short to reach JW. It would be $71M short on those numbers, and those numbers definitely aren't "max". So saying its impossible is just wrong. It may not occur but it's definitely not impossible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 18, 2021 Author Share Posted December 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said: It would be $71M short on those numbers, and those numbers definitely aren't "max". So saying its impossible is just wrong. It may not occur but it's definitely not impossible. Yes forgive me it's not impossible nothing is ever impossible but very, very little chance that it will happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 12 minutes ago, LPLC said: Ok let's say max $900M OS and $700M DOM as you think it will still be almost $100M short to reach JW. Your max is actually his min. You know what is really max? $1.1B OS and $900M DOM or more. YES, $2B without China. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 18, 2021 Author Share Posted December 18, 2021 Just now, nguyenkhoi282 said: Your max is actually his min. You know what is really max? $1.1B OS and $900M DOM or more. YES, $2B without China. ahahahahah bro let's not exaggerate anyway, NWH will not reach the same level as TFA in DOM. Come on I give you 0.1% chance that it will happen if you want. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 11 minutes ago, LPLC said: ahahahahah bro let's not exaggerate anyway, NWH will not reach the same level as TFA in DOM. Come on I give you 0.1% chance that it will happen if you want. I'll take the chance thank you. I called BP 200M and EG 350M in the past. There're lots of misses too but i'd always like to shoot for the stars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, LPLC said: Yes forgive me it's not impossible nothing is ever impossible but very, very little chance that it will happen. Whatever you say. I mean the numbers all point to that with average legs but sure, there's very very little chance it'll happen... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 3 hours ago, LPLC said: Beat JW without China ? Impossible. Dude, do you never learn with this movie 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
